Luke Jobson Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) · 0m7f0y
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 123 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 130 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 131 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Derrygarran Lad | 11/8 open 2.20 | — | 6/4 open 2.25 | 6/4 open 2.25 | 6/4 open 2.25 | 6/4 open 2.25 | 6/4 Coral |
| 2 Ben Travato | 28/1 open 23.00 | — | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Feliz Navidad | 7/1 | — | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Indefensible | 5/4 open 2.50 | — | 6/5 open 2.25 | 6/5 open 2.25 | 6/5 open 2.25 | 6/5 open 2.25 | 5/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Triple P | 20/1 open 19.00 | — | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Twilight Baby | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Derrygarran Lad owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 130 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 131 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Derrygarran Lad (SR 153, 11/8) is the clear class benchmark in this field, rating 8 points above Feliz Navidad (SR 145) and a full 23 points above Triple P (SR 130). The drop of one class tier (ClassMv:↓1) puts him in a race he should dominate on ability alone, and a form line of 3-2 shows consistent placing at a higher level — he has not been disgraced. The market drift of 11% is a concern and Ryan Sexton's 9% strike rate is modest, but no rival can match the SR gap: Indefensible (SR 84) is wildly overpriced at 5/4 given it sits 69 points below the leader, and the two debutants offer unknown quantities. Despite the drift, the quality argument here is straightforward. Each-way alternative: Feliz Navidad. Main danger: Feliz Navidad — Feliz Navidad (SR 145, 7/1) is trained by David O'Meara and ridden by the in-form Daniel Tudhope (16% strike rate), and running at the same class as last time — if that debut fifth showed raw ability still to be tapped, this experienced handler-jockey combination could unlock improvement sharply enough to threaten the favourite.