Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 5f3y
A single form figure of 5, despite carrying 9-7 at evens, gives Bold Commander's Saturday Rating of 130 little credibility.
Howlin Wolf's 100/1 odds and uninspiring form figures of 77 reflect a market that sees little winning chance despite carrying 9-7.
A Saturday Rating of 127, 22/1 odds, and uninspiring form figures of 56 indicate limited winning prospects.
Consistent form figures of 532, a competitive 10/3 market price, and a strong Saturday Rating of 154 justify four stars.
Weak 20/1 odds, a modest Saturday Rating of 130, and a single form figure of 85 signal limited winning prospects.
Outsider odds of 18/1 and a weak form figure of 40 signal little market confidence despite a competitive weight of 9-2.
Consistent form figure of 2, competitive 5/2 odds, and a strong Saturday Rating of 155 justify four stars despite carrying 9-2.
Long odds of 50/1 and a Saturday Rating of 128 place Little Diva well outside market expectations for this maiden.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bold Commander | 11/10 open 2.20 | — | evn open 2.10 | evn open 2.10 | 11/10 | evn open 1.91 | 11/10 Bet365 |
| 2 Howlin Wolf | 100/1 open 81.00 | — | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 3 New Mexico | 25/1 open 23.00 | — | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Tradewinds | 11/4 open 4.00 | — | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.33 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Two Brigade | 20/1 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Alrashdeyah | 18/1 open 21.00 | — | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 7 April Mist | 5/2 open 3.00 | — | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 3/1 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 3/1 William Hill |
| 8 Little Diva | 66/1 | — | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
April Mist owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalA single form figure of 5, despite carrying 9-7 at evens, gives Bold Commander's Saturday Rating of 130 little credibility.
Consistent form figure of 2, competitive 5/2 odds, and a strong Saturday Rating of 155 justify four stars despite carrying 9-2.
Consistent form figures of 532, a competitive 10/3 market price, and a strong Saturday Rating of 154 justify four stars.
Outsider odds of 18/1 and a weak form figure of 40 signal little market confidence despite a competitive weight of 9-2.
Weak 20/1 odds, a modest Saturday Rating of 130, and a single form figure of 85 signal limited winning prospects.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
April Mist (SR 155, 5/2) posted a runner-up finish on debut and arrives here as the second-highest rated horse in the field, trained by the in-form G M Lyons yard. Crucially, she carries 9-2 — a 5lb advantage over the level weights runners — which on good ground over 5f3y is a meaningful edge. The market has her as favourite, consistent with a filly who showed clear ability on her first start and is expected to improve for that experience. Tradewinds (SR 154) is the only horse close to her on the SR scale but has form figures of 532, showing a decline across three runs, whereas April Mist's single run was a promising second suggesting upward trajectory. Each-way alternative: Tradewinds. Main danger: Tradewinds — Tradewinds (SR 154, 10/3) is only 1 SR point below April Mist, trained by Donnacha Aidan O'Brien, and while the 532 form string shows inconsistency, the most recent run was a second which keeps winning well within range on good ground.