Tote Tramore Derby Handicap (0-60) · 1m4f
A Saturday Rating of 39 and poor form of /8030- at 18/1 make Brewel Hill an unconvincing betting proposition.
Carrying top weight of 10-4 with a moderate form string of 120-34 and a Saturday Rating of 61 makes Chopsticks poor value at 2/1.
Form reading 4706-0 and a Saturday Rating of just 49 make Churchwarden a 9/1 outsider with little winning evidence.
Poor form (-07086) and a high weight of 9-12 make Magna Gee Gee's 3/1 odds poor value despite a Saturday Rating of just 54.
Rated just 43 with stale form of 31900- and sent off at 16/1, Vervain carries 9-11 with no market support.
A Saturday Rating of just 38, combined with 18/1 odds and a dismal form reading of 8/0/0-, makes Surviving Murmansk a rank outsider with little hope.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 50, inconsistent form figures of 467-45, and 9-3 weight limit confidence in a non-favourite at 10/3.
Carrying 9-3 off a Saturday Rating of just 33, Itsalonglongroad's dismal form of 1/30-6 and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects.
Rated just 37 with poor form figures of 8790-7 and a 14/1 outsider carrying 9-2, Plus Or Minus offers minimal winning prospects.
Carrying 9-0 at 28/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 21 and form reading 2/09-0 makes Appian Way an extremely unconvincing contender.
Outsider odds of 33/1, a Saturday Rating of just 20, and a miserable form reading of 900-00 make Fantasy Fara unbackable.
Shakita's 66/1 odds, Saturday Rating of just 19, and dismal 988-00 form make her a no-hope outsider in this contest.
Rated just 49 with poor recent form of 0-4830 and carrying 10-0 at 13/2, Jazz Forever offers little appeal.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Brewel Hill | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Chopsticks | 11/4 open 3.25 | — | 11/4 open 2.75 | 11/4 open 2.75 | 11/4 open 2.75 | 11/4 open 2.63 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Churchwarden | 11/2 open 9.50 | — | 11/2 open 9.50 | 11/2 open 9.50 | 11/2 open 9.50 | 5/1 open 10.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Magna Gee Gee | 10/3 open 4.00 | — | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 Coral |
| 5 Vervain | 16/1 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Surviving Murmansk | 16/1 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 12/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Highway Sixty One | 3/1 open 4.50 | — | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Itsalonglongroad | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 Coral |
| 9 Plus Or Minus | 16/1 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Appian Way | 33/1 open 23.00 | — | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Coral |
| 11 Fantasy Fara | 22/1 open 29.00 | — | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Shakita | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 Coral |
| 13 Jazz Forever | 13/2 open 8.00 | — | 6/1 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 6/1 | 13/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Chopsticks owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCarrying top weight of 10-4 with a moderate form string of 120-34 and a Saturday Rating of 61 makes Chopsticks poor value at 2/1.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 50, inconsistent form figures of 467-45, and 9-3 weight limit confidence in a non-favourite at 10/3.
Poor form (-07086) and a high weight of 9-12 make Magna Gee Gee's 3/1 odds poor value despite a Saturday Rating of just 54.
Form reading 4706-0 and a Saturday Rating of just 49 make Churchwarden a 9/1 outsider with little winning evidence.
Carrying 9-3 off a Saturday Rating of just 33, Itsalonglongroad's dismal form of 1/30-6 and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects.
Rated just 43 with stale form of 31900- and sent off at 16/1, Vervain carries 9-11 with no market support.
A Saturday Rating of just 38, combined with 18/1 odds and a dismal form reading of 8/0/0-, makes Surviving Murmansk a rank outsider with little hope.
Rated just 37 with poor form figures of 8790-7 and a 14/1 outsider carrying 9-2, Plus Or Minus offers minimal winning prospects.
A Saturday Rating of 39 and poor form of /8030- at 18/1 make Brewel Hill an unconvincing betting proposition.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Chopsticks (SR:61, 2/1) is the class standout in this modest 0-60 handicap by a clear margin — 7 SR points above the next-best rival and 22+ points above most of the field. The DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 1m4f, which is critical given how many rivals are untried (DistFit:?) or poor (DistFit:-) at this trip. Form of 120-34 shows consistent competitiveness and a recent win in the sequence. At 10-4 the weight is shared with Brewel Hill and Churchwarden but the SR advantage more than compensates. Jockey Paddy Harnett's 9% strike rate from 209 rides is solid for this level and the tongue-tie (HG:p) suggests connections are optimising for peak effort. Each-way alternative: Magna Gee Gee. Main danger: Magna Gee Gee — Magna Gee Gee (SR:54, 3/1) carries a favourable 9-12 — 6lb less than Chopsticks — and at age 4 has more upside potential; jockey W J Lee's 14% career strike rate from 632 rides is the strongest jockey booking in the field and could exploit any weight advantage if Chopsticks finds the top-weight burden telling late.