Showed useful early pace on debut at Listowel, finishing third, and switching back to 5f at a demanding track should suit a horse that has already handled good ground — the stable has taken this prize before and further progress is expected.
Debut filly by Cotai Glory out of smart sprinter Summerseat Mist, with a half-sister useful at 7f; connections capable of producing them sharp first time and the 5f trip looks right — watch the market closely.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
142SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Midfield odds of 12/1 and an unknown form profile limit confidence despite a solid Saturday Rating of 142.
Nando Parrado filly drawn wide in stall 9; a half-sister to a 6f debut scorer in France offers some encouragement, but the wide berth is a concern on debut and she is probably best assessed through the market before committing.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
125SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Long-shot odds of 66/1 and a Saturday Rating of 125 signal limited market confidence and modest form prospects.
Speedily bred and has course and distance experience, finishing third in recent starts, but a small filly found herself outclassed in an auction race last time and needs another drop in grade to be competitive.
Form last 6375
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
127SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Sent off at 33/1 with poor form figures of 375, Brazilian Diva's 127 Saturday Rating cannot overcome her weak market confidence.
Agonisingly close to success on debut at Cork, going down by a short head, and the winner has since taken a Listed prize — that form makes this one of the better-credentialled runners in the field; in-form yard and normal progression could see her go one better here.
Form last 62
★AI Rating★★★★☆
158SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Strong Saturday Rating of 158 combined with competitive 9/4 odds and consistent form figure of 2 justify four stars.
Runner-up on second start before getting too enthusiastic over a longer trip at the Curragh on her latest outing; the drop back in distance plays to her strengths at 5-6f and she has done enough in recent starts that landing a maiden is within reach — the wide draw from stall 10 is the one concern.
Form last 624
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
146SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Moderate Saturday Rating of 146 and distant form figures of 24 at 11/1 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence.
Showed real promise at Listowel on debut, beaten five lengths in third, and that form has since been given a boost; suited by 6f and a trainer with a fine record at this track who can extract further progress — worth a place at least.
Form last 63
★AI Rating★★★★☆
155SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 155 and strong market support at 9/4 make Madam Secretary a compelling prospect despite her single form figure.
Blackbeard filly closely related to a smart 2yo performer impressive at 6-7f; from a yard that routinely runs juveniles first time and the market will be the best guide — draw in stall 8 and a March foaling date suggest she will improve with experience.
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
145SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Mid-tier Saturday Rating of 145 and 10/1 odds suggest market respects but doesn't favour Red Primrose against stronger rivals.
Blackbeard filly who cost 55,000gns and has an unraced dam, so there is limited hard evidence to go on; the stable has a strong history with its juveniles so she merits monitoring in the market, but on breeding alone she is hard to assess.
★AI Rating★★★★☆
151SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Strong Saturday Rating of 151 at 9/2 odds signals clear market confidence despite not being favourite.
Back for a third start at 5f on going she handles, but failed to settle when stepped up in trip last time and got very free — she needs to relax better here, and while the trip switch back is a plus, temperament is the key question.
Form last 637
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
128SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
A Saturday Rating of 128 shows ability, but 40/1 odds and weak form figures of 37 undermine confidence.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Madam Secretary owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1A P O'BrienWayne Lordan
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Lady Patrona
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · Mrs J Harrington✓ Value Signal
April Mist
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · G M Lyons◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Celestial Crown (SR 158, 9/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a clear margin and is co-favourite with a four-star probability rating, indicating strong market and model alignment. Her form figure of '2' on debut suggests she ran a competitive race first time out at a high level — typical of a JP Murtagh-trained filly who will improve markedly for that experience. At 5f on Good ground with a clean 9-2 weight, she carries no penalty and her SR of 158 is comfortably in the top-class range, 3lb clear of Madam Secretary and 7lb clear of the next contender. The combination of elite SR, market confidence, and typical second-run improvement profile makes this a compelling selection.
Each-way alternative: Madam Secretary.
Main danger: Madam Secretary — Madam Secretary (SR 155, 9/4) is co-favourite from the powerful Aidan O'Brien yard, carries the same weight, and her debut third — a typical O'Brien pattern of underperforming first time then powering through on second start — makes her the most credible threat to Celestial Crown at equal odds.
ShortlistCelestial Crown, Madam Secretary, Hip Hop Chrissy