Southwell (AW) 15:05 RESULTED
Class 5 5 Jul 2026

Sunday 5 July attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2)

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2) · 7f14y

Official Result

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 2)

Confirmed
  1. Winner King Of Fury (IRE) Jason Hart · Michael Dods
    3/1F
  2. 9/2
  3. 6/1
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Market Rasen

13:50–17:10 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

14:02–17:55 · 8 races

Ayr

14:11–17:35 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tough Enough silks
Tough Enough
Age 6 · 9-9
6-0206
70
65
70OR
6
9-9
7/1 8/1 7/1
Suited by 6-7f on a sound surface and on the same mark as last time, Tough Enough was caught in the wrong position at Chester behind a front-runner. He has a long winless run behind him, though, and needs things to fall kindly to get involved.
AI verdict

Tough Enough's poor form (6-0206), low Saturday Rating of 65, and 8/1 odds suggest limited winning prospects despite carrying 9-9.

2
King Of Fury silks
King Of Fury
Age 6 · 9-9
-76547
70
69
70OR
6
9-9
9/2 5/1 4/1
Top-rated on our figures and suited by this trip and surface, King Of Fury lost his position by racing too freely at Ripon last time. A top jockey takes the ride, and if he settles better he rates value for his mark despite form that has been on the slide.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-9 with poor recent form of -76547 and a modest Saturday Rating of 69 limits King Of Fury's appeal at 5/1.

3
Noble Guest silks
Noble Guest
Age 4 · 9-7
6-3563
68
72
68OR
4
9-7
10/3 2/1 10/3
Third in a 7f handicap at Newmarket last time, his best showing for a while, Noble Guest drops below his last winning mark here which is encouraging. He handles the trip and good ground, though his record on AW is limited and that adds a layer of uncertainty.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 72 and patchy form of 6-3563 limits confidence despite 9/4 odds.

4
Blazing Son silks
Blazing Son
Age 8 · 9-7
726985
68
60
68OR
8
9-7
10/1 9/1 8/1
In a good position at Southwell last time but overdid it early and faded to be well beaten, Blazing Son handles 6-7f on this surface and his mark continues to ease. He needs to settle on the day and show his better form to get involved.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 60, weak 726985 form, and 10/1 odds signal limited winning prospects despite carrying 9-7.

5
Pickersgill silks
Pickersgill
Age 4 · 9-6
472175
67
73
67OR
4
9-6
9/2 9/2 4/1
Won here by 2l off a 4lb lower mark three starts back, Pickersgill showed solid course form and arrives 1lb below last time's mark. The trainer is in good form and she ran to her level last time, with only the penultimate effort below par.
AI verdict

Rated 73 with mixed form (472175) and carrying 9-6 at 9/2, Pickersgill shows moderate market confidence warranting a mid-range three stars.

6
Portman Blue silks
Portman Blue
Age 4 · 9-6
33548
67
66
67OR
4
9-6
8/1 13/2 8/1
Given an unsuitable trip at Lingfield last time, beaten 2¼l off a higher mark, Portman Blue returns after 66 days with a first-time tongue-tie applied. He handles 7f on AW and has more to offer, making him of some interest if he settles well.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 66 and uninspiring form of 33548 at 13/2 suggest limited winning prospects despite carrying 9-6.

7
Shamacid silks
Shamacid
Age 4 · 9-5
-86320
66
62
66OR
4
9-5
11/1 9/1 11/1
A maiden who has shown consistent form through most of his starts, Shamacid was left flat-footed at the start at Kempton last time and was never involved. He handles this trip and surface and a first-time tongue-tie is added, but a clean start is essential to show his ability.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 62, 10/1 odds, and uninspiring recent form of -86320 signal limited winning prospects here.

