Sky Sports Racing Sky 512 Handicap · 1m5f219y
Carrying top weight of 10-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 63 and inconsistent form of 514651 limits The Craftymaster's appeal despite 9/4 odds.
A Saturday Rating of 46 and inconsistent form (186135) at 11/1 offers little confidence despite carrying 10-2.
Consistent form (332262) and fair 3/1 odds are offset by a modest Saturday Rating of 64 and a hefty 10-1 weight burden.
A Saturday Rating of 49 and poor recent form (332/7-) at 9-2 weight make 13/2 odds hard to justify.
Decent 2/1 odds and a 61 Saturday Rating are undermined by inconsistent 58638 form and a middling 8-11 weight assignment.
A Saturday Rating of 43, poor form figures of 7-775, and 16/1 odds signal minimal market confidence.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 The Craftymaster | 4/1 open 2.75 | — | 7/2 open 2.88 | 7/2 open 2.88 | 7/2 open 2.88 | 7/2 open 2.88 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 V Power | 10/1 open 10.00 | — | 9/1 | 9/1 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Havachoc | 2/1 open 7.50 | — | 9/4 open 6.00 | 9/4 open 6.00 | 2/1 open 6.00 | 2/1 open 6.00 | 9/4 Coral |
| 4 Kingston Sunflower | 7/2 open 13.00 | — | 10/3 open 12.00 | 10/3 open 12.00 | 7/2 open 12.00 | 10/3 open 12.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Mick The Hat | 10/3 open 2.38 | — | 10/3 open 2.38 | 10/3 open 2.38 | 10/3 open 2.38 | 3/1 open 2.38 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 6 Last Flight | 22/1 open 15.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Havachoc owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalConsistent form (332262) and fair 3/1 odds are offset by a modest Saturday Rating of 64 and a hefty 10-1 weight burden.
Decent 2/1 odds and a 61 Saturday Rating are undermined by inconsistent 58638 form and a middling 8-11 weight assignment.
A Saturday Rating of 49 and poor recent form (332/7-) at 9-2 weight make 13/2 odds hard to justify.
Carrying top weight of 10-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 63 and inconsistent form of 514651 limits The Craftymaster's appeal despite 9/4 odds.
A Saturday Rating of 46 and inconsistent form (186135) at 11/1 offers little confidence despite carrying 10-2.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Havachoc (SR 64, 3/1) carries 10-1 — a 6lb weight advantage over top-weight The Craftymaster (SR 63, 10-7) despite matching him on SR, making this a clear lbs edge on essentially equivalent ability. The 44% market steamhammer from opening price is the most significant market signal in the race and Billy Loughnane's booking (18% career strike rate from 1,555 runners) is a professional upgrade. Course form of W1P2 at Wolverhampton is directly relevant, and though DistFit is marked negative, the same is true of several rivals. The form string 332262 shows consistent placement and the last run just 4 days ago on this surface suggests the stable is deliberately targeting this opportunity. Each-way alternative: The Craftymaster. Main danger: Mick The Hat — Mick The Hat (SR 61, 2/1) is the market favourite from a strong stable (Ralph Beckett, 17%) with Rossa Ryan aboard, and at 8-11 carries 24lb less than The Craftymaster — the weight advantage is real even if the 24% drift since opening is a concern that the market has seen something amiss.