Regained his best form at York 23 days ago, going down by only 1¼l off a 3lb lower mark, Northwest Passage has run well over this trip and surface and looks a serious contender off 82. His tendency to race freely is the one concern.
Form last 612-052
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR—RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 80 with solid 5/1 odds and form showing two wins, but 9-11 weight and inconsistent recent runs limit confidence.
Effective over 10-12f on any surface and performing consistently at Kempton just six days ago, Crystal Mariner has course-and-distance experience and handles the conditions. Inconsistency remains the main reservation and the mark may still be against him.
Form last 610-485
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR—RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-11 with poor recent form 10-485 and drifting odds of 12/1 signal limited winning prospects.
Consistent form over 10-12f on AW with a close second at Kempton last time off a mark just 2lb lower, Club Class arrives with a reasonable mark and a trainer in good form. First-time cheekpieces add interest, though she just needs to edge her level up.
Form last 612-442
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 92 with solid 12-442 form, Club Class carries top weight of 9-10 at 2/1 but isn't market favourite, limiting confidence.
Generally consistent over this sort of trip on any surface, Jupiter Ammon flopped in cheekpieces at Chester last time but returns off a break without that headgear. Winless in his last five starts, he needs a revival but handles the conditions and the mark is workable.
Form last 625-349
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR—RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Consistent mid-range Saturday Rating of 82 and patchy form of 25-349 at 3/1 suggest a competitive but unreliable each-way contender.
Two wins from his last five Flat starts, Forever Penywern was just 1¼l short off a mark 20lb higher than today’s in his most recent effort and arrives well treated on his best form. Proven over this trip and surface, he shapes as the one to beat.
Form last 653211-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 82 and solid recent form (53211-) at 9/2 odds suggest fair claims, but 9-9 weight limits winning prospects.
Previously a capable middle-distance performer, Aulis put in a lifeless effort at Pontefract last time suggesting he needed the outing. He has the ability for this trip and surface, but must prove his level is still there after time off.
Form last 62212/4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Aulis carries top weight of 9-9 with a modest Saturday Rating of 64, drifting to 16/1 in the market despite consistent form.
A winner on the Sunshine Coast off the same mark as today, Vaguer arrives for his debut in this yard after a near-18-month break and will likely need the run. The trainer is firing well but he is an unknown quantity on this surface.
Form last 653/71-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR—RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Vaguer's 79 Saturday Rating and 10/1 odds signal weak market confidence despite a 9-6 weight burden and inconsistent 53/71- form.
Won here last April off a mark just 1lb lower, Victors Spirit has solid course form to recommend him on this return to the AW. He was well below par on his latest outing, but drops 2lb and his usual hood goes back on as an additional positive.
Form last 6561257
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR—RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 66 and inconsistent form (561257) at 16/1 odds make Victors Spirit an unconvincing each-way proposition.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Club Class owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4James FanshaweDaniel Muscutt
78%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Jupiter Ammon
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Andrew Balding✓ Value Signal
Aulis
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
18/1 · Tina Jackson◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Club Class leads the field with an SR of 92 — comfortably above the next best (Jupiter Ammon and Forever Penywern at 82) — and carries a fair 9-10 in a Class 4 handicap where that SR advantage is meaningful. The DistFit:+ confirms proven effectiveness at this trip, which matters significantly over 1m3f where stamina is tested, and trainer James Fanshawe posts an 18% career strike rate from 153 runners — a yard that picks its spots. The 2/1 market position is the shortest price in the field and reflects genuine confidence in a horse whose recent 12-442 form shows consistent competitiveness at this level. The addition of a tongue-tie (tp) suggests connections are targeting improvement, and on an AW surface where small SR edges tend to matter more than on turf, this combination of top SR, proven distance fitness, and yard confidence makes Club Class the clear selection.
Each-way alternative: Forever Penywern.
Main danger: Jupiter Ammon — Jupiter Ammon (SR 82, 3/1) drops a class under Andrew Balding's powerful yard (19% strike rate) with P J McDonald aboard, and holds a place at this course — the ClassMv:↓1 drop is a genuine competitive advantage even if the GoingFit:- and 59-day absence require caution.