Southwell (AW) 19:00 19 Oct 2026
Class 4 19 Oct 2026

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Voting open
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 1 hour, 2 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Yankee Dude silks
Yankee Dude
Age 4 · 10-0
/0-205
86
—
88
4
10-0
—
—
11/2 FCST 4/1
Yankee Dude has been in the frame once in his last four, a second three starts back, and has run over today's trip and on this going before; his 88 rating ranks him second of eleven. The risk is a fifth last time out and a 45-day break, so he is yet to show sharpness on his return.
Spotlight

Yankee Dude has been in the frame once in his last four, a second three starts back, and has run over today's trip and on this going before; his 88 rating ranks him second of eleven. The risk is a fifth last time out and a 45-day break, so he is yet to show sharpness on his return.

2
Duke's Command silks
Duke's Command
Age 5 · 9-13
650836
85
—
94
5
9-13
—
—
17/2
Duke's Command is the top-rated runner on our figures, and he's fit after a 12-day turnaround, having run over today's trip and on this going before. A third two starts back is his best recent finish, though he's yet to win in his last six outings and carries 139 lb from stall nine.
Spotlight

Duke's Command is the top-rated runner on our figures, and he's fit after a 12-day turnaround, having run over today's trip and on this going before. A third two starts back is his best recent finish, though he's yet to win in his last six outings and carries 139 lb from stall nine.

3
Bearish silks
Bearish
Age 3 · 9-11
-12109
86
—
84
3
9-11
—
—
11/2 5/1 11/2
Bearish won three and five starts back, but he was only ninth last time out and unplaced the run before, so the form has cooled. He has run over today's trip and returns after 50 days off carrying 137 lb from stall three, while our rating of 84 puts him seventh of 11.
Spotlight

Bearish won three and five starts back, but he was only ninth last time out and unplaced the run before, so the form has cooled. He has run over today's trip and returns after 50 days off carrying 137 lb from stall three, while our rating of 84 puts him seventh of 11.

4
Shimmy Jimmy silks
Shimmy Jimmy
Age 4 · 9-10
22/4-8
82
—
87
4
9-10
—
—
12/1 FCST 10/1
Shimmy Jimmy was second in two of his last four, both before a fourth two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 86 ranks him fourth of 11. The main risk is a disappointing eighth last time out, with the yard's 1/26 fortnight a concern too.
Spotlight

Shimmy Jimmy was second in two of his last four, both before a fourth two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 86 ranks him fourth of 11. The main risk is a disappointing eighth last time out, with the yard's 1/26 fortnight a concern too.

5
Breakdancer silks
Breakdancer
Age 4 · 9-9
584364
81
—
88
4
9-9
—
—
5/1
Breakdancer arrives rated third of 11 by us and has run over today's trip and on the going, with a fourth last time out and a third three starts back showing he can run his race. The main risk is that he's yet to win in his last six starts, so he must prove he can get his head in front.
Spotlight

Breakdancer arrives rated third of 11 by us and has run over today's trip and on the going, with a fourth last time out and a third three starts back showing he can run his race. The main risk is that he's yet to win in his last six starts, so he must prove he can get his head in front.

6
Proud Nation silks
Proud Nation
Age 3 · 9-7
352007
82
—
86
3
9-7
—
—
8/1
Proud Nation has been without a win in his last six, with a second four starts back the best of his recent efforts, though he has run over today's trip and going and is back after 14 days. Our rating of 86 ranks him fifth of eleven, so he looks a midfield sort from draw 2 off 133 lb.
Spotlight

Proud Nation has been without a win in his last six, with a second four starts back the best of his recent efforts, though he has run over today's trip and going and is back after 14 days. Our rating of 86 ranks him fifth of eleven, so he looks a midfield sort from draw 2 off 133 lb.

7
Wesam silks
Wesam
Age 5 · 9-6
130-00
78
—
76
5
9-6
—
—
12/1
Wesam is hard to fancy after three straight unplaced runs, with his last win five starts back and a third four starts back now fading memories. He has run over today's trip and going, and 28 days off is no concern, but 132 lb from draw 8 and a bottom ranking of 11 of 11 on our figures say plenty.
Spotlight

Wesam is hard to fancy after three straight unplaced runs, with his last win five starts back and a third four starts back now fading memories. He has run over today's trip and going, and 28 days off is no concern, but 132 lb from draw 8 and a bottom ranking of 11 of 11 on our figures say plenty.

8
Mr Baloo silks
Mr Baloo
Age 5 · 9-5
219870
77
—
85
5
9-5
—
—
16/1
Mr Baloo won five starts back but has since finished a seventh, an eighth and a ninth before an unplaced latest effort, and he returns after 112 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 85 sits sixth of 11, though 131 lb from stall 6 is a stiff ask.
Spotlight

Mr Baloo won five starts back but has since finished a seventh, an eighth and a ninth before an unplaced latest effort, and he returns after 112 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 85 sits sixth of 11, though 131 lb from stall 6 is a stiff ask.

9
Moonlight Warrior silks
Moonlight Warrior
Age 3 · 9-5
41-
80
—
77
3
9-5
—
—
7/2
Moonlight Warrior won last time out and was fourth the start before, but that came 363 days ago, and such a long absence is a worry. He has run over today's trip and going, yet 131 lb off a mark of 80 is a big ask, and our rating of 77 ranks him tenth of eleven.
Spotlight

Moonlight Warrior won last time out and was fourth the start before, but that came 363 days ago, and such a long absence is a worry. He has run over today's trip and going, yet 131 lb off a mark of 80 is a big ask, and our rating of 77 ranks him tenth of eleven.

10
Paladin silks
Paladin
Age 5 · 9-4
102990
76
—
80
5
9-4
—
—
50/1 FCST 33/1
Paladin is hard to fancy after finishing unplaced last time out and a ninth two starts back, with his only win six starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going and a second four starts back shows some ability. Carrying 130 lb from stall 1, he is ninth of 11 on our figures.
Spotlight

Paladin is hard to fancy after finishing unplaced last time out and a ninth two starts back, with his only win six starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going and a second four starts back shows some ability. Carrying 130 lb from stall 1, he is ninth of 11 on our figures.

11
Elite Approach silks
Elite Approach
Age 3 · 9-4
4414
79
—
80
3
9-4
—
—
13/2 6/1 13/2
Fourth last time out and a winner two starts back, Elite Approach is back quickly after 11 days and has run over today's trip and going before, though three fourths in his last four starts show he often falls just short. Our rating of 80 ranks him eighth of 11, and he carries 130 lb from stall five.
Spotlight

Fourth last time out and a winner two starts back, Elite Approach is back quickly after 11 days and has run over today's trip and going before, though three fourths in his last four starts show he often falls just short. Our rating of 80 ranks him eighth of 11, and he carries 130 lb from stall five.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Yankee Dude 11/2 open 7.00 4/1 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 11/2 Bet365
2 Duke's Command 17/2 9/1 17/2 17/2 17/2 17/2 9/1 Paddy Power
3 Bearish 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 6/1 Paddy Power
4 Shimmy Jimmy 12/1 open 15.00 10/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 12/1 Bet365
5 Breakdancer 5/1 11/2 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 11/2 Paddy Power
6 Proud Nation 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 Bet365
7 Wesam 12/1 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 Paddy Power
8 Mr Baloo 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
9 Moonlight Warrior 7/2 9/2 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 9/2 Paddy Power
10 Paladin 50/1 33/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 50/1 Bet365
11 Elite Approach 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 7/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Yankee Dude

Speculative

Yankee Dude owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 Warren Greatrex Edward Greatrex
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Elite Approach

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Joey Ramsden
✓ Value Signal

Paladin

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Kevin & Lauren Frost
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
65 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Yankee Dude
55.1 11/2
2 11. Elite Approach
53.9 13/2
3 2. Duke's Command
53.2 17/2
4 9. Moonlight Warrior
52.8 7/2
5 6. Proud Nation
52.7 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-5
7/2
🐾 —

Moonlight Warrior won last time out and was fourth the start before, but that came 363 days ago, and such a long absence is a worry. He has run over today's trip and going, yet 131 lb off a mark of 80 is a big ask, and our rating of 77 ranks him tenth of eleven.

5
Age 4 · 9-9
5/1
🐾 —

Breakdancer arrives rated third of 11 by us and has run over today's trip and on the going, with a fourth last time out and a third three starts back showing he can run his race. The main risk is that he's yet to win in his last six starts, so he must prove he can get his head in front.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
11/2
🐾 —

Yankee Dude has been in the frame once in his last four, a second three starts back, and has run over today's trip and on this going before; his 88 rating ranks him second of eleven. The risk is a fifth last time out and a 45-day break, so he is yet to show sharpness on his return.

3
Age 3 · 9-11
11/2
🐾 —

Bearish won three and five starts back, but he was only ninth last time out and unplaced the run before, so the form has cooled. He has run over today's trip and returns after 50 days off carrying 137 lb from stall three, while our rating of 84 puts him seventh of 11.

11
Age 3 · 9-4
13/2
🐾 —

Fourth last time out and a winner two starts back, Elite Approach is back quickly after 11 days and has run over today's trip and going before, though three fourths in his last four starts show he often falls just short. Our rating of 80 ranks him eighth of 11, and he carries 130 lb from stall five.

6
Age 3 · 9-7
8/1
🐾 —

Proud Nation has been without a win in his last six, with a second four starts back the best of his recent efforts, though he has run over today's trip and going and is back after 14 days. Our rating of 86 ranks him fifth of eleven, so he looks a midfield sort from draw 2 off 133 lb.

2
Age 5 · 9-13
17/2
🐾 —

Duke's Command is the top-rated runner on our figures, and he's fit after a 12-day turnaround, having run over today's trip and on this going before. A third two starts back is his best recent finish, though he's yet to win in his last six outings and carries 139 lb from stall nine.

4
Age 4 · 9-10
12/1
🐾 —

Shimmy Jimmy was second in two of his last four, both before a fourth two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 86 ranks him fourth of 11. The main risk is a disappointing eighth last time out, with the yard's 1/26 fortnight a concern too.

7
Age 5 · 9-6
12/1
🐾 —

Wesam is hard to fancy after three straight unplaced runs, with his last win five starts back and a third four starts back now fading memories. He has run over today's trip and going, and 28 days off is no concern, but 132 lb from draw 8 and a bottom ranking of 11 of 11 on our figures say plenty.

8
Age 5 · 9-5
16/1
🐾 —

Mr Baloo won five starts back but has since finished a seventh, an eighth and a ninth before an unplaced latest effort, and he returns after 112 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 85 sits sixth of 11, though 131 lb from stall 6 is a stiff ask.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m0f13y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade