Carlisle 16:02 RESULTED
Class 1 24 Jun 2026

Wednesday 24 June Irish Stallion Farms EBF Eternal Stakes (Fillies' Listed)

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Eternal Stakes (Fillies' Listed) · 0m 6f 195y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Eternal Stakes (Fillies' Listed)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Ellusive Butterfly (IRE) C Lee · K R Burke
    5/2
  2. 11/1
  3. 28/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ellusive Butterfly silks
Ellusive Butterfly
Age 3 · 9-5
124471
100
113
100OR
3
9-5
5/2 9/4 5/2
Winning form at Listed level in a 7f heat last time out makes Ellusive Butterfly a real contender here — effective on any going and versatile from 7-8f. Now carries a penalty though, which is the one thing rivals will be hoping tells against her.
AI verdict

Form figures showing two recent wins followed by a 7th and 1st suggest inconsistency, limiting confidence despite a competitive 113 Saturday Rating at 5/2.

2
Albaydaa silks
Albaydaa
Age 3 · 9-2
21-321
86
105
86OR
3
9-2
13/8 5/4 31/19
Albaydaa has two wins in her last five starts and arrived at this level in excellent heart, taking a handicap here last time with a narrow but decisive display showing real tenacity. Effective from 6-7f on a range of surfaces, she tops our figures and has scope for more at this grade.
AI verdict

Rated 105 with consistent form figures of 21-321 and accessible 13/8 odds, Albaydaa presents strong each-way credentials at 9-2 weight.

3
Applesandpears silks
Applesandpears
Age 3 · 9-2
211-83
84
83
84OR
3
9-2
11/1 12/1 9/1
Placed here at Carlisle last time, which gives Applesandpears a course angle to cling to, and she handles today's distance and going. Our figures rank her ninth of ten, however, and she needs to find considerably more to threaten the market leaders.
AI verdict

Rated just 83 with weak 211-83 form and drifting at 16/1, Applesandpears lacks the market confidence to threaten in this Listed heat.

4
Assaranca silks
Assaranca
Age 3 · 9-2
6-6315
79
70
79OR
3
9-2
33/1 22/1 33/1
Positioned too far off the pace at Epsom last time, Assaranca still shaped with promise in a strong Listed heat, suggesting there is ability to show at this level; effective over 7-8f on any surface. A repeat of her best is needed to figure from stall nine here.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 70 and 20/1 odds signal weak market confidence, compounded by inconsistent form showing two sixth-place finishes.

5
Classic Cuvee silks
Classic Cuvee
Age 3 · 9-2
2189-6
87
86
87OR
3
9-2
25/1 12/1 25/1
Blinkers go on for the first time and Classic Cuvee likely found a Listed contest too hot for her last month — comfortably held on form that had previously been better. Effective over 7f on a sound surface, a sharper display is required to land a blow here.
AI verdict

Outsider odds of 12/1, a modest Saturday Rating of 86, and inconsistent form reading 2189-6 signal limited winning prospects here.

6
Confide In Me silks
Confide In Me
Age 3 · 9-2
12
77
64
77OR
3
9-2
50/1 28/1 40/1
Lightly raced after just two recent starts, Confide In Me matched her debut form when runner-up at Redcar last time, yet steps into significantly tougher company now. Acts over today's distance and going, but a major leap forward is needed to threaten at this level.
AI verdict

Outsider odds of 40/1 and a low Saturday Rating of 64 undermine her promising 12 form in this Listed contest.

7
Figjam silks
Figjam
Age 3 · 9-2
12-746
93
79
93OR
3
9-2
40/1 20/1 33/1
A competitive sort who fits well at 6f on testing ground and has done enough over today's trip to suggest she belongs at this level; Figjam ran down the field over 7f last time, a flat effort, and the return to her best form is required. The ability is there — consistency is the question.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 79, 20/1 odds, and patchy recent form (12-746) confirm Figjam as a 2/5 outsider with little market support.

8
Golden Palace silks
Golden Palace
Age 3 · 9-2
765-73
99
106
99OR
3
9-2
5/1
Close-up third at Musselburgh last time — just two lengths behind the principals — Golden Palace has the class and stamina for today's trip and goes well on a sound surface. Yet to get her head in front in recent starts, but capable of a sharp effort at this grade.
AI verdict

Solid Saturday Rating of 106 and fair 11/2 odds are undermined by uninspiring 765-73 form carrying 9-2 weight.

9
Just A Girl silks
Just A Girl
Age 3 · 9-2
7-3422
83
80
83OR
3
9-2
12/1 11/1 10/1
Proximity at Carlisle last time — a close second in a 7f handicap here — gives Just A Girl a strong course-and-distance angle, and she handles today's ground. Our figures rank her eighth in this ten-runner field, however, and she requires considerably more to reach the front end.
AI verdict

Rated just 80 with 16/1 odds and recent form showing a seventh, she lacks the market confidence for Listed class.

10
Stimulative Trip silks
Stimulative Trip
Age 3 · 9-2
1-96
89
93
89OR
3
9-2
12/1 17/2 10/1
Placed on the clock at Chantilly on her last start, running to level beaten a little over three lengths, Stimulative Trip handles today's distance and going and arrives here with a jockey who knows this course well retained. Two disappointing finishes before that win are the main concern.
AI verdict

Rated 93 with inconsistent form (1-96) and 8/1 odds signal limited confidence despite a solid weight of 9-2.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ellusive Butterfly 5/2 5/2 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 11/4 William Hill
2 Albaydaa 13/8 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.63 13/8 open 2.75 7/4 open 2.25 7/4 Coral
3 Applesandpears 11/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 15.00 11/1 Bet365
4 Assaranca 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
5 Classic Cuvee 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 Bet365
6 Confide In Me 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 29.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365
7 Figjam 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
8 Golden Palace 5/1 open 6.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 5/1 11/2 Coral
9 Just A Girl 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
10 Stimulative Trip 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Albaydaa

Live signal

Albaydaa owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 W J Haggas Tom Marquand
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ellusive Butterfly

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · K R Burke
✓ Value Signal

Assaranca

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · R Hannon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Albaydaa
63.2 13/8
2 1. Ellusive Butterfly
62.0 5/2
3 8. Golden Palace
56.6 5/1
4 10. Stimulative Trip
53.1 12/1
5 3. Applesandpears
48.0 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Albaydaa
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-2
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 105 🐾

Rated 105 with consistent form figures of 21-321 and accessible 13/8 odds, Albaydaa presents strong each-way credentials at 9-2 weight.

1
Age 3 · 9-5
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾

Form figures showing two recent wins followed by a 7th and 1st suggest inconsistency, limiting confidence despite a competitive 113 Saturday Rating at 5/2.

8
Age 3 · 9-2
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾

Solid Saturday Rating of 106 and fair 11/2 odds are undermined by uninspiring 765-73 form carrying 9-2 weight.

3
Age 3 · 9-2
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

Rated just 83 with weak 211-83 form and drifting at 16/1, Applesandpears lacks the market confidence to threaten in this Listed heat.

9
Age 3 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

Rated just 80 with 16/1 odds and recent form showing a seventh, she lacks the market confidence for Listed class.

10
Age 3 · 9-2
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

Rated 93 with inconsistent form (1-96) and 8/1 odds signal limited confidence despite a solid weight of 9-2.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Albaydaa
Confidence: Medium

Albaydaa (SR 105, 13/8) carries 9-2 and holds the strongest market confidence in the field, shortening to favouritism for good reason — a form line of 21-321 shows consistent placed form at a level that maps well to Listed company, and Haggas fillies travelling north for a target are rarely sent without intent. Her SR of 105 leads the field alongside Golden Palace (SR 106) but Albaydaa carries the same weight (9-2) as Golden Palace while boasting a markedly more consistent recent form line; Golden Palace's 765-73 shows a horse in and out of form. Ellusive Butterfly (SR 113, 5/2) is the only horse with a superior SR but her last-run '1' is preceded by a '4', '4', '7' sequence suggesting inconsistency, and at 9-5 she carries the weight penalty without demonstrating the reliability Albaydaa shows. The Good to Firm ground at Carlisle over 6f 195y suits a filly with Albaydaa's profile — progressive, consistent, and trained by a handler with a strong strike rate at this level. Each-way alternative: Ellusive Butterfly. Main danger: Ellusive Butterfly — Ellusive Butterfly's SR of 113 is the highest in the field and her most recent run was a win, giving Burke's filly the profile of a horse peaking at exactly the right time — if her 'last-run winner' form translates to Listed level, she beats everything here.

Shortlist Albaydaa, Ellusive Butterfly, Golden Palace
Each-way: Ellusive Butterfly Danger: Ellusive Butterfly

🗺 The Course Class 1

0m 6f 195y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade