Boxing Day At The Races On Sale Now! Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race) · 2m125y
Modest form figures of 78- and 12/1 odds suggest mid-tier potential, but 137 Saturday Rating keeps him competitive.
Long odds of 28/1 and inconsistent form figures of 6U-42 undermine confidence despite a competitive weight of 11-4.
Strong 147 Saturday Rating and competitive 4/1 odds offset slightly by inconsistent F-13 form and 11-4 weight burden.
Consistent form figures of 22, a competitive 6/4 market price, and a strong Saturday Rating of 155 justify the four-star assessment.
Strong Saturday Rating of 147 at 5/1 odds makes Parisian Fair a compelling each-way market alternative carrying 11-0.
Long odds of 33/1 and no recognised form make Secret Message a 2/5 outsider despite carrying 11-0.
A Saturday Rating of 125 and 50/1 odds mark Ayla's Star as a long-shot outsider with little market support.
Long odds of 40/1, a single sixth-place form figure, and unfavoured market position leave Guerdale with little to recommend.
A single third-place form effort and 14/1 odds suggest mid-tier potential, reflected in a 141 Saturday Rating.
A Saturday Rating of 147 and single form figure of 8 suggest ability, but 8/1 odds and non-favourite status limit confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 152 and solid form figure of 2 at 11/2 odds make Zandahar a compelling each-way contender at 10-7.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Don De La Frontera | 12/1 | — | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Ifyouhaveaplan | 40/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Litaque | 11/2 open 5.00 | — | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Masterius | evn open 2.50 | — | evn open 2.20 | evn open 2.20 | 10/11 open 2.20 | evn open 2.20 | evn Bet365 |
| 5 Parisian Fair | 5/1 | — | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Secret Message | 33/1 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 28/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Ayla's Star | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Guerdale | 66/1 open 41.00 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Parish Girl | 28/1 open 15.00 | — | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Poppieholla | 11/1 open 9.00 | — | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Zandahar | 7/1 open 6.50 | — | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 | 7/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Zandahar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong Saturday Rating of 147 at 5/1 odds makes Parisian Fair a compelling each-way market alternative carrying 11-0.
Strong 147 Saturday Rating and competitive 4/1 odds offset slightly by inconsistent F-13 form and 11-4 weight burden.
Strong Saturday Rating of 152 and solid form figure of 2 at 11/2 odds make Zandahar a compelling each-way contender at 10-7.
A Saturday Rating of 147 and single form figure of 8 suggest ability, but 8/1 odds and non-favourite status limit confidence.
Modest form figures of 78- and 12/1 odds suggest mid-tier potential, but 137 Saturday Rating keeps him competitive.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Masterius holds the highest SR in the field at 155, a clear 3-point edge over second-best Zandahar (SR 152), and critically carries only 11-0 — the joint-lightest weight among rated rivals. The Form:22 record shows consistent placed effort at this maiden level (ClassMv:=), and a course visit (Course:W0P1) gives him a familiarity edge in an otherwise course-inexperienced field. At 6/4, the market is firmly behind him despite David Pipe's modest 10% strike rate, and no horse in the field can match his combination of SR and light weight. The 16-day turnaround is brisk but not alarming given his young age (4) and the yard running him confidently off a recent placed run. Each-way alternative: Zandahar. Main danger: Litaque — Litaque (SR:147, 4/1) has a Form:F-13 line showing a recent third and a win in successive starts, trained by Mickey Bowen with son James Bowen riding — a powerful combination — and at 4/1 the market rates this as the most credible threat to the favourite.