Shaped with credit at Naas nine days ago, beaten a length off this mark, and she handles today's going well, with her stamina for the trip still to prove. First-time tongue-tie and blinkers introduce a question mark, but she looks a genuine threat if she carries that effort forward.
Form last 6-71803
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 44, weak 16/1 odds, and poor form reading -71803 make Rising Sky a very unlikely contender carrying 10-2.
Has shown reliable AW form in recent starts and brings a solid speed figure, but his latest turf outing at Leopardstown left much to be desired. First-time cheekpieces could make a difference, yet proving his worth on grass remains the challenge.
Form last 6722430
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR—RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of just 35, combined with 33/1 odds and uninspiring form reading 722430, makes Porsche Lad a clear market outsider.
Ran second at Listowel a month ago, beaten 3 lengths off a slightly lower mark, and she handles today's trip and ground. First-time hood added, but her patchy record makes her hard to rely on repeating that improvement.
Form last 6900-02
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR—RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 10-0 with patchy form of 900-02 and a modest Saturday Rating of 57 limits confidence despite 5/2 odds.
Ex-French gelding who found a drop in trip counterproductive last time at Limerick, beaten 8 lengths, but the return to 12f looks far more in his favour. First-time tongue-tie added, though he still has plenty to prove for his current yard and his best form has come on AW.
Form last 682-008
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR—RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-13 with poor recent form (82-008) and a low Saturday Rating of 52 at 8/1 makes Robot Rock an unconvincing proposition.
Third in his latest Flat start at Navan, beaten half a length off a mark 2lb lower than today's, which is an encouraging effort over a slightly shorter trip. Handles today's distance and going, though his record makes him unreliable to follow up.
Form last 600-483
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR—RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 48 and poor form of 00-483 make Jazz Forever's 9-12 weight burden too much to overcome at 15/2.
Reliable on the all-weather with some encouraging recent efforts, including a win in her last five starts, but her return to turf at Leopardstown was a well-beaten effort, 7½ lengths behind. First-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces applied, though grass remains her primary question mark.
Form last 61-5230
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR—RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-11 with a Saturday Rating of just 37 and weak 16/1 odds, Trishuli River's form of 1-5230 offers little confidence.
Generally a consistent performer at this level, effective over today's trip, and she rates highly on our figures at rank 3. Her last outing at Navan was well beaten without ever threatening, and the first-time cheekpieces will need to spark an improvement.
Form last 64-5628
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR—RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 42 and poor recent form (4-5628) at 14/1 makes Eastern Wind a weak contender carrying 9-10.
Held to his current level when beaten 3 lengths off this mark at Fairyhouse recently, and he handles good ground well. Effective over 10-11f but stamina over today's 12f is unproven, and his form has been in decline.
Form last 6-07086
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR—RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 44 and poor form (-07086) at 11/1 suggest minimal winning prospects despite carrying 9-10.
Has the ability for this grade on her day but having done too much early over hurdles at Clonmel last time, she returns to the Flat on ground she handles. An inconsistent performer, though the conditions and trip are not beyond her.
Form last 60/4-74
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR—RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Outsider odds of 22/1, a poor Saturday Rating of 30, and dismal form figures of 0/4-74 make Circus Act an extremely unlikely winner.
Showed smart AW form prior to a well-beaten run at Dundalk in first-time blinkers 112 days ago. Back after a lengthy break and unexposed at this level, he could find turf more to his liking and rates as a clear danger.
Form last 6-31340
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
22SR—RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 22 and weak form (-31340) at 25/1 odds offer little confidence despite carrying 9-5.
Third on his handicap debut three weeks ago, beaten 2 lengths off a mark just 1lb lower, and he handles today's trip and going. Retains the cheekpieces and could benefit from a more patient approach; with the trainer in form, he warrants serious respect.
Form last 60773
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR—RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-3 with modest form figures of 0773, Sir Trancealot's 10/3 odds reflect lukewarm market confidence despite a Saturday Rating of 63.
Landed a handicap 49 days ago by 2¼ lengths off a 6lb lower mark, making good use of a forward position, and he handles middle distances on soft ground. Still progressing and lightly raced, though today's mark is considerably higher.
Form last 6/0-551
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR—RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Masego's poor form (/0-551), low Saturday Rating of 46, and 10/1 odds suggest minimal market confidence.
