Tattersalls 40,000 Pound EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f
Strong Saturday Rating of 154 combined with a winning form figure and competitive 4/1 odds justify four stars.
Gymbaazy's single winning form and 11/2 odds outside the favourite market limit confidence despite a solid 152 Saturday Rating.
A Saturday Rating of 55 and 25/1 odds signal limited winning prospects despite solid 9-9 weight and form showing one win.
Long-shot odds of 80/1 undermine Beach Noir's solid Saturday Rating of 125, creating a conflicted market signal.
Strong Saturday Rating of 158 and fair 5/2 odds offset by winless form figure of 20 and non-favourite market position.
Rated 137 but sent off at 16/1 with 9-4 weight suggests market doubt despite solid Saturday Rating.
Solid 93 Saturday Rating and consistent form figures of 23 at 3/1 suggest capability without dominance, carrying 9-4 against likely stronger market rivals.
Long-shot odds of 22/1 and unknown form limit confidence despite a competitive Saturday Rating of 130.
Weak 18/1 market position, single form figure of 4, and a Saturday Rating of 134 signal limited winning prospects.
A Saturday Rating of 152 at 5/1 odds with 9-4 weight suggests mid-tier potential without favourite market support.
Walcourt's 66/1 odds and unknown form signal minimal market confidence despite a 125 Saturday Rating.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 State Of War | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Collateral Damage | 7/2 | — | 10/3 open 4.50 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 7/2 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Gymbaazy | 11/2 open 5.00 | — | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 3 My A'Ali Baba | 28/1 open 17.00 | — | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Coral |
| 4 Beach Noir | 100/1 open 51.00 | — | 125/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 Coral |
| 5 Cilician | 3/1 open 3.75 | — | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 5/2 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Dontlookbackinanga | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 7 Encounter | 7/2 open 6.00 | — | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Or Ever | 20/1 open 19.00 | — | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 10 Storm Blade | 9/1 open 15.00 | — | 8/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 15/2 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 11 The Balearic Sun | 7/2 open 7.00 | — | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 Coral |
| 12 Walcourt | 100/1 open 41.00 | — | 125/1 open 41.00 | 125/1 open 41.00 | 125/1 open 41.00 | 125/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cilician owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong Saturday Rating of 158 and fair 5/2 odds offset by winless form figure of 20 and non-favourite market position.
Strong Saturday Rating of 154 combined with a winning form figure and competitive 4/1 odds justify four stars.
Solid 93 Saturday Rating and consistent form figures of 23 at 3/1 suggest capability without dominance, carrying 9-4 against likely stronger market rivals.
A Saturday Rating of 152 at 5/1 odds with 9-4 weight suggests mid-tier potential without favourite market support.
Weak 18/1 market position, single form figure of 4, and a Saturday Rating of 134 signal limited winning prospects.
Rated 137 but sent off at 16/1 with 9-4 weight suggests market doubt despite solid Saturday Rating.
Long-shot odds of 22/1 and unknown form limit confidence despite a competitive Saturday Rating of 130.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Cilician (SR 158, 5/2) holds the highest rating in the field and is the clear SR leader by 4 points over the next-best. Crucially, the 5lb weight advantage over Collateral Damage and Gymbaazy (both 9-9) while carrying only 9-4 is a meaningful edge in a competitive juvenile novice on good ground at 7f. The form figure of '20' shows a win followed by a second, confirming the horse has already handled a racecourse environment competently and can deliver under pressure. Brian Meehan is a capable handler of precocious 2-year-olds and the market has made this horse co-favourite, reflecting genuine confidence rather than noise. Each-way alternative: Collateral Damage. Main danger: Collateral Damage — Collateral Damage (SR 154, 4/1) won on debut, carries the same 9-9 as field-top Gymbaazy, and K R Burke is an operator who targets races specifically — a horse sent here in peak condition with a win already banked is the most credible threat to Cilician.