Fitzdares Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m31y
SR 159 backed by market confidence at 7/4 — a genuine contender.
SR 121 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 121 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 123 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 126 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 126 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Leonardo Blu | 7/4 open 4.50 | — | 13/8 open 5.00 | 13/8 open 5.00 | 13/8 open 4.00 | 13/8 open 5.00 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Adalo | 25/1 open 13.00 | — | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Colonnade | 14/1 open 7.50 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Heir Of Ambition | 100/1 open 67.00 | — | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Levens Hall | 5/6 open 2.10 | — | 4/5 open 1.53 | 4/5 open 1.53 | 10/11 open 2.00 | 4/5 open 1.83 | 10/11 William Hill |
| 6 Next Guilian | 66/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Asset | 13/2 open 5.00 | — | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Champagne Beau | 125/1 open 67.00 | — | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Diane Chasseresse | 40/1 open 21.00 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Elsa Tan | 125/1 open 34.00 | — | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Esplanade | 50/1 open 21.00 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Leonardo Blu owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 159 backed by market confidence at 7/4 — a genuine contender.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Leonardo Blu (SR 159, 7/4) is the standout performer in this field, carrying a SR advantage of 4 points over the next-best Levens Hall (SR 155) and a massive 22+ points over every other runner. The decisive signal here is the market move: shortened 44% from opening, with Oisin Murphy booked — a 22% career strike-rate jockey who is selective with his rides. The form figures of '21' show a win last time out followed by a runner-up, confirming peak form and consistency. At 9-9 he carries 5lb more than Levens Hall (9-4), but the SR gap is wide enough that this weight concession is unlikely to matter, especially on Good to Firm ground where weight penalties are minimised. Tom Clover operates at 12% overall but the market is doing the heavy lifting here — 44% in-move on a novice is a significant statement. Each-way alternative: Levens Hall. Main danger: Levens Hall — Levens Hall (SR 155, 5/6) is trained by John & Thady Gosden at a powerful 25% strike rate, holds a 5lb weight advantage over Leonardo Blu, and is priced as the market leader — if the debut run of '3' understated ability (common with Gosden juveniles/3yos on their first start), this horse could exploit the weight edge.