Yet to win in five runs this campaign but has been competitive, placing third three starts back, and tops our figures for this race. Fitness after 42 days off is the obvious question, though this trip and going hold no fears.
Form last 60-4355
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.
Without a win in its last five starts and rarely fighting out finishes, form has been modest for this gelding. Proven over today's trip and going, but ranked only tenth of fourteen on our figures, leaving more to find than most.
Form last 6-88705
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
19SR—RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
This mare won four starts back and was frequently competitive either side of that, with thirds close by, before a below-par seventh last time out (20 days ago). She has form over today's distance and going and rates a leading contender on our figures.
Form last 6231337
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR—RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
This gelding has struggled to find the frame in recent starts, finishing ninth, sixth, unplaced, seventh and sixth without a win. He has raced over today's going before, but a rating of 49 - ninth of fourteen - suggests he's up against it.
Form last 667069-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR—RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Charles Morin was unplaced last time but consistent beforehand, with a second the highlight and nothing worse than fifth across his other recent runs. Without a win in this spell, he has distance and going proven and rates our fourth-best — a leading contender.
Form last 6-42530
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
This gelding's last five runs read fifth, seventh, ninth, seventh and fifth without landing a win in that time. Back 22 days after his latest outing and with form over today's distance and going, a rating of 54 - fifth of fourteen - suggests he's better fancied as a place contender than a winner here.
Form last 657-975
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
39SR—RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Six runs without a win, mostly sixths and sevenths, though a fourth six starts back shows he has some ability. Back 25 days after his latest run and with form over today's distance and going, a rating of 50 - seventh of fourteen - keeps him firmly mid-pack rather than a leading player.
Form last 6486076
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR—RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Without a win in six starts this campaign but rarely too far away, with a second six starts back and a pair of fourths since. Quick to return, only 12 days after his latest run, and with form over today's distance and going, a rating of 54 places him firmly in the chasing pack.
Form last 6246747
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
20SR—RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Nothing better than sixth in four runs this campaign, without a win among them, leaves this filly short on solid form. She was last seen 20 days ago and, rated bottom of the field here, looks to have a lot to find on this evidence.
Form last 68869
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR—RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.
A string of modest finishes - sixth, fifth, unplaced, seventh, unplaced - leaves this filly without a win in her last five starts. She returns quickly, just 12 days on, and has form over today's distance and going, but ranks only twelfth of fourteen on our figures.
Form last 6070-56
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR—RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Two thirds in the book but no win in his last five starts, this gelding's form is mixed, having been no better than fifth last time out. A lengthy 41-day absence and a rating of just 43 - eleventh of fourteen - leave him needing plenty to find, despite prior form over today's distance and going.
Form last 690-335
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
47SR—RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Well held in each of his last four starts, three of them unplaced, without a win in that time. Off the track for 44 days and rated just 29 - thirteenth of fourteen - he has experience over today's distance but faces a mountain to climb on this evidence.
Form last 600-08
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR—RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
A second last time out, backed up by a third two starts back, shows this gelding retains ability despite going without a win in his last five starts. Quick to reappear just seven days later, and with form over today's distance and going, a rating of 49 keeps him firmly in mid-pack contention.
Form last 64-5832
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
59SR—RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A second four starts back underlines this gelding's ability, even though he remains without a win in his last five starts. Back 27 days after that effort, with useful form over today's going and a rating of 55 - third of fourteen - he looks a leading contender here.
Form last 64-2076
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR—RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sapphire Dream owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/5Charlie CloverLiam Wright(5)
80%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Make It Up
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · William Knight✓ Value Signal
Lilykoy
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Dylan Cunha◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Sapphire Dream holds the highest SR in the field at 59 — a clear edge over the next-best Charles Morin (SR:50) and Make It Up (SR:47) — and the market has backed this emphatically, steaming in 55% from its opening price to 6/5, the most aggressive market move in the race. Trainer Charlie Clover operates at a strong 21% strike rate from 78 runners, the best in this field, and the yard has a course placing (W0P1) at Lingfield. The GoingFit:- flag is a concern on today's Good surface, but at Class 6 over 1m4f on an AW track the ground designation matters less than on turf, and the SR superiority plus the weight advantage (8-11 versus the heavier runners) outweighs that hesitation. The form string 4-5832 shows the last run was a second, confirming peak fitness, and no other runner combines market confidence, trainer strike rate, and SR leadership to this degree.
Each-way alternative: Charles Morin.
Main danger: Make It Up — Make It Up (SR:47, 11/2) carries the joint-lightest weight at 8-11, has the three-star AI probability rating, and trainer William Knight runs at a solid 13% — if the market drift (out 20%) proves misleading and the unexplored distance suits, it has the SR to place and potentially win.
ShortlistSapphire Dream, Make It Up, Charles Morin, Belle Of Kt