Made a poor handicap debut at Limerick three weeks ago and the form pattern in recent starts has been inconsistent. His trainer is operating in good form of late, but conditions have yet to click for this gelding and he remains a work in progress.
Form last 60609
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR—RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 9-1 at 16/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 44 and poor recent form of 0609 makes Amethyst Stone a weak contender.
Missed the break and failed to land a blow at Leopardstown recently, his latest in a run of poor form on turf, and all his better efforts have come on AW surfaces. Operates off a modest mark on today's trip but switching back to grass demands a big improvement.
Form last 6580000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
21SR—RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 21, form reading 580000, and 33/1 odds signal minimal winning chance in this competitive handicap.
Missed the start and finished in arrears at Down Royal 13 days ago, beaten 9½ lengths, and the overall profile in recent starts makes her hard to recommend even from a low mark. Handles today's distance and going, but improvement is needed.
Form last 68-8706
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
19SR—RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 19, 66/1 odds, and form showing 8-8706 signal a horse with virtually no winning prospects.
Effective over shorter trips and has already tired late when tried up in distance at Fairyhouse last time, making today's 12f a further stamina test. First-time tongue-tie applied; connections have a strong record in this race but she faces a stiff challenge.
Form last 69-0688
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR—RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long odds of 16/1, poor recent form showing a win followed by finishes of 6, 8, 8, and a low Saturday Rating of 43 combine to make No Bother Aoife a weak selection.
Completely failed to break at Leopardstown 15 days ago, hopelessly behind throughout and beaten 6¼ lengths. Bred for 8-10f, so today's trip is an unknown; first-time hood added, and a better run is expected at some point, though the profile makes him hard to fancy here.
Form last 6-00088
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR—RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 33, 25/1 odds, and form showing -00088 make Private Larry a deeply unconvincing contender carrying 8-10.
Raced far too freely and faded at Down Royal 13 days ago on a longer trip; she's best at 7-8f and today's 12f looks beyond her. Inconsistent overall, and while connections have taken this race before, she faces a considerable ask.
Form last 6990-05
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR—RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 33, 28/1 odds, and dismal form of 990-05 offer no case for selection.
Failed to land a blow at Down Royal 13 days ago, missing the break and finishing well beaten, and his recent record in handicaps makes for difficult reading. Handles today's trip and going, but first-time tongue-tie aside, he faces a stiff task.
Form last 68790-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR—RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 23, 25/1 odds, and form reading 8790-7 combine to make Plus Or Minus a near-hopeless contender.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cala Gracioneta owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Matthew J SmithRobbie Colgan
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Sir Trancealot
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · J P Murtagh✓ Value Signal
Porsche Lad
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · P J F Murphy◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Carrying top weight of 9-3 with modest form figures of 0773, Sir Trancealot's 10/3 odds reflect lukewarm market confidence despite a Saturday Rating of 63.
Long odds of 16/1, poor recent form showing a win followed by finishes of 6, 8, 8, and a low Saturday Rating of 43 combine to make No Bother Aoife a weak selection.
Sir Trancealot (SR 63, 10/3) is the clear SR leader in this field by a meaningful margin over the next-best Cala Gracioneta (SR 57), and crucially carries only 9-3 — a significant weight advantage over top-weight Rising Sky (10-2) and several mid-field rivals. As a 3-year-old trained by J P Murtagh, the form string 0773 shows progressive improvement across recent runs, and the class of the trainer's yard is a clear differentiator in a 0-60 Bellewstown handicap. The odds of 10/3 reflect genuine market confidence — this is a horse attracting money for obvious reasons — and the 1m4f37y trip on Good ground suits a horse with a staying pedigree likely being aimed at exactly this type of contest.
Each-way alternative: Cala Gracioneta.
Main danger: Cala Gracioneta — Cala Gracioneta (SR 57, 5/2) is the market favourite with strong trainer confidence from Matthew J Smith, and a last-time-out second ('2' in the rightmost form digit) on a form string that includes a '9' and '0' — suggesting course/going conditions matter greatly, and if today's Good ground suits, she could reverse the SR deficit with a career-best.
ShortlistSir Trancealot, Cala Gracioneta, Jazz Forever