Pontefract 16:48 RESULTED
Class 5 7 Jul 2026

Tuesday 7 July Tallbaldybloke Three Score And Ten Birthday Handicap

Tallbaldybloke Three Score And Ten Birthday Handicap · 5f3y

Official Result

Tallbaldybloke Three Score And Ten Birthday Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Hover On The Wind (IRE) David Nolan · Paul Midgley
    11/4
  2. 5/2F
  3. 7/2
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Uttoxeter

13:30–16:30 · 7 races

Pontefract

13:48–16:48 · 7 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:10–20:40 · 8 races

Tramore

17:25–20:30 · 7 races

Brighton

18:20–20:50 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 16 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Davorge Nation silks
Davorge Nation Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-2
0137-6
62
62OR
3
9-2
SP
1
Hover On The Wind silks
Hover On The Wind
Age 6 · 10-2
730451
66
69
66OR
6
10-2
4/1 10/3 4/1
Carrying top weight of 10-2 with a modest Saturday Rating of 69 and inconsistent form of 730451 limits confidence.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 10-2 with a modest Saturday Rating of 69 and inconsistent form of 730451 limits confidence.

2
Betweenthesticks silks
Betweenthesticks
Age 6 · 10-0
112962
69
69
69OR
6
10-0
9/2 9/2 4/1
Carrying top weight of 10-0 with a Saturday Rating of 69 and patchy recent form (112962) limits Betweenthesticks to 2/5 stars.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 10-0 with a Saturday Rating of 69 and patchy recent form (112962) limits Betweenthesticks to 2/5 stars.

3
Storm Call silks
Storm Call
Age 4 · 9-13
418-54
68
57
68OR
4
9-13
14/1 16/1 14/1
A Saturday Rating of 57, weak 418-54 form, and 16/1 odds signal Storm Call carries top weight of 9-13 with little winning chance.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 57, weak 418-54 form, and 16/1 odds signal Storm Call carries top weight of 9-13 with little winning chance.

4
Showtime Mahomes silks
Showtime Mahomes
Age 7 · 9-8
4-1640
63
55
63OR
7
9-8
14/1 9/1 12/1
Carrying top weight of 9-8 with a Saturday Rating of 55 and patchy form of 4-1640, Showtime Mahomes offers little appeal at 11/1.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-8 with a Saturday Rating of 55 and patchy form of 4-1640, Showtime Mahomes offers little appeal at 11/1.

5
Dream Deal silks
Dream Deal
Age 7 · 9-7
9-0612
62
75
62OR
7
9-7
2/1 31/19 2/1
Rated 75 with inconsistent form (9-0612) and carrying 9-7, Dream Deal's 13/8 odds suggest market respect but not dominance.
AI verdict

Rated 75 with inconsistent form (9-0612) and carrying 9-7, Dream Deal's 13/8 odds suggest market respect but not dominance.

6
Dandy Dinmont silks
Dandy Dinmont
Age 7 · 9-7
057109
62
58
62OR
7
9-7
10/1 14/1 9/1
Carrying 9-7 with a Saturday Rating of 58, a weak form reading of 057109, and drifting at 14/1, Dandy Dinmont offers minimal winning appeal.
AI verdict

Carrying 9-7 with a Saturday Rating of 58, a weak form reading of 057109, and drifting at 14/1, Dandy Dinmont offers minimal winning appeal.

7
Sea Her Excel silks
Sea Her Excel
Age 3 · 9-4
3-0315
64
64
64OR
3
9-4
SP 9/1 12/1
Saturday Rating of 64 and patchy form (3-0315) at 11/1 make Sea Her Excel an unconvincing outsider carrying 9-4.
AI verdict

Saturday Rating of 64 and patchy form (3-0315) at 11/1 make Sea Her Excel an unconvincing outsider carrying 9-4.

9
Brave Empire silks
Brave Empire
Age 5 · 9-1
989054
56
57
56OR
5
9-1
11/2 13/2 11/2
Moderate Saturday Rating of 57, poor recent form (989054), and 9-1 weight limit combine to justify a cautious 15/2 market assessment.
AI verdict

Moderate Saturday Rating of 57, poor recent form (989054), and 9-1 weight limit combine to justify a cautious 15/2 market assessment.

10
Cheerleader silks
Cheerleader
Age 4 · 9-1
1728-9
56
46
56OR
4
9-1
18/1 14/1 16/1
Cheerleader's Saturday Rating of 46, weak form of 1728-9, and 18/1 odds signal no winning chance.
AI verdict

Cheerleader's Saturday Rating of 46, weak form of 1728-9, and 18/1 odds signal no winning chance.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Davorge Nation
1 Hover On The Wind 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 Bet365
2 Betweenthesticks 9/2 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
3 Storm Call 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Showtime Mahomes 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Dream Deal 2/1 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 Bet365
6 Dandy Dinmont 10/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 15.00 10/1 Bet365
7 Sea Her Excel 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 William Hill
9 Brave Empire 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 Bet365
10 Cheerleader 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 18/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 19.00 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Dream Deal

Speculative

Dream Deal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Tim Easterby David Allan
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Betweenthesticks

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Ruth Carr
✓ Value Signal

Cheerleader

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Tina Jackson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Dream Deal
54.6 2/1
2 2. Betweenthesticks
52.8 9/2
3 1. Hover On The Wind
50.4 4/1
4 6. Dandy Dinmont
45.7 10/1
5 9. Brave Empire
44.5 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Dream Deal
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 7 · 9-7
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

Rated 75 with inconsistent form (9-0612) and carrying 9-7, Dream Deal's 13/8 odds suggest market respect but not dominance.

1
Age 6 · 10-2
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

Carrying top weight of 10-2 with a modest Saturday Rating of 69 and inconsistent form of 730451 limits confidence.

2
Age 6 · 10-0
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

Carrying top weight of 10-0 with a Saturday Rating of 69 and patchy recent form (112962) limits Betweenthesticks to 2/5 stars.

9
Age 5 · 9-1
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

Moderate Saturday Rating of 57, poor recent form (989054), and 9-1 weight limit combine to justify a cautious 15/2 market assessment.

6
Age 7 · 9-7
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

Carrying 9-7 with a Saturday Rating of 58, a weak form reading of 057109, and drifting at 14/1, Dandy Dinmont offers minimal winning appeal.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 57, weak 418-54 form, and 16/1 odds signal Storm Call carries top weight of 9-13 with little winning chance.

4
Age 7 · 9-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-8 with a Saturday Rating of 55 and patchy form of 4-1640, Showtime Mahomes offers little appeal at 11/1.

10
Age 4 · 9-1
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

Cheerleader's Saturday Rating of 46, weak form of 1728-9, and 18/1 odds signal no winning chance.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Dream Deal
Confidence: Medium

Dream Deal is the clear SR leader in this field at 75, a full 6 points clear of the nearest rivals Hover On The Wind and Betweenthesticks (both 69), and is the only runner with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground — a meaningful edge in a nine-runner sprint handicap. The form string 9-0612 shows the horse finishing second and then winning in its most recent two runs, confirming peak current form, and at 9-7 it carries 9lb less than top-weight Hover On The Wind despite holding the SR advantage. Tim Easterby (9%, 1,737 runners) is a reliable northern handler at this level and David Allan (11%) is an experienced partner. The 13/8 favourite price is fully justified by the convergence of SR leadership, going confirmation, light weight relative to ability, and a horse clearly in form. Each-way alternative: Hover On The Wind. Main danger: Hover On The Wind — Hover On The Wind has Course:W1P2 at Pontefract — proven course form that can outweigh an SR deficit at a specialist track — and at 7/2 carries market confidence alongside an experienced booking of David Nolan, though the 10-2 top-weight and DistFit:- are real concerns.

Shortlist Dream Deal, Hover On The Wind, Betweenthesticks
Each-way: Hover On The Wind Danger: Hover On The Wind

🗺 The Course Class 5

5f3y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Pontefract Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade