Carlisle 15:30 RESULTED
Class 4 24 Jun 2026

Wednesday 24 June Lady Dacre Bell Handicap

Lady Dacre Bell Handicap · 0m 7f 173y

Official Result

Lady Dacre Bell Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Runswick (IRE) D Tudhope · E A L Dunlop
    4/1
  2. Second Barley (IRE)
    15/2
  3. 7/1
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Pepsea silks
Pepsea Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-4
2444
75
71
75OR
3
9-4
SP 12/1 16/1
All four starts showing a pattern of close finishes without quite getting there — Pepsea ran to her level at Carlisle yesterday, just fading in the closing stages of a novice at this track; the yard in good shape and the switch to handicap company on today's going opens another door. Well worth a look on her first start from a handicap mark.
1
Harswell Ruby silks
Harswell Ruby
Age 4 · 9-10
715464
71
75
71OR
4
9-10
7/2 7/1 10/3
Fourth last time at a mark just 1lb higher than today's, Harswell Ruby showed she is running to her level and handles today's distance and going. Ranked seventh of eleven here, she is on a competitive mark but needs things to fall her way to take a hand.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight 9-10 with patchy form 715464 and a modest Saturday Rating of 75 limits Harswell Ruby's prospects at 7/1.

2
Runswick silks
Runswick
Age 3 · 9-10
610-32
81
91
81OR
3
9-10
7/2 3/1 10/3
Two solid placed finishes since returning, Runswick was denied by the narrowest of margins at Chester last time off a 2lb lower mark — stays a mile and acts on soft and good. Our top-rated horse in the field by a clear margin, the 2lb rise may not be enough to deny him.
AI verdict

Runswick's solid 91 Saturday Rating and consistent form (610-32) are offset by 9-10 weight at 4/1.

3
Aqua Bear silks
Aqua Bear
Age 3 · 9-9
921-40
80
84
80OR
3
9-9
6/1 17/2 6/1
Good prior form before Goodwood but Aqua Bear failed to see out the trip when well beaten there most recently, and a clear rebound is required; handles 6-7f on a range of surfaces. Ranked eighth here and the first run back is worth treating with some caution.
AI verdict

Rated 84 with inconsistent form (921-40) and carrying 9-9 at 17/2, Aqua Bear offers mid-tier appeal without market support.

4
Marry The Night silks
Marry The Night
Age 4 · 9-9
113228
70
53
70OR
4
9-9
80/1 25/1 80/1
Thriving through the spring with back-to-back wins before a well-beaten turf run at Carlisle last time, Marry The Night's sharper form has clearly come on the AW — first-time cheekpieces the hope of reversing that latest effort here. Effective over 8f on any ground but most comfortable off turf.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 53, combined with 33/1 odds and a recent form slide to 8th, justifies just 2 stars.

5
I Can Dance silks
I Can Dance
Age 3 · 9-8
223-
79
86
79OR
3
9-8
9/2 11/2 4/1
Twice placed as a juvenile before a promising third last time — I Can Dance is a well-bred type returning from 273 days off and arrives with upside; effective at 7-8f. The lengthy layoff is the obvious concern going into her first handicap start.
AI verdict

Solid form figures of 223- and a Saturday Rating of 86 justify mid-market 11/2 odds, but 9-8 weight limits upside.

6
Pension Pot silks
Pension Pot
Age 4 · 9-8
24-573
69
65
69OR
4
9-8
20/1 10/1 20/1
Third at Chester last time off today's mark, Pension Pot finished with purpose after a sluggish early display and stays a mile on soft, good and the AW; yet to win in her last five starts. Our figures rank her ninth of eleven — needs significant improvement to reach the front end here.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-8 with a modest Saturday Rating of 65, inconsistent form of 24-573, and dismissed at 11/1 by the market.

7
Barley silks
Barley
Age 7 · 9-7
-80623
68
76
68OR
7
9-7
13/2 7/2 13/2
Unlucky not to finish closer than a length third at Ripon last time — clear improvement on the runs prior — Barley goes in first-time cheekpieces with a top yard in her corner; effective over 8f on soft and good to firm. Yet to win in recent starts but the trajectory is heading upward.
AI verdict

Barley's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 76 and inconsistent form of -80623 justify a cautious 3/5 despite fair 4/1 market odds.

8
Wetsand silks
Wetsand
Age 3 · 9-6
0-7758
77
70
77OR
3
9-6
14/1 FCST 12/1
Outpaced and always in arrear in her last several starts — unable to demonstrate any progress on her earlier efforts — Wetsand is effective at 7-8f on a sound surface. The question is whether she can produce what her earlier form hinted at.
AI verdict

Wetsand's poor form (0-7758), low Saturday Rating of 70, and unfancied 12/1 odds justify just 2 stars.

9
Popeye Doyle silks
Popeye Doyle
Age 4 · 9-6
336-02
67
72
67OR
4
9-6
50/1 11/1 33/1
First-time tongue-boot and blinkers and yet to win in her last five starts — Popeye Doyle ran to her level at Wetherby last time over today's trip on a sound surface; capable of a decent effort but inconsistent. Our figures rank her second-bottom here and a bold showing would surprise.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight 9-6 with weak 336-02 form and a modest Saturday Rating of 72 at 11/1 suggests limited winning prospects.

10
Geo silks
Geo
Age 4 · 9-6
869162
67
75
67OR
4
9-6
13/2 7/1 13/2
Close second at Carlisle last time off today's mark — moving up through the gears to near-miss form — and a notable jockey engagement adds to the appeal for Geo; acts at 7-8f on a sound surface. Ranked sixth here but the trajectory is clearly improving.
AI verdict

Geo's mixed form (869162) and 9-6 weight limit his appeal despite a fair 75 Saturday Rating at 7/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Pepsea 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Coral
1 Harswell Ruby 7/2 open 8.00 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 9.00 10/3 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 Bet365
2 Runswick 7/2 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 4/1 William Hill
3 Aqua Bear 6/1 open 10.00 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 Bet365
4 Marry The Night 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 100/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 100/1 William Hill
5 I Can Dance 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
6 Pension Pot 20/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 Coral
7 Barley 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 4.50 7/1 open 4.50 7/1 open 4.50 7/1 open 4.50 7/1 Coral
8 Wetsand 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
9 Popeye Doyle 50/1 open 12.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 13.00 50/1 Bet365
10 Geo 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 7/1 7/1 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

I Can Dance

Speculative

I Can Dance owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 C Johnston Connor Beasley
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Runswick

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · E A L Dunlop
✓ Value Signal

Popeye Doyle

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · J Bedi
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. I Can Dance
57.4 9/2
2 2. Runswick
57.2 7/2
3 3. Aqua Bear
56.7 6/1
4 1. Harswell Ruby
54.3 7/2
5 7. Barley
54.1 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Runswick
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 9-10
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

Carrying top weight 9-10 with patchy form 715464 and a modest Saturday Rating of 75 limits Harswell Ruby's prospects at 7/1.

2
Age 3 · 9-10
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

Runswick's solid 91 Saturday Rating and consistent form (610-32) are offset by 9-10 weight at 4/1.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

Solid form figures of 223- and a Saturday Rating of 86 justify mid-market 11/2 odds, but 9-8 weight limits upside.

3
Age 3 · 9-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

Rated 84 with inconsistent form (921-40) and carrying 9-9 at 17/2, Aqua Bear offers mid-tier appeal without market support.

7
Age 7 · 9-7
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

Barley's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 76 and inconsistent form of -80623 justify a cautious 3/5 despite fair 4/1 market odds.

10
Geo
Age 4 · 9-6
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

Geo's mixed form (869162) and 9-6 weight limit his appeal despite a fair 75 Saturday Rating at 7/1.

8
Age 3 · 9-6
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

Wetsand's poor form (0-7758), low Saturday Rating of 70, and unfancied 12/1 odds justify just 2 stars.

6
Age 4 · 9-8
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-8 with a modest Saturday Rating of 65, inconsistent form of 24-573, and dismissed at 11/1 by the market.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Runswick
Confidence: Medium

Runswick (SR 91, 4/1) is the clear class leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 5 SR points clear of the next-best I Can Dance (SR 86) — and carries a manageable 9-10. The form string 610-32 shows a solid return to form with back-to-back placings, and as a 3yo in a mixed-age handicap at this trip, the age allowance dynamic works in favour. At 4/1 joint-favourite the market is firmly behind this selection, suggesting trainer E A L Dunlop has the horse primed. The good-to-firm going suits a lightly-raced 3yo without the physical wear that older horses carry. Each-way alternative: I Can Dance. Main danger: I Can Dance — I Can Dance (SR 86, 11/2) has a consistent 223- form string at 3yo level for Charlie Johnston, carries a 2lb weight advantage over Runswick at 9-8, and the market at 11/2 reflects genuine respect — one clean run could make the selection vulnerable.

Shortlist Runswick, I Can Dance, Aqua Bear
Each-way: I Can Dance Danger: I Can Dance

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m 7f 173y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade