Beverley 20:40 RESULTED
Class 6 3 Jul 2026

Friday 3 July Churchill Tyres Handicap

Churchill Tyres Handicap · 7f96y

Official Result

Churchill Tyres Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner The Sweet Escape (GB) Silvestre De Sousa · David Loughnane
    7/2F
  2. 22/1
  3. Third Travis (GB)
    9/2
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Jesmond Dawn silks
Jesmond Dawn
Age 5 · 9-9
80-723
65
68
65OR
5
9-9
11/2 4/1 11/2
Third at Redcar 14 days ago, beaten 7¼l in a handicap, he ran to his level and is effective over 7/8f on sound ground; placed in recent starts and consistent in form, he holds every chance of going well here.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight 9-9 with a Saturday Rating of 68 and uninspiring form figures of 80-723 limits confidence at 9/2.

2
Travis silks
Travis
Age 5 · 9-9
-25001
65
63
65OR
5
9-9
10/1 15/2 10/1
Landed a handicap by 2l at Redcar 14 days ago off a 6lb lower mark, his best form in a couple of years; effective over 6-8f on any going, likely suited by this distance, and his trainer is in fine form — the 6lb rise is the question but he is respected.
AI verdict

Travis carries top weight of 9-9 with a modest Saturday Rating of 63, inconsistent form of -25001, and drifting 9/1 odds outside the market.

3
Qazaq silks
Qazaq
Age 5 · 9-8
726453
64
66
64OR
5
9-8
6/1 4/1 11/2
Third at Musselburgh 11 days ago, beaten 3l off this very mark; he tries first-time blinkers and handles 7/8f on a sound surface, operating from what looks a competitive rating — a genuine danger with scope to improve under the new headgear.
AI verdict

Inconsistent form (726453) and a Saturday Rating of 66 limit appeal despite a fair 9/2 market position.

4
Tropez Power silks
Tropez Power
Age 7 · 9-7
456-68
63
51
63OR
7
9-7
16/1 12/1 16/1
Well beaten at Redcar in a disappointing effort last time, he returns from a 57-day break; effective over 7/8f on good ground and his mark has been trimmed, though a more convincing display is needed before he becomes more than an outsider here.
AI verdict

Carrying 9-7 with a Saturday Rating of just 51, poor recent form of 456-68, and 14/1 odds signal limited winning prospects.

5
Reginald Charles silks
Reginald Charles
Age 6 · 9-6
1-6352
62
65
62OR
6
9-6
11/2 5/1 11/2
Ran to his finest level in a long time when second at Redcar 14 days ago, beaten 2l off a 1lb lower mark; effective over 7-9f on any going, he arrives from a competitive mark and should go well if he builds on that encouraging return to form.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight 9-6 with a Saturday Rating of 65 and inconsistent form 1-6352 limits confidence despite fair 13/2 odds.

6
Dr Rio silks
Dr Rio
Age 10 · 9-6
5-5438
62
46
62OR
10
9-6
18/1 FCST 16/1
Failed to get into it at Carlisle 24 days ago when stepped up in trip, but was in solid form before that; handles this track well and acts on fast ground, though dropping back to this distance from a longer run is a query.
AI verdict

Dr Rio's 46 Saturday Rating, 20/1 odds, and poor 5-5438 form combine to make this 9-6 weighted runner a weak market outsider.

7
The Sweet Escape silks
The Sweet Escape
Age 4 · 9-4
162446
60
69
60OR
4
9-4
3/1 10/3 11/4
Beaten 5l in a below-par run last time off a mark 2lb higher than today; he steps into first-time tongue-tie and handles 7-9f on any going, including a win in his last six — a sounder display is needed but the lower mark could help.
AI verdict

Rated 69 with inconsistent form (162446) and carrying 9-4 at 4/1 suggests a mid-tier chance warranting a cautious three stars.

8
Sunny Orange silks
Sunny Orange
Age 6 · 9-3
130744
59
58
59OR
6
9-3
15/2 17/2 15/2
Landed this race 12 months ago, and his trainer has a fine record at this course; fourth last time off a mark 1lb higher, not at his peak that day, he steps into first-time cheekpieces on a further eased mark — a more convincing effort is needed, but the conditions suit.
AI verdict

Rated just 58 with inconsistent form (130744) and carrying 9-3 at 9/1, Sunny Orange offers little winning confidence.

9
Sir David silks
Sir David
Age 4 · 9-1
-00082
57
55
57OR
4
9-1
12/1 15/2 11/1
Second at Carlisle 25 days ago, beaten 1½l off a slightly lower mark — a decent return after poor earlier outings; acts on any going though 7f may suit him better than today's 8f, and the broader form record makes him a tough punt.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 55, poor form (-00082), and 10/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in Sir David's winning chances.

