Follow @AtTheRaces On X Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m4f217y
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sable Island | 5/1 open 12.00 | — | 5/1 open 10.00 | 5/1 open 10.00 | 5/1 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 Betfred |
| 2 Dreamlover | 4/1 open 4.50 | — | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Romidijo | 5/2 open 3.00 | — | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Miss Moneypit | 9/4 open 3.50 | — | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 5/2 Coral |
| 5 Invicta Rose | 17/2 open 10.00 | — | 8/1 open 9.50 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 6 C'Est Lui | 16/1 | — | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Dee's Star | 16/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Targa | 25/1 open 17.00 | — | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Romidijo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 66 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sable Island (SR 70, 5/1) is one of two joint-SR leaders in the field but stands out through a compelling combination of signals: a 41% market move in since opening — the most dramatic steaming in the race — paired with a class drop of one tier and the booking of Silvestre De Sousa (14%, 788 career runners), a jockey who does not typically turn up on moderate Class 6 nursery runners without cause. The cheekpieces (HG:p) suggest connections are intervening to sharpen focus, and the weight of 9-9 is competitive relative to the field. The DistFit:- flag is a concern, but at 4f217y this is a short trip for a nursery and the horse's recent form (3376) shows consistent mid-field finishes rather than capitulation, suggesting the trip is being explored rather than actively opposed. De Sousa's presence and the market steam together constitute a strong confidence signal that connections believe conditions suit today. Each-way alternative: Miss Moneypit. Main danger: Romidijo — Romidijo (SR 70, 5/2) shares the joint-top SR, carries only 9-8, and is trained by Charlie Clover whose 21% strike rate is the best in the field — despite drifting 9%, the class-level hold and elite trainer stats mean this horse is fully capable of running Sable Island down.