William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery Handicap Stakes · 1m0f6y
Under Arrest arrives in good heart, a second last time out and a third two starts back, and he's fresh after just eight days, having run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in his last four, he carries 135 lb from stall one, which is the main risk.
Statten Island has finished fourth in four of his last five starts, including last time out, so he's consistent if yet to win, and he has run over today's trip before. Our rating of 82 tops the field, well clear of his official 70, though the yard's form is a slight concern.
Fresh from a win last time out, Aphra Behn has also finished third, fourth, second and third in the four runs before that, and she returns after 23 days having run over today's trip. The main risk is the 132 lb she carries from draw 10, with our rating of 70 ranking her fourth of 11.
Orchard Hatches has finished third in her last two outings, after an eighth three starts back, yet she remains winless in recent starts and has had 37 days off. She has run over today's trip and carries 131 lb from draw 2, while our rating of 68 ranks her eighth of eleven.
Yet to win in his last five, Tribal Appearance has run over today's trip and going before and returned 16 days ago with a sixth, though a fourth three starts back and a second five starts back show he can get involved. Carrying 129 lb from stall 11, he's rated 70 by us, sixth of 11.
Emerald Bay was fourth last time out after a second and a third before that, and he won twice before that, so the form is solid, though he hasn't won in his last three. He has run over today's trip, but a 33-day break and 128 lb from stall nine leave him a midfield proposition.
Bella Lucia arrives in good heart, second last time out and a winner two starts back, with experience of today's trip and going, and our rating of 75 ranks her second of 11. The one concern is a 50-day absence, so sharpness could be an issue.
High Hazard comes here fresh from a fourth last time out just 16 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he's yet to win in his last six starts and was unplaced in three of the previous five. Our rating of 70 sits seventh of 11, so he looks a midfield sort off 127 lb from stall five.
Won last time out and two starts back, which is a real plus, but he's rated 58 officially and ranks tenth of eleven on our figures at 65, with three poor finishes before that streak. Back in just six days, he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 126 lb from draw six.
Craven Force is winless in his last five, with an unplaced effort last time and a fifth two starts back his best finish, so he is hard to fancy off 116 lb from stall eight. He has run over today's trip and going and is back after 16 days, but our figures rank him ninth of 11.
Diplomacy is winless in his last four, with two ninths and a sixth before a third last time out, so it's hard to fancy him from the bottom of our ratings at 11 of 11. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and returns after 26 days off from a lowly mark of 52.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Under Arrest | 7/2 open 6.50 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 10/3 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Statten Island | 28/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Aphra Behn | 7/4 open 2.50 | 7/4 open 2.63 | 7/4 open 2.50 | 7/4 open 2.50 | 13/8 open 2.50 | 7/4 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Orchard Hatches | 15/2 open 11.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 11/2 open 9.50 | 11/2 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Tribal Appearance | 40/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Emerald Bay | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Bella Lucia | 8/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 High Hazard | 14/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 King of Persia | 4/1 open 4.50 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Craven Force | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Diplomacy | 18/1 | 20/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Under Arrest owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFresh from a win last time out, Aphra Behn has also finished third, fourth, second and third in the four runs before that, and she returns after 23 days having run over today's trip. The main risk is the 132 lb she carries from draw 10, with our rating of 70 ranking her fourth of 11.
Under Arrest arrives in good heart, a second last time out and a third two starts back, and he's fresh after just eight days, having run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in his last four, he carries 135 lb from stall one, which is the main risk.
Won last time out and two starts back, which is a real plus, but he's rated 58 officially and ranks tenth of eleven on our figures at 65, with three poor finishes before that streak. Back in just six days, he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 126 lb from draw six.
Orchard Hatches has finished third in her last two outings, after an eighth three starts back, yet she remains winless in recent starts and has had 37 days off. She has run over today's trip and carries 131 lb from draw 2, while our rating of 68 ranks her eighth of eleven.
Bella Lucia arrives in good heart, second last time out and a winner two starts back, with experience of today's trip and going, and our rating of 75 ranks her second of 11. The one concern is a 50-day absence, so sharpness could be an issue.
Emerald Bay was fourth last time out after a second and a third before that, and he won twice before that, so the form is solid, though he hasn't won in his last three. He has run over today's trip, but a 33-day break and 128 lb from stall nine leave him a midfield proposition.
High Hazard comes here fresh from a fourth last time out just 16 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he's yet to win in his last six starts and was unplaced in three of the previous five. Our rating of 70 sits seventh of 11, so he looks a midfield sort off 127 lb from stall five.
Diplomacy is winless in his last four, with two ninths and a sixth before a third last time out, so it's hard to fancy him from the bottom of our ratings at 11 of 11. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and returns after 26 days off from a lowly mark of 52.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.