Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f14y
Outsider odds of 125/1 and a poor form figure of 66 make Matilda Bea a 121-rated longshot with little winning chance.
Cixi's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 76, inconsistent form (44-534), and 9/2 odds suggest modest prospects without market confidence.
Consistent form figures of 33-32 and a Saturday Rating of 81 justify mid-tier appeal at 10/3, though not favourite status.
Mid-field odds of 11/2 and a single form figure of 4 limit confidence despite a solid Saturday Rating of 148.
Royale Union's strong Saturday Rating of 151 at fair 3/1 odds with solid 9-2 weight justifies confident 4/5 star selection.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 142, weak form figures of 05, and 10/1 odds suggest market scepticism limits confidence here.
Outsider odds of 125/1 and weak form figure of 80 limit Victorian Rose's prospects despite a solid Saturday Rating of 125.
Consistent third-place form and a 73 Saturday Rating at 7/2 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence to warrant higher stars.
Outsider at 12/1 with a single fifth-place form figure limits confidence despite a solid 141 Saturday Rating.
Outsider odds of 28/1 and a winless form figure of 0-5 limit confidence despite a Saturday Rating of 127.
A Saturday Rating of 127 shows ability, but 80/1 odds and unknown form limit confidence to three stars.
A 50/1 outsider with a single run showing a ninth-place finish, Twilight Baby's weak form and Saturday Rating of 127 justify just 2/5 stars.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Navona Grey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 0 Ancient Realm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Matilda Bea | 80/1 open 126.00 | — | 80/1 open 126.00 | 80/1 open 126.00 | 80/1 open 126.00 | 80/1 open 151.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Cixi | 5/2 open 5.50 | — | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Hamda's Joy | 4/1 open 4.33 | — | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Miss Gallant | 13/2 open 6.00 | — | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Royale Union | 5/1 open 4.00 | — | 11/2 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 Coral |
| 7 Sterling Fortune | 14/1 open 11.00 | — | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 8 Victorian Rose | 100/1 open 126.00 | — | 100/1 open 151.00 | 100/1 open 201.00 | 100/1 open 201.00 | 100/1 open 201.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Clementines Star | 4/1 | — | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Honky Tonk Girl | 17/2 open 13.00 | — | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 12.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 11 Coxy's Star | 40/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 12 For Ever Hopefull | 125/1 open 81.00 | — | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Twilight Baby | 50/1 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | — | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Royale Union owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalCixi's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 76, inconsistent form (44-534), and 9/2 odds suggest modest prospects without market confidence.
Consistent form figures of 33-32 and a Saturday Rating of 81 justify mid-tier appeal at 10/3, though not favourite status.
Consistent third-place form and a 73 Saturday Rating at 7/2 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence to warrant higher stars.
Royale Union's strong Saturday Rating of 151 at fair 3/1 odds with solid 9-2 weight justifies confident 4/5 star selection.
Mid-field odds of 11/2 and a single form figure of 4 limit confidence despite a solid Saturday Rating of 148.
Outsider at 12/1 with a single fifth-place form figure limits confidence despite a solid 141 Saturday Rating.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 142, weak form figures of 05, and 10/1 odds suggest market scepticism limits confidence here.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Royale Union (SR:151, 3/1) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin over Miss Gallant (SR:148) and is trained by K R Burke, a 18% career strike-rate handler who is one of the shrewdest operators in AW novice company. The fact this filly is unraced means all distance and going fit markers are unknown, but that is true of much of this field — the key differentiator is that Burke's yard runs debutants with genuine purpose at this level, and the 3/1 market reflects stable confidence rather than uncertainty. Miss Gallant (SR:148, 11/2) has drifted 8% from her opening price despite having the second-highest SR, which is a clear negative signal that undermines her case, leaving Royale Union as the standout on ability combined with market support. Sterling Fortune (SR:142, 10/1) and Honky Tonk Girl (SR:141, 12/1) both have experience but their form figures (05 and 5 respectively) show they have not yet translated ability into results at this level. Each-way alternative: Sterling Fortune. Main danger: Miss Gallant — Miss Gallant holds the second-highest SR (148) in the field, is trained by the in-form Marco Botti (15% strike rate), and while the 8% drift is a concern, a hood fitting first-time out could simply reflect greenness — if she acclimatises quickly on AW debut, her raw ability makes her the most likely horse to beat Royale Union.