Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Stitching Wheel owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/10Chris GrantCian Horgan(5)
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Billy Bathgate
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/4 · Ewan Whillans✓ Value Signal
Sweet Cicely
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Mike Sowersby◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Billy Bathgate (SR:62, 7/4) is the marginal SR leader and carries a favourable weight of 9-6 — 3lb less than Stitching Wheel — while dropping a class tier (ClassMv:↓1) and running off a mark 2lb below his last win (MarkMv:-2). The standout signal here is the 37% market steam (Mkt:in37%), which is a substantial and specific move in a four-runner field and strongly implies connections believe conditions suit. Jockey Jason Hart at 14% career strike rate from 1,212 rides is comfortably the most accomplished jockey in this race and brings meaningful experience at this level. Although the form string 434346 reads as consistent rather than brilliant, the class drop combined with the lower mark and sharp market confidence makes Billy Bathgate the most supported case in what is a modest affair.
Each-way alternative: Lillistar.
Main danger: Lillistar — Lillistar (SR:53, 4/1) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-1, has a recent win on her form string (1-2653, win leftmost in current season), and Micky Hammond has a 12% strike rate from only 64 runners suggesting a small but selective yard — if this is a serious run the weight advantage could offset the SR gap.