Newton Abbot 16:42 RESULTED
Class 4 13 Jul 2026

Last Monday William Hill Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

William Hill Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m1f170y

Official Result

William Hill Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Muskerry Rock (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton
    5/4F
  2. Second Balkardy (FR)
    22/1
  3. 7/2
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Ayr

14:00–17:05 · 7 races

Newton Abbot

14:42–17:15 · 6 races

Lingfield (AW)

17:10–20:40 · 8 races

Windsor

17:20–20:50 · 8 races

Killarney

17:30–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 4 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Presentandcounting silks
Presentandcounting
Age 12 · 12-0
354-23
117
106
117OR
12
12-0
9/2 7/2 4/1
Without a win in his last five starts, this gelding has never finished worse than fifth, and he returns fit from a run just 17 days ago. Already proven over today's distance and going, he rates the one to beat despite that winless sequence.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Muskerry Rock silks
Muskerry Rock
Age 7 · 11-12
38-122
115
115
115OR
7
11-12
11/8 Evs 5/4
A winner within his last five starts, this gelding has otherwise been placed in three of the other four, and races now for a yard among the current form leaders. He has form over today's distance and returns fit from a run 24 days ago.
AI verdict

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Belgarum silks
Belgarum
Age 8 · 11-2
PP-125
105
110
105OR
8
11-2
4/1 4/1 10/3
Belgarum won earlier in this sequence and was runner-up on his prior start, strong claims at this grade even if a fifth last time was modest. Two pulled-up runs further back are the only blot, and today's distance is proven.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Balkardy silks
Balkardy
Age 9 · 11-0
6P-U7P
103
77
103OR
9
11-0
22/1 22/1 20/1
Winless in his last five starts and disrupted by two pulled-up efforts and one unseated, this gelding's form undersells him - we rate him well above his official mark. He has form over today's distance and is fit from a run 20 days ago, though that run of unfinished races is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

5
Slaney Opera silks
Slaney Opera
Age 8 · 10-7
23-435
96
100
96OR
8
10-7
10/3
Slaney Opera is yet to win in this spell but has been placed in three of his last five, only fifth last time. Distance and going are proven and he is fit from a run 17 days ago, though he ranks bottom of this field on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Presentandcounting 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 9/2 Bet365
2 Muskerry Rock 11/8 open 2.10 5/4 open 2.10 5/4 open 2.10 11/8 open 2.00 11/8 11/8 Bet365
3 Belgarum 4/1 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 10/3 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
4 Balkardy 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 22/1 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 Bet365
5 Slaney Opera 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 10/3 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 10/3 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Muskerry Rock

Live signal

Muskerry Rock owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Belgarum

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Joe Tizzard
✓ Value Signal

Balkardy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Mrs C Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Muskerry Rock
62.3 11/8
2 3. Belgarum
60.5 4/1
3 1. Presentandcounting
58.4 9/2
4 5. Slaney Opera
56.9 10/3
5 4. Balkardy
43.5 22/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Belgarum
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 7 · 11-12
11/8
★★★☆☆ SR 115 🐾

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 8 · 10-7
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 11-2
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 12 · 12-0
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Belgarum
Confidence: Medium

Belgarum (SR:110, 4/1, 11-2) is the most compelling case in this thin field. GoingFit:+ is the standout differentiator — the only runner with a confirmed positive record on good ground, which is today's going, and that edge matters over 3m1f170y where stamina and ground-suitability compound. The Mkt:in8% move is meaningful in a five-runner field; money in small fields is concentrated and harder to disguise. Joe Tizzard's 10% strike rate is modest but Freddie Gingell has the tactical nous for this trip, and a recent form line of 1-2-5 shows a horse building into form, with the '5' last time readily forgivable as a class step. Course:W0P1 at Newton Abbot adds a further tick of familiarity. Each-way alternative: Muskerry Rock. Main danger: Muskerry Rock — Muskerry Rock (SR:115, 11/8) holds the highest SR in the field and Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton is the strongest connections combination on show — 21%/26% career strike rates — but the 9% market drift, a class rise (ClassMv:↑1), and no confirmed going or distance fit means the price reflects optimism more than evidence, though the raw ability could overcome those unknowns.

Shortlist Belgarum, Muskerry Rock, Slaney Opera
Each-way: Muskerry Rock Danger: Muskerry Rock

🗺 The Course Class 4

3m1f170y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade