Eden Insurance Brokers Handicap Stakes · 2m0f68y
SR 55 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 65 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 16 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 49 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 The Craftymaster | 4/1 open 5.50 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Fram Castle | 8/1 open 17.00 | — | 8/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Cherry Cola | 18/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Tiny Riot | 3/1 open 2.38 | — | 3/1 open 2.63 | 3/1 open 2.63 | 3/1 open 2.50 | 3/1 open 2.25 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Marinakis | 66/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Lucky Sevens | evn open 2.63 | — | 11/10 open 2.25 | 11/10 open 2.25 | 10/11 open 2.38 | 10/11 open 2.38 | 11/10 Coral |
| 7 Lilykoy | 40/1 open 26.00 | — | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tiny Riot owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 65 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Lucky Sevens (SR 49, evens) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-6 and arrives on the back of a last-time-out win (Form:613251, rightmost digit = 1), giving it the strongest recent form in the field. The GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good-to-firm conditions — a rare concrete positive in a field where most runners show '?' on going. The 16% market move inward (Mkt:in16%) combined with a Billy Loughnane booking (18%, 1618 career runs) signals genuine stable confidence, and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓2) means it arrives at a lower grade than it has been competing at. The MarkMv:+3 is a minor concern — it runs off a 3lb higher mark than at its last win — but the class relief more than compensates. Each-way alternative: The Craftymaster. Main danger: Fram Castle — Fram Castle has steamed in an extraordinary 37% in the market (Mkt:in37%) from 8/1, suggesting strong stable confidence from Michael Wigham's yard (23% strike rate), and at 9-13 carries a workable weight despite the DistFit:- flag.