Southwell (AW) 16:50 RESULTED
Class 5 5 Jul 2026

Sunday 5 July Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap

Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m6f21y

Official Result

Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Senor Cortez (IRE) Jack Callan · John Butler
    7/4F
  2. Second Shushi (GB)
    17/2
  3. Third Premier (FR)
    13/2
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Market Rasen

13:50–17:10 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

14:02–17:55 · 8 races

Ayr

14:11–17:35 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Tripoli Flyer silks
Tripoli Flyer Non-Runner
Age 7 · 10-5
7431
76
76OR
7
10-5
SP
2
Dino Bellagio silks
Dino Bellagio
Age 7 · 10-2
318-35
73
71
73OR
7
10-2
7/1 6/1 7/1
Back towards an appealing mark at a trip that suits — effective 11-16f — after being held up off a steady early pace at Chester last time; that flat-track test may not have played to his strengths and a more positive ride could unlock more here.
AI verdict

Dino Bellagio's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 71, inconsistent 318-35 form, and 13/2 odds justify a moderate 3/5 assessment.

3
John Galt silks
John Galt
Age 4 · 10-2
453215
73
76
73OR
4
10-2
4/1 5/1 4/1
Won by a short-head at Leicester two starts back and held his own at the same mark last time over an extended trip; adds a first-time tongue-tie to the cheekpieces that have brought out his best of late, and handles 14f on AW.
AI verdict

Solid 76 Saturday Rating and consistent form (453215) offset by 10-2 weight burden and 5/1 market position.

4
Baltic silks
Baltic
Age 6 · 10-2
760-06
73
56
73OR
6
10-2
17/2 8/1 15/2
Back below his previous best mark now with first-time cheekpieces added, and the surface switch back to AW should help after a well-held turf run at Yarmouth last time; but he has been disappointing in his last five starts and needs to show considerably more.
AI verdict

Baltic's 56 Saturday Rating, 14/1 odds, and poor 760-06 form combine to make this 10-2 weighted runner a weak outsider.

5
Senor Cortez silks
Senor Cortez
Age 5 · 10-1
32-357
72
68
72OR
5
10-1
9/2 7/1 9/2
Placed at this distance and surface on multiple occasions in his recent starts, and this track and trip are within his range; the Kempton run last time lacked any obvious explanation for how far back he finished, and returning to favoured conditions should coax a better effort.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 10-1 with a modest Saturday Rating of 68, inconsistent form of 32-357, and drifting 8/1 in the market signals limited winning prospects.

6
Premier silks
Premier
Age 4 · 9-13
348-72
70
76
70OR
4
9-13
9/4 31/19 9/4
Back to his best last time, going close off a 3lb lower mark — beaten only a neck — on his second run since a wind operation; a reliable performer on both codes who stays up to 12f and benefits from cut in the ground, and our top-rated here.
AI verdict

Solid 76 Saturday Rating and fair 13/8 odds are undermined by inconsistent 348-72 form and a hefty 9-13 weight burden.

7
Spooky Wooky silks
Spooky Wooky
Age 4 · 9-5
47236-
62
67
62OR
4
9-5
10/1 5/1 10/1
Off the track for 242 days and well held on his last start at Musselburgh, leaving plenty to prove here on our figures; has the stamina for this distance on AW and carries a workable mark, but needs to show he retains ability after the long layoff.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a modest Saturday Rating of 67 and inconsistent form of 47236- limits confidence at 5/1.

8
Shushi silks
Shushi
Age 3 · 8-13
44-346
69
74
69OR
3
8-13
7/1 9/2 7/1
Beaten over 8 lengths at Kempton last time in a disappointing handicap effort; in capable hands and handles this surface well, but yet to score in recent starts and still has questions to answer at this level.
AI verdict

Shushi's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 74, moderate 11/2 odds, and inconsistent form reading 44-346 justify a neutral 3-star assessment.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Tripoli Flyer
2 Dino Bellagio 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 Bet365
3 John Galt 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
4 Baltic 17/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 9.00 17/2 Bet365
5 Senor Cortez 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 Bet365
6 Premier 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 Bet365
7 Spooky Wooky 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 Bet365
8 Shushi 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Premier

Speculative

Premier owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Warren Greatrex Edward Greatrex
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Dino Bellagio

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Donald McCain
✓ Value Signal

Dino Bellagio

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

7/1 · Donald McCain
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Premier
55.4 9/4
2 2. Dino Bellagio
52.5 7/1
3 3. John Galt
51.9 4/1
4 8. Shushi
50.7 7/1
5 5. Senor Cortez
48.4 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Premier
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 4 · 9-13
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

Solid 76 Saturday Rating and fair 13/8 odds are undermined by inconsistent 348-72 form and a hefty 9-13 weight burden.

3
Age 4 · 10-2
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

Solid 76 Saturday Rating and consistent form (453215) offset by 10-2 weight burden and 5/1 market position.

5
Age 5 · 10-1
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

Carrying top weight of 10-1 with a modest Saturday Rating of 68, inconsistent form of 32-357, and drifting 8/1 in the market signals limited winning prospects.

2
Age 7 · 10-2
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

Dino Bellagio's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 71, inconsistent 318-35 form, and 13/2 odds justify a moderate 3/5 assessment.

8
Age 3 · 8-13
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

Shushi's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 74, moderate 11/2 odds, and inconsistent form reading 44-346 justify a neutral 3-star assessment.

4
Age 6 · 10-2
17/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

Baltic's 56 Saturday Rating, 14/1 odds, and poor 760-06 form combine to make this 10-2 weighted runner a weak outsider.

7
Age 4 · 9-5
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a modest Saturday Rating of 67 and inconsistent form of 47236- limits confidence at 5/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Premier
Confidence: Medium

Premier (SR:76, 13/8) shares the joint-top SR in the field alongside John Galt but carries a notably lighter 9-13 and is the clear market leader at 13/8, reflecting genuine confidence from connections. The MarkMv:-30 is a striking signal — running off a mark 30lb below his last win, which represents an exceptional drop into a very winnable opportunity at Class 5. GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good surface on the Southwell AW, and trainer Warren Greatrex (12%) with son Edward Greatrex up is a tight yard booking. The form string 348-72 is not spectacular but the class drop makes the recent figures look far more workmanlike than they are, and the market at 13/8 suggests the stable knows the mark is exploitable today. Each-way alternative: John Galt. Main danger: Shushi — Shushi (SR:74, 11/2) carries a featherweight 8-13, has Andrew Balding (19% strike rate, the strongest trainer in the field) and P J McDonald (16%) in the saddle — elite connections in a Class 5 handicap — and if that low weight advantage translates over 1m6f, she could outrun her odds despite unproven distance credentials.

Shortlist Premier, John Galt, Shushi
Each-way: John Galt Danger: Shushi

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m6f21y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade