Ran respectably when fourth in a Listed race here last time over this trip, which was a better effort than she had shown before; may stay further than today's distance and there could be more improvement available, but she has a significant gap to close on form against these rivals.
Two wins from five recent starts, including a clear-cut success before a tough assignment in Group 1 company at Epsom last time, where she was sent forward too freely on ground clearly too soft; back on quicker going which she handles well and dropping back in grade, the Epsom run can be taken with a pinch of salt — she has the class for this level.
Form last 614-515
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
113SR—RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Cameo's patchy form (14-515) and 9-2 weight limit her upside despite a solid 113 Saturday Rating at 15/8.
Landed a Listed prize here by three-quarters of a length last time, finding extra when challenged — a performance that marked a significant step forward and she could have more to offer over longer trips; the gap since that run is the only flag.
Form last 636-881
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
108SR—RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Solid Saturday Rating of 108 and fair 4/1 odds are undermined by inconsistent form figures of 36-881.
Moved well through races at Goodwood last time, hitting the frame once more in Listed company and edging closer to that level with each run; suited by today's trip and going and progressive — the risk is that she remains vulnerable in the highest grade.
Form last 615-243
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR—RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Della Pace's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 99, inconsistent form (15-243), and 6/1 market position suggest capability without convincing claims to favouritism.
Made steady progress in handicap and Listed company but found herself asked to challenge a shade early on her latest outing over a shorter trip; effective at a mile and suited by today's distance — a positive, patient ride could see her finish strongly.
Form last 6418-24
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
104SR—RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Rated 104 with patchy form (418-24) and unfancied at 9/1, La Fogata lacks the market confidence to merit more than three stars.
An eye-catching debut scorer at Gowran Park, putting the field away by a length and a half in a maiden on her only start, and that form has been enhanced by a stablemate's subsequent Group-race effort; off a break, she handles soft and this step up in class is entirely warranted — she demands serious respect.
Form last 61
★AI Rating★★★★☆
157SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Strong Saturday Rating of 157 and unblemished form figure of 1 at 4/1 justify four stars despite not heading the market.
Ran to her form in a Group 1 last time and was found out at the highest level; in good shape before that and effective at 7-8f, but today's trip requires more than she has shown so far — connections have a strong record in this race though she looks the second string.
Form last 63-147
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR—RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Sinmara's inconsistent form (3-147) and 7/1 market position limit confidence despite a competitive 100 Saturday Rating.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Rebel Moon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1J P O'BrienDylan Browne McMonagle
86%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Cameo
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/8 · A P O'Brien✓ Value Signal
La Fogata
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
11/1 · Donnacha O'Brien◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Della Pace's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 99, inconsistent form (15-243), and 6/1 market position suggest capability without convincing claims to favouritism.
Rebel Moon (SR 157, 4/1) is the class standout in this field by a considerable margin — her SR of 157 dwarfs the next-best Cameo at SR 113, a 44-point gap that is enormous at this level. Her sole form figure of '1' reflects a debut win, and trainer J P O'Brien pitching a debutant-winner straight into Group 3 company signals genuine belief in significant ability. All runners carry identical 9-2, so there is no weight disadvantage to temper the SR edge, and Good ground at Naas is a standard stamina test over 1m2f where raw class tends to dominate. The 4/1 price — equal to Caught U Sleeping — looks generous given the SR gulf.
Each-way alternative: Cameo.
Main danger: Cameo — Cameo (SR 113, 15/8) is the market leader trained by A P O'Brien with a recent run at this trip and represents proven Group-level exposure that an unraced-beyond-debut Rebel Moon has yet to fully demonstrate.