Howden Insurance Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m75y
Carrying top weight of 12-0 with a modest Saturday Rating of 107 and patchy form (7PPP-1) limits confidence despite 4/1 odds.
Krak's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 113, awkward form (370P-2), and top weight of 11-12 limit confidence despite market-friendly 11/8 odds.
Carrying top weight of 11-11 with a modest Saturday Rating of 119 and patchy recent form of /1145- limits confidence at 9/2.
Gore Point's consistent form of 342-21, competitive 9/4 odds, and solid 115 Saturday Rating justify strong 4-star confidence despite carrying 10-8.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Duke Of Luckley | 5/1 open 3.25 | — | 5/1 open 3.50 | 5/1 open 3.50 | 5/1 open 3.50 | 5/1 open 3.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Krak | 11/8 open 2.63 | — | 11/8 open 2.50 | 11/8 open 2.50 | 11/8 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 3 Schmilsson | 13/2 open 4.33 | — | 13/2 open 4.00 | 13/2 open 4.00 | 13/2 open 4.00 | 13/2 open 3.75 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Gore Point | 7/4 open 5.50 | — | 7/4 open 5.50 | 7/4 open 5.50 | 7/4 open 5.50 | 6/4 open 5.50 | 7/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Krak owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalKrak's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 113, awkward form (370P-2), and top weight of 11-12 limit confidence despite market-friendly 11/8 odds.
Gore Point's consistent form of 342-21, competitive 9/4 odds, and solid 115 Saturday Rating justify strong 4-star confidence despite carrying 10-8.
Carrying top weight of 12-0 with a modest Saturday Rating of 107 and patchy form (7PPP-1) limits confidence despite 4/1 odds.
Carrying top weight of 11-11 with a modest Saturday Rating of 119 and patchy recent form of /1145- limits confidence at 9/2.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Gore Point (SR 115, 9/4) carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-8, giving it a meaningful 16lb advantage over Duke Of Luckley and 18lb over Schmilsson — a significant edge on good ground over 2m75y. The form string 342-21 is the most consistent and most recent in the field, showing a win and a second in its last two starts, confirming peak fitness. Trainer Anthony Honeyball has a strong record with horses in this mould and the 4-star AI probability flags this as the most likely winner. At 9/4 the market is respecting the weight advantage and current form without overcooking the price. Each-way alternative: Krak. Main danger: Krak — Krak (SR 113, 11/8) is the market leader, carries only 1lb more than Gore Point at 11-12, and the form 370P-2 shows a close second last time out, suggesting the Twiston-Davies yard has this horse primed and the market's morning-line confidence at 11/8 reflects genuine stable intent.