8
Crystal Dagger silks
Crystal Dagger
Age 4 · 8-13
2-5684
60
51
60OR
4
8-13
22/1 18/1 22/1
Beaten 5½l at Wolverhampton last time, where she was left behind for pace and looked to want a stiffer test, Crystal Dagger returns after 75 days and handles this trip and surface. Her form has dipped of late and she can be too keen, which limits her appeal here.
AI verdict

Crystal Dagger's 51 Saturday Rating, 18/1 odds, and poor recent form of 2-5684 signal minimal winning prospects.

9
Reputation silks
Reputation
Age 13 · 8-10
172-13
57
64
57OR
13
8-10
9/1 FCST 17/2
Won here by a length off a mark 4lb lower two starts ago, Reputation carries solid course form and ran to his level last time in third off the same 57 mark he carries today. He handles 7f on AW and looks well placed, though his trainer is currently in poor form.
AI verdict

Reputation's solid form (172-13) and fair 9/1 odds justify three stars, but a 64 Saturday Rating and 8-10 weight limit confidence.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tough Enough 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 Bet365
2 King Of Fury 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
3 Noble Guest 10/3 open 3.25 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 Bet365
4 Blazing Son 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
5 Pickersgill 9/2 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 Bet365
6 Portman Blue 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 Bet365
7 Shamacid 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
8 Crystal Dagger 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 25/1 Coral
9 Reputation 9/1 open 9.50 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Noble Guest

Speculative

Noble Guest owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 George Margarson David Egan
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pickersgill

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Iain Jardine
✓ Value Signal

Crystal Dagger

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Joey Ramsden
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Noble Guest
53.4 10/3
2 5. Pickersgill
51.5 9/2
3 1. Tough Enough
50.2 7/1
4 6. Portman Blue
49.7 8/1
5 2. King Of Fury
49.2 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Noble Guest
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 9-7
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-7 with a modest Saturday Rating of 72 and patchy form of 6-3563 limits confidence despite 9/4 odds.

2
Age 6 · 9-9
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-9 with poor recent form of -76547 and a modest Saturday Rating of 69 limits King Of Fury's appeal at 5/1.

5
Age 4 · 9-6
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

Rated 73 with mixed form (472175) and carrying 9-6 at 9/2, Pickersgill shows moderate market confidence warranting a mid-range three stars.

1
Age 6 · 9-9
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

Tough Enough's poor form (6-0206), low Saturday Rating of 65, and 8/1 odds suggest limited winning prospects despite carrying 9-9.

6
Age 4 · 9-6
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 66 and uninspiring form of 33548 at 13/2 suggest limited winning prospects despite carrying 9-6.

9
Age 13 · 8-10
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾

Reputation's solid form (172-13) and fair 9/1 odds justify three stars, but a 64 Saturday Rating and 8-10 weight limit confidence.

4
Age 8 · 9-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 60, weak 726985 form, and 10/1 odds signal limited winning prospects despite carrying 9-7.

7
Age 4 · 9-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 62, 10/1 odds, and uninspiring recent form of -86320 signal limited winning prospects here.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Noble Guest
Confidence: Medium

Noble Guest (SR 72, 9/4) is the class act of this modest field, carrying just 9-7 and dropping a tier (ClassMv:↓1) with a mark 2lb below his last win — a meaningful advantage in a Class 5 field where the SR ceiling is only 73. Jockey David Egan brings a 13% career strike rate, the strongest booking in the race, and a moderate going fit (GoingFit:~) is no bar to a horse whose form figures show consistent placed efforts at this level. The 9/4 price reflects genuine market confidence compared to rivals who are poorly exposed or carrying negative form signals, and at 4 years old he has more upside than ageing rivals like 13-year-old Reputation or 8-year-old Blazing Son. Each-way alternative: Pickersgill. Main danger: Pickersgill — Pickersgill (SR 73, 9/2) is actually the joint-highest SR in the field, has a course win and place to his name (Course:W1P1), and though his mark is 4lb up on his last win, his Southwell familiarity and moderate going fit make him the most dangerous rival at a workable price.

Shortlist Noble Guest, Pickersgill, King Of Fury
Each-way: Pickersgill Danger: Pickersgill

🗺 The Course Class 5

7f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade