Colin Jones Memorial Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) (Div I) · 2m
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 120 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 121 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Arcon | 17/2 | — | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Devon Red | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Military Saint | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Not Now | 25/1 open 15.00 | — | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Trackman | 22/1 open 19.00 | — | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Delgany Second Now | 40/1 open 26.00 | — | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Faithful Guardian | 8/1 | — | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Iwanttobreakfree | 5/4 open 2.00 | — | 11/8 open 1.91 | 11/8 open 1.91 | 11/8 open 1.91 | 11/8 open 1.83 | 11/8 Coral |
| 9 Provision | 13/8 open 3.50 | — | 13/8 open 3.50 | 6/4 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 6/4 open 3.50 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 10 Galeforcechopper | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Iwanttobreakfree owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Provision (SR 108, 13/8) is the market's second choice and has steamed in 26% since opening — the most significant market move in the race — suggesting connections and informed money are highly confident. The GoingFit:+ is the only confirmed going preference in the entire field on today's good ground, and course form (W0P1 at Worcester) adds a further tick. While the SR of 108 is modest, this is a Class 4 novice hurdle where raw ability gaps are less decisive than fitness signals, and the 5/4 favourite Iwanttobreakfree has drifted 23% — a meaningful negative signal for a horse stepping up in class (ClassMv:↑1) with only two hurdles runs (Form:23) and no proven going or distance fit. Provision's 5-33 form shows consistency at the level, and jockey Isabelle Ryder's 19% strike rate from 88 rides is solid for an apprentice/conditional. Each-way alternative: Faithful Guardian. Main danger: Iwanttobreakfree — Iwanttobreakfree (SR 154, the highest in the field) is trained by Dan Skelton with Harry Skelton aboard — a formidable combination with a 21%/27% strike-rate pairing — and if the class rise is manageable, raw ability could still overpower Provision's market support signals.