Baldosa
SpeculativeBaldosa owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
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SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 58 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 44 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 51 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sahm Naif | 11/4 open 2.75 | — | 11/4 open 2.63 | 11/4 open 2.63 | 11/4 open 2.63 | 11/4 open 2.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Skirt Around | 28/1 open 17.00 | — | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Secret Testimony | 18/1 open 13.00 | — | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Talking In Kode | 9/2 open 6.50 | — | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Baldosa | 6/4 open 3.75 | — | 11/8 open 3.75 | 11/8 open 3.75 | 6/4 open 3.75 | 11/8 open 3.75 | 6/4 Bet365 |
| 6 Harswell River | 12/1 open 8.00 | — | 14/1 open 8.50 | 14/1 open 8.50 | 14/1 open 8.50 | 14/1 open 8.50 | 14/1 Coral |
| 7 Speckled Brown | 33/1 open 21.00 | — | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Diamond Aura | 7/1 | — | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 Coral |
| 9 Bobbys Pride | 125/1 open 81.00 | — | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Baldosa owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 58 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Baldosa (SR:67, 6/4) is the class standout in this modest Class 6 field, carrying the lightest weight of the credible contenders at 9-0 and arriving on the back of a last-time-out win (Form:085241 — rightmost digit is 1). The market has backed this up emphatically, shortening 35% since opening — the strongest move in the field by a considerable margin. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at today's trip (1m2f), and while GoingFit is only moderate (~), the good-to-firm ground is not a known negative. Trainer Nigel Tinkler (10%, 472 runners) and jockey Lewis Edmunds combine with a horse clearly on an upward curve, making this a straightforward selection. Each-way alternative: Talking In Kode. Main danger: Sahm Naif — Sahm Naif (SR:61, 11/4) carries the second-highest SR and has Jason Hart booked, but the 43% market drift is a significant red flag that undermines any case — connections are not confident, and the +3 mark move adds further pressure.