Newton Abbot 15:42 RESULTED
Class 5 13 Jul 2026

Last Monday Racing Club Handicap Hurdle

Racing Club Handicap Hurdle · 2m2f110y

Official Result

Racing Club Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Raffles Nobu (FR) Jack Quinlan · Nick Scholfield
    15/2
  2. Second Saucats (FR)
    9/2
  3. 12/1
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Ayr

14:00–17:05 · 7 races

Newton Abbot

14:42–17:15 · 6 races

Lingfield (AW)

17:10–20:40 · 8 races

Windsor

17:20–20:50 · 8 races

Killarney

17:30–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Renoir silks
Renoir
Age 7 · 12-0
437-63
95
77
95OR
7
12-0
12/1 8/1 12/1
Renoir was third last time out, a finishing position he also managed four starts back, and already has today's trip proven; a 47-day absence is the main concern, with our rating of 91 sitting a shade below his official mark of 95.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Get The Value silks
Get The Value
Age 8 · 11-11
P7-7P3
92
81
92OR
8
11-11
9/2
Get The Value was a solid third last time out, a marked improvement on the pulled-up efforts and sevenths that preceded it; fresh off a 13-day break with today's trip and going both proven, a rating of 93 edges him above his official mark of 92.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Sam's Amour silks
Sam's Amour
Age 9 · 11-11
P66-P4
92
70
92OR
9
11-11
12/1 17/2 11/1
Sam's Amour hasn't flattered on paper of late — fourth last time out either side of two pulled-up efforts and two sixths — but she still holds the edge over this field on our figures at 98, with today's trip already proven; those non-completions are the obvious blot.
AI verdict

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

4
Ugo Bingo silks
Ugo Bingo
Age 7 · 11-9
647-74
90
79
90OR
7
11-9
7/1 11/2 7/1
No better than fourth in his last five starts, with two sevenths in that sequence, Ugo Bingo does have today's trip and going both proven and arrives fresh off a 20-day break; his rating of 90 matches his official mark, reflecting a solid if unremarkable profile.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Privilege silks
Privilege
Age 8 · 11-9
5226-4
90
81
90OR
8
11-9
9/1 11/1 8/1
Privilege was fourth last time out, with a couple of runner-up efforts in the middle of his recent form, but a rating of 87 sits just below his official mark of 90. Today's trip is proven and he is fresh from a 20-day break, yet remains without a win of late.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Raffles Nobu silks
Raffles Nobu
Age 6 · 11-4
4-P342
85
80
85OR
6
11-4
6/1 4/1 6/1
Raffles Nobu was second last time out, having managed no better than third in the three runs before that; today's trip and going are both proven and he's fresh off a 27-day break, with a rating of 87 nudging above his official mark of 85.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Saucats silks
Saucats
Age 5 · 11-1
4-2551
82
86
82OR
5
11-1
11/2 FCST 9/2
Saucats won last time out to end a mixed spell of two fifths and a second in his previous three starts; our rating of 70 sits well below his official mark of 82, so there is a little to prove despite that success.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Coup De Gold silks
Coup De Gold
Age 10 · 11-0
3457-1
81
77
81OR
10
11-0
10/1 FCST 17/2
Coup De Gold won last time out after a run of a seventh, a fifth, a fourth and a third, though our rating of 72 remains well below his official mark of 81; today's trip is at least proven, but it's 31 days since that win.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Hawa Jumeirah silks
Hawa Jumeirah
Age 5 · 10-13
05-583
80
73
80OR
5
10-13
14/1 FCST 11/1
Hawa Jumeirah was a solid third last time out, a clear step up on the eighth, two fifths and an unplaced effort before it; today's trip is proven and he's fresh off a 10-day break, with a rating of 78 close to his official mark of 80.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Bowling Shane silks
Bowling Shane
Age 4 · 10-11
800-35
83
73
83OR
4
10-11
12/1 17/2 11/1
Bowling Shane has struggled, with a third earlier in the run his one placed effort among a couple of unplaced runs and an eighth. Our rating of 68 sits well below his official mark of 83, leaving him hard to fancy despite a 39-day break.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Peace Motivator silks
Peace Motivator
Age 6 · 10-9
FP-PP8
76
44
76OR
6
10-9
50/1 FCST 40/1
Peace Motivator's recent form reads badly on paper — an eighth and three pulled-up efforts in his last four starts — yet our rating of 95 sits well clear of his official mark of 76, making him fascinating on figures alone; those repeated non-completions remain the obvious worry.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

12
Anothermanicmonday silks
Anothermanicmonday
Age 6 · 10-5
0P06-5
72
71
72OR
6
10-5
6/1 15/2 6/1
Anothermanicmonday has managed only a fifth and a sixth in his last two starts, with two unplaced efforts and a pulled-up run also in that sequence; our rating of 62 sits well below his official mark of 72, and a 60-day break offers little in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Renoir 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
2 Get The Value 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 5/1 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Coral
3 Sam's Amour 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
4 Ugo Bingo 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 15/2 Coral
5 Privilege 9/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
6 Raffles Nobu 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 6/1 Bet365
7 Saucats 11/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 11/2 Bet365
8 Coup De Gold 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 11.00 10/1 Bet365
9 Hawa Jumeirah 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 14/1 Bet365
10 Bowling Shane 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
11 Peace Motivator 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365
12 Anothermanicmonday 6/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 10/1 7/1 open 11.00 15/2 12/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Saucats

Speculative

Saucats owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 Joe Tickle Callum Pritchard
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ugo Bingo

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Joe Tizzard
✓ Value Signal

Peace Motivator

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Barry John Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Saucats
54.5 11/2
2 4. Ugo Bingo
53.8 7/1
3 2. Get The Value
53.1 9/2
4 6. Raffles Nobu
50.6 6/1
5 10. Bowling Shane
50.5 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Saucats
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 8 · 11-11
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 11-1
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 11-4
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 6 · 10-5
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 11-9
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 11-9
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 10 · 11-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 9 · 11-11
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

10
Age 4 · 10-11
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 10-13
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Saucats
Confidence: Medium

Saucats (SR:86, 11/2) is the clear ability leader in this field, sitting 5 points clear of the next-best cluster at SR:81, and has just won last time out (form 4-2551, rightmost digit=1) — the strongest recent form line in the race. Carrying 11-1 gives a useful weight advantage over top-weight Renoir (12-0, SR:77) and Get The Value (11-11, SR:81), and the course form (W1P2 at Newton Abbot) adds a meaningful specialist edge on a track where local knowledge matters. The market has nudged in 6% since opening, indicating quiet but genuine confidence from connections, and trainer Joe Tickle's 12% strike rate (212 runners) is respectable for this level. The GoingFit:- flag is noted as a concern on good ground, but the recency of his win (10 days ago) and the class-level consistency (ClassMv:=) suggest he is in the form of his life and connections have clearly chosen to run now. Each-way alternative: Get The Value. Main danger: Get The Value — Get The Value (SR:81, 9/2) has strong course form (W1P2), a MarkMv:-8 drop in mark since last win giving a genuine handicap edge, and jockey Kielan Woods carries a solid 14% career strike rate — if the GoingFit:- concern proves overstated on a drying surface, this is the horse most capable of upstaging Saucats.

Shortlist Saucats, Get The Value, Privilege, Anothermanicmonday
Each-way: Get The Value Danger: Get The Value

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m2f110y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade