Dick Oliver At Newton Abbot Races Handicap Steeple Chase · 2m4f216y
SR 86 suggests ability but 2/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 79 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 It's A Breeze | 2/1 | — | 2/1 | 2/1 | 2/1 | 2/1 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 2 The Gypsy Davey | 11/2 open 5.00 | — | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Chief Black Robe | 4/1 open 4.00 | — | 4/1 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Chillhi | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Flashy Boy | 7/2 open 7.00 | — | 10/3 open 6.50 | 10/3 open 6.50 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 3/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Watchoutitscookie | 17/2 open 8.50 | — | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Senor Diaz | 14/1 | — | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Emberscombe | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
It's A Breeze owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 86 suggests ability but 2/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
It's A Breeze (SR 86, 2/1) carries the top-weight of 12-1 but holds the highest SR in the field by a clear margin over The Gypsy Davey (SR 85) and is the class horse here, stepping down one tier (ClassMv:↓1) from a mark it has already won off (MarkMv:=). Course:W1P1 at Newton Abbot is a meaningful positive on a track that rewards specialists, and the form string shows a recent win (4th digit from right is '4', rightmost is '1' — last run a win) just 6 days ago suggesting peak fitness under Paul Nicholls, whose 18% strike rate from only 39 runners signals a selective, confident operation. The GoingFit:- is the one genuine concern, but the class drop and course familiarity outweigh it in a weak Class 5 field where the nearest rival by SR (Flashy Boy, SR 79) is carrying 1st-7lb less but has a deeply inconsistent form string of PP1P-4 and a jockey on just 4%. Each-way alternative: Chief Black Robe. Main danger: Flashy Boy — Flashy Boy (SR 79, 7/2) has steamed in 33% in the market — the strongest move in the race — carries a very manageable 10-8, and a last-run fourth following a win suggests it is on an upward curve, making it the one horse the market believes in most apart from the favourite.