10
King Sharja silks
King Sharja
Age 6 · 9-0
3-0224
56
60
56OR
6
9-0
11/1 13/2 11/1
Fourth at Carlisle 18 days ago, beaten 3¼l off a 1lb higher mark in a run to his level; handles 7/8f on sound ground, but his trainer is out of form at just 4% over the past fortnight, making this a difficult play.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 60 and inconsistent form (3-0224) at 9-0 limits confidence despite fair 8/1 odds.

11
Electric Lightning silks
Electric Lightning
Age 5 · 8-13
548-00
55
44
55OR
5
8-13
16/1 16/1 14/1
Down the field at Redcar 46 days ago in a well-beaten effort, his mark has since eased but more is required; handles 7/8f on good ground and all-weather, but his trainer is out of form and our figures rate him last of these — hard to make a case.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 44, poor form (548-00), and 18/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Jesmond Dawn 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 Coral
2 Travis 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 Bet365
3 Qazaq 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 13/2 Coral
4 Tropez Power 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
5 Reginald Charles 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
6 Dr Rio 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 Bet365
7 The Sweet Escape 3/1 open 7.50 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 4.50 11/4 open 7.00 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 Bet365
8 Sunny Orange 15/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 9.50 8/1 Coral
9 Sir David 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
10 King Sharja 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.50 12/1 Coral
11 Electric Lightning 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

The Sweet Escape

Speculative

The Sweet Escape owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 David Loughnane Silvestre De Sousa
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Qazaq

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Iain Jardine
✓ Value Signal

Dr Rio

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Declan Carroll
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. The Sweet Escape
53.4 3/1
2 3. Qazaq
50.4 6/1
3 5. Reginald Charles
48.7 11/2
4 1. Jesmond Dawn
47.5 11/2
5 8. Sunny Orange
45.3 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
The Sweet Escape
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 4 · 9-4
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

Rated 69 with inconsistent form (162446) and carrying 9-4 at 4/1 suggests a mid-tier chance warranting a cautious three stars.

1
Age 5 · 9-9
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

Carrying top weight 9-9 with a Saturday Rating of 68 and uninspiring form figures of 80-723 limits confidence at 9/2.

5
Age 6 · 9-6
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

Carrying top weight 9-6 with a Saturday Rating of 65 and inconsistent form 1-6352 limits confidence despite fair 13/2 odds.

3
Age 5 · 9-8
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾

Inconsistent form (726453) and a Saturday Rating of 66 limit appeal despite a fair 9/2 market position.

8
Age 6 · 9-3
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

Rated just 58 with inconsistent form (130744) and carrying 9-3 at 9/1, Sunny Orange offers little winning confidence.

2
Age 5 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

Travis carries top weight of 9-9 with a modest Saturday Rating of 63, inconsistent form of -25001, and drifting 9/1 odds outside the market.

10
Age 6 · 9-0
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 60 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 60 and inconsistent form (3-0224) at 9-0 limits confidence despite fair 8/1 odds.

9
Age 4 · 9-1
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 55, poor form (-00082), and 10/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in Sir David's winning chances.

4
Age 7 · 9-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

Carrying 9-7 with a Saturday Rating of just 51, poor recent form of 456-68, and 14/1 odds signal limited winning prospects.

11
Age 5 · 8-13
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 44, poor form (548-00), and 18/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects in this handicap.

6
Age 10 · 9-6
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

Dr Rio's 46 Saturday Rating, 20/1 odds, and poor 5-5438 form combine to make this 9-6 weighted runner a weak market outsider.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
The Sweet Escape
Confidence: Medium

The Sweet Escape (SR 69, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a favourable 9-4, giving it a meaningful weight edge over the two joint-favourites Jesmond Dawn and Qazaq (both 9-8/9-9). The form string 162446 shows consistent competitiveness at this level, including a win and a second in recent starts, and trainer David Loughnane is a shrewd handler of this type. The market has installed it as favourite at 4/1, reflecting genuine confidence rather than drift, and Good to Firm at 7f96y at Beverley suits a progressive 4-year-old carrying a light-ish weight. Each-way alternative: Reginald Charles. Main danger: Jesmond Dawn — Jesmond Dawn (SR 68, 9/2) carries 9-9 but is joint-second in the ratings and has the 3-star AI probability to match, with the '8' in recent form suggesting a strong run last time out that could translate to a win at this trip on Good to Firm.

Shortlist The Sweet Escape, Jesmond Dawn, Qazaq, Reginald Charles
Each-way: Reginald Charles Danger: Jesmond Dawn

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f96y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Beverley Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade