Lingfield (AW) 17:40 RESULTED
Class 5 13 Jul 2026

Last Monday attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap · 1m5f

Official Result

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Senor Cortez (IRE) Jack Callan · John Butler
    7/4F
  2. 9/2
  3. 11/2
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Ayr

14:00–17:05 · 7 races

Newton Abbot

14:42–17:15 · 6 races

Lingfield (AW)

17:10–20:40 · 8 races

Windsor

17:20–20:50 · 8 races

Killarney

17:30–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Senor Cortez silks
Senor Cortez
Age 5 · 10-0
2-3571
72
79
72OR
5
10-0
2/1 FCST 7/4
Senor Cortez won last time out to cap an up-and-down sequence of finishes and returns quickly just eight days later, having encountered today's going before; rated only a shade above his official mark, he sits mid-pack in this field.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Expressionless silks
Expressionless
Age 6 · 9-8
310385
71
57
71OR
6
9-8
14/1 6/1 14/1
Expressionless won five starts back and has both today's distance and going in his locker, rating second in this field and well clear of his official mark; his form has since dipped, though, with modest efforts in his last two starts the one knock against him.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

3
Percy Jones silks
Percy Jones
Age 7 · 9-8
58-836
71
59
71OR
7
9-8
14/1 10/1 12/1
Percy Jones was third two starts back and has both today's trip and ground taken in before, rating four pounds above his official mark on our figures; he remains without a win in his last five, though, and was only sixth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Crackergee silks
Crackergee
Age 4 · 9-7
55-441
70
72
70OR
4
9-7
13/2 6/1 5/1
Crackergee won last time out but that was his only finish inside the frame in his last five, and he's having his first run in 39 days; even after that success, he's only rated eighth in this field, with plenty to find.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Educator silks
Educator
Age 7 · 9-7
383702
70
73
70OR
7
9-7
13/2 11/2 6/1
Educator was runner-up last time out and has filled the frame in half of his last six starts, rating four pounds above his official mark; the profile is patchy elsewhere, though, including an unplaced effort, and he remains without a win in that spell.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Naasma silks
Naasma
Age 7 · 9-7
4-4543
70
58
70OR
7
9-7
16/1 18/1 14/1
Naasma is a picture of consistency, never finishing worse than fifth in her last five starts and rated four pounds above her official mark; but with all those runs yielding minor-placed finishes and no win among them, she may find this company just as tough.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Big Bear Hug silks
Big Bear Hug
Age 7 · 9-5
08-593
68
70
68OR
7
9-5
13/2 9/2 6/1
Big Bear Hug closed out with a third last time out, rating seven pounds above her official mark; she is having her first run in 55 days, though, and the rest of her recent form — mostly finishes outside the frame — is far less convincing.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Love Is Golden silks
Love Is Golden
Age 8 · 9-4
108/95
67
41
67OR
8
9-4
125/1 80/1 100/1
Love Is Golden won five starts back and, although his placings since have been modest, he rates a big eighteen pounds clear of his official mark — the highest in this field — making him the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 41 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Mister Daydream silks
Mister Daydream
Age 5 · 9-0
72-771
58
69
58OR
5
9-0
7/2 10/3 3/1
Mister Daydream won last time out and returns quickly, just seven days later, but he's ranked only ninth of ten in this field; that win lifted him well clear of his official mark, yet he otherwise has plenty to find against this opposition.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Further Measure silks
Further Measure
Age 9 · 8-13
-41447
62
42
62OR
9
8-13
40/1 FCST 28/1
Further Measure has been remarkably consistent, three fourth-place finishes plus a win earlier in the run, but he was only seventh last time out and is rated bottom of this field; a lengthy 33-day gap since his last run adds another question mark.
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Senor Cortez 2/1 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 7/4 5/2 Coral
2 Expressionless 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 Ladbrokes
3 Percy Jones 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Crackergee 13/2 open 8.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.00 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 Bet365
5 Educator 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 13/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 6.50 7/1 Ladbrokes
6 Naasma 16/1 open 19.00 18/1 18/1 18/1 14/1 open 19.00 18/1 Coral
7 Big Bear Hug 13/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 Betfred
8 Love Is Golden 125/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 125/1 Bet365
9 Mister Daydream 7/2 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 7/2 Bet365
10 Further Measure 40/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Senor Cortez

Speculative

Senor Cortez owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 John Butler Jack Callan(3)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Big Bear Hug

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Jim Boyle
✓ Value Signal

Further Measure

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Mike Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Senor Cortez
52.3 2/1
2 7. Big Bear Hug
51.6 13/2
3 4. Crackergee
51.3 13/2
4 5. Educator
50.6 13/2
5 9. Mister Daydream
48.8 7/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Senor Cortez
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 10-0
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 5 · 9-0
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-7
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 7 · 9-7
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 7 · 9-5
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 9-8
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

3
Age 7 · 9-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 7 · 9-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Senor Cortez
Confidence: Medium

Senor Cortez (SR:79, 2/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 6 points ahead of Educator (SR:73) and 7 ahead of Crackergee (SR:72) — and carries 10-0 as top-weight, which is manageable on AW Good ground over 1m5f. His GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's conditions, he has a place at Lingfield already (Course:W0P1), and his form reads 2-3571 with the '1' rightmost meaning he won last time out just 8 days ago — fresh and in form. At 2/1 the market is clear about his superiority and his trainer Butler (13%) and jockey Callan (13%) both carry respectable strike rates to support the case. Each-way alternative: Mister Daydream. Main danger: Crackergee — Crackergee (SR:72, 13/2) is proven at this distance (DistFit:+), has shortened 9% in the market (Mkt:in9%), and his form shows a recent win (55-441, '1' last time out), giving him the strongest combination of distance suitability and improving profile of any rival.

Shortlist Senor Cortez, Mister Daydream, Crackergee
Each-way: Mister Daydream Danger: Crackergee

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade