Tongue-tie applied for the first time as connections look for an answer; Billboa has a wide draw and faces a stiff mark after struggling in recent starts at Dundalk and elsewhere, and while the all-weather form is stronger, today's conditions represent a tough ask.
Showed a progression on her most recent qualifying run at Cork, going closer in a maiden, and connections believe the opening handicap mark is lenient; with her sire effective at 6f and her dam smart over 7f, there is pace and staying power in the mix — the tongue-tie goes on and she could outrun her price.
Has been a poor traveller in recent outings and dropped away at Dundalk before a long break; back with a first-time hood after 236 days off, Realtin Fantasy handles sound surfaces and is best at 5f — all to prove here but not without an outside chance if the layoff has freshened her.
Away for nearly a year and showing a regressive profile before the layoff, finding no rhythm at Bellewstown last time; the wide draw adds difficulty, and this six-year-old needs to recapture his best to be a factor at 5f on good ground.
Form last 6/6908-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR—RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 10-1 with a Saturday Rating of just 28, a 28/1 outsider and form reading /6908- offers no winning case.
Got off the mark in first-time cheekpieces at Navan 17 days ago, benefiting from a strong pace and a stiff track; the cheekpieces go on again and the mark still looks manageable for a horse that may have more to offer now that he has opened his account.
Form last 6352331
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR—RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 10-0 with a Saturday Rating of 61 exceeding the 0-60 class ceiling limits his winning prospects.
Tawaazon has gone below his best since a break and a flat effort on easy ground at Leopardstown last time suggests he did not stay; tongue-tie fitted for the first time and dropping back in trip, he handles soft and good but has much to prove after a string of disappointing runs.
Form last 6380-40
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR—RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Tawaazon's Saturday Rating of 36, poor form of 380-40, and 18/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects.
Polar Bear holds decent form at 5-7f when the ground yields, but a blank run at Fairyhouse last time suggests the quicker surface left him flat; first-time hood fitted and the mark is fair for a horse who is better than his record suggests, though inconsistency remains the nagging doubt.
Form last 60-4350
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR—RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-11 with a Saturday Rating of just 46, poor form reading 0-4350, and weak 11/1 odds signal minimal winning chance.
Switched headgear again after the visor failed to spark any improvement in a claimer last time; suited by 6-7f, Mehmar has been on a long losing run and is inconsistent, though a clean run on sound footing could see him closer than recent efforts suggest.
Form last 6366085
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR—RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Mehmar's Saturday Rating of 29, poor form of 366085, and 22/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects in this handicap.
Hooves Your Daddy shaped well for much of the season before a combination of a slow start, interference and a step up in trip conspired against him at Fairyhouse 12 days ago — back at his best distance and with that run behind him, he can get back to his best.
Form last 600-236
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
59SR—RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight 9-9 with modest form 00-236 and a Saturday Rating of 59 limits confidence despite fair 5/1 odds.
Showed a range of form including a near-miss over course and distance before a flat run up in class last time; now fitted with first-time cheekpieces and back on going she handles, Jazzit has the ability to land a race at this level if she reproduces her better efforts.
Form last 6233058
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR—RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 42 with weak 233058 form and dismissed at 14/1, Jazzit carries 9-9 with no market confidence.
A consistent all-weather type who has yet to transfer that form convincingly to turf; trainer is struggling for winners right now and Sayonara failed to fire on her handicap debut at Fairyhouse last time — she remains yet to score at this level and faces a stiff ask on today's going.
Form last 638-530
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR—RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Sayonara's Saturday Rating of 32, 33/1 odds, and poor form figures of 38-530 offer no winning case.
Shaped with promise back from a break at Navan last time, just tiring near the finish — experience and improvement expected from that run; at this mark over 5f on going she handles, Ballysax Lil' Mick is entitled to go closer.
Form last 6526-06
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR—RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 9-7 with a Saturday Rating of just 41, poor form of 526-06, and weak 14/1 market odds combine to make this horse a very low-rated prospect.
Back from a break and just found the final furlong beyond him at Fairyhouse 12 days ago, though he was in the hunt to a degree; a first outing in a visor and dropping in at the weights in a big field, Hero Of The Hour has the profile to put things right on a track and surface that suits him.
Form last 6-76354
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR—RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 43, 10/1 odds, and declining form figures of -76354 mark Hero Of The Hour as a weak contender in this 0-60 heat.
Found the pace elusive late in recent runs but came back to better form at Fairyhouse recently, going down narrowly off a lower mark; that tenacity in tight finishes is encouraging and Whatswrongnow arrives here in form — the wide draw from stall 19 is the main risk.
Form last 6692203
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR—RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying top weight of 9-5 with a Saturday Rating of 52 and inconsistent form of 692203 at 9/1 limits confidence.
Lost ground without excuses at Fairyhouse last time and has failed to hit the frame in recent starts; fitted with first-time headgear in a tongue visor combination, Platino Bianco is on a lowly mark but needs to find significantly more to get involved.
Form last 6208060
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR—RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 9-1 at 33/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 22 and form reading 208060 offers no credible winning case.
Has found little since entering handicap company, with a string of moderate efforts and a missed break at Cork last time; Snowballs is effective at 5f and handles the ground, but the first-time visor needs to unlock something that has been absent for several runs.
Form last 67-7878
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
26SR—RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 9-1 at 22/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 26 and consistent form figures of 7-7878 make Snowballs uncompetitive.
Bred to want further than 6f and has looked underpowered in recent starts; the evidence from latest runs at the Curragh points to this trip being too sharp, and while connections may try to find a niche, the profile makes it hard to be confident today.
Form last 6009-80
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR—RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 27 with a 009-80 form string and dismissed at 28/1 by the market, this 9-1 weighted runner offers minimal winning prospects.
Struggling for form across recent starts and yet to show anything on going that suits; connections are searching for the right conditions but Spiced Gold has been tailed off at Fairyhouse recently and needs a lot to go right to be competitive.
Form last 600-060
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Carrying 9-0 at 40/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 27 and form reading 00-060 offers no viable winning angle.
Performed consistently at this level earlier in the season, beaten a length and a half off a mark 3lb higher at Cork last time; drawn toward the inside in stall 3 in a large field and handles cut — a touch frustrating in the maiden department but in reasonable nick and worth respect.
Form last 6864-43
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR—RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated just 48 with uninspiring 864-43 form and carrying 8-13 at 11/2, Steel Magnolia offers little market confidence.
Set overly strong fractions in recent handicap starts and came unstuck again at Fairyhouse last time; tongue-tie applied for the first time and dropping back in trip, Apache Star is effective at 5f on a range of going but needs to demonstrate she can pace her effort — form has deteriorated sharply.
Form last 66-6099
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
20SR—RPR41OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 20, 28/1 odds, and form reading 6-6099 offer no credible winning case.
Beaten down the field at Fairyhouse last time and has failed to produce anything of note across recent starts; effective at 6f, Bel Espoir is on the minimum mark but has given no indication in recent runs that she can change that trend today.
Form last 60-0900
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
19SR—RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Bel Espoir's Saturday Rating of 19, 66/1 odds, and woeful 0-0900 form combine to make this 8-10 weighted runner an extreme outsider.
Showed a degree of consistency in recent 5f handicaps, fourth at Fairyhouse last time on a trip she handles well; drawn wide in stall 22 in a big field and on a basement mark — improving form suggests she can stay competitive, but the long losing run tempers expectations.
Form last 6909-44
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
38SR—RPR40OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 38 and weak form figures of 909-44 at 11/1 suggest limited winning prospects under 8-10.
Largely out of form in recent handicap starts and got very free at Fairyhouse last time; effective at 5-6f but has looked moderate when asked to settle — the fresh headgear may help but Another Nice'day needs a clean bill of behavioural health to deliver.
Form last 6050-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR—RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 24, 40/1 odds, and form reading 050-00 collectively signal a horse with no realistic winning prospects.
Back to form at Down Royal last time, going down by three-quarters of a length on soft ground, and today's conditions match; Mini Cotai handles today's going and trip well, and with a fresh set of headgear fitted, she arrives in reasonable shape — the extensive recent form just limits the element of surprise.
Form last 6047652
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR—RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Inconsistent form (047652) and a Saturday Rating of just 50 carried at 8-7 make 13/2 odds unappealing for this non-favourite.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Happy Henry owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1W McCreeryLeigh Roche
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Whatswrongnow
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Batt Burke✓ Value Signal
Another Nice'day
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Happy Henry (SR 61, 11/2) is the standout by rating in this 0-60 heat, carrying 10-0 which is not prohibitive given his clear SR advantage over the field. His form string 352331 is the most consistently competitive in the race — a sequence of placed and winning efforts showing he is in peak form and firing regularly. At 11/2 the market respects him without making him unbackable, and trainer W McCreery saddles Steel Magnolia in the same race, suggesting confident stable entries rather than a split-stable conflict. No horse in this field gets close to his SR 61 on recent evidence, making him the rational pick.
Each-way alternative: Mini Cotai.
Main danger: Hooves Your Daddy — Hooves Your Daddy (SR 59, 5/1) is the second-highest rated horse in the field, carries a favourable 9-9, and his form 00-236 shows a clear upward trajectory into his last run — if that improvement continues he threatens to overhaul Happy Henry.
ShortlistHappy Henry, Hooves Your Daddy, Mini Cotai, Whatswrongnow, Steel Magnolia