Download The Fairplay App Now EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f210y
Moderate Saturday Rating of 69, mid-field odds of 9/2, and uninspiring form figures of 052 limit confidence to a fair 3-star rating.
Despite being market leader at evens, a single run showing only a second-place form gives insufficient evidence to justify confidence.
Solid 149 Saturday Rating and fair 4/1 odds are offset by a single run showing only a fourth-place finish.
Strong Saturday Rating of 149 and competitive 5/1 odds offset limited form figures of 03 and non-favourite market status.
100/1 odds, poor form figures of 59, and a lowly Saturday Rating of 125 expose Alice Rocks as a rank outsider with little market confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 150 and competitive 8-13 weight offset single poor form figure and 15/2 odds.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Parading | 15/2 open 5.50 | — | 8/1 open 5.00 | 8/1 open 5.00 | 8/1 open 5.00 | 8/1 open 5.00 | 8/1 Coral |
| 2 Radahn | 11/10 open 1.91 | — | 6/5 open 1.91 | 6/5 open 1.91 | 6/5 open 1.91 | 6/5 open 1.83 | 6/5 Coral |
| 3 Telegraphic | 4/1 open 5.50 | — | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Better Nature | 15/2 open 6.00 | — | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 8/1 Coral |
| 5 Alice Rocks | 125/1 open 101.00 | — | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Serenity Bay | 9/2 open 12.00 | — | 4/1 open 13.00 | 4/1 open 13.00 | 4/1 open 13.00 | 7/2 open 13.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Telegraphic owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalDespite being market leader at evens, a single run showing only a second-place form gives insufficient evidence to justify confidence.
Solid 149 Saturday Rating and fair 4/1 odds are offset by a single run showing only a fourth-place finish.
Strong Saturday Rating of 150 and competitive 8-13 weight offset single poor form figure and 15/2 odds.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 69, mid-field odds of 9/2, and uninspiring form figures of 052 limit confidence to a fair 3-star rating.
Strong Saturday Rating of 149 and competitive 5/1 odds offset limited form figures of 03 and non-favourite market status.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Serenity Bay (SR:150, 15/2) carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-13 and holds the joint-highest SR alongside Telegraphic, giving her a meaningful lbs advantage over rivals rated similarly. The market move is the most compelling signal in the race — a 34% inward move from opening price is a substantial steaming that strongly implies connections and market operators are confident. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) into a Class 4 novice after a single run represented as a '0' suggests that debut came in much stronger company and that connections now have her in an ideal spot to open her account. Ed Dunlop's 12% strike rate is solid for a yard that typically places horses carefully, and Saffie Osborne (14%, 664 runners) is a capable booking who has earned her spurs. Each-way alternative: Telegraphic. Main danger: Telegraphic — Telegraphic (SR:149, 4/1) shares the joint-top SR range, has shortened 9% in the market, and is trained by the prolific Charlie Johnston with David Egan aboard — a combination that suggests stable confidence from a yard that runs high volumes and knows where its horses belong.