Elite Racing Club Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 1m
Port Louis arrives fresh after 45 days off, having run over today's trip and on this going before, and sits fourth of 14 on our figures with a speed rating of 63. The main risk is a winless run in his last six, with a fifth last time out his best finish since a third four starts back.
Blue Hero won twice in his last six starts, including a first and a second in his earlier outings, and has run over today's trip and going, with 20 days since his last run. The risk is two lesser runs lately, a seventh and a fourth, so he must bounce back from 133 lb.
Squiffy has run over today's trip and won four starts back, but she has slipped since, finishing a sixth last time out after being unplaced the run before. Back in just 19 days from draw 3, she looks a midfield type with 133 lb to carry off 58.
Redhot Whisper is our top-rated runner, having won two starts back and finished second, third and third in the three runs before that, and he has run over today's trip and going. A seventh last time out and 49 days off are the one reservation, but he looks the one to beat from draw 12.
Havana Mojito comes into this fresh from a second last time out just 13 days ago, and he has finished runner-up in four of his last six starts, while he has run over today's trip and going before. The one concern is that he is yet to win in that spell, so he may again find one too good from stall six.
Guinness Lad was a fourth last time out after an eighth two starts back, though he won four starts back and has run over today's trip. Our rating of 55 ranks him eighth of 14, so the consistency is there but the step up looks a stretch, and he carries 127 lb from stall 1.
Amathus was a fourth last time out, 21 days ago, and has a winner four starts back in his recent form, though he's finished unplaced and a fifth since; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 58 ranks him fifth of 14, but 127 lb from draw 4 asks plenty.
Pebble Dash won last time out and was third two starts back, so there is some fitness and confidence, but he was well beaten in three of the four runs before that. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank him 12th of 14, and 125 lb from draw 13 is a big ask.
Letsbeatsepsis has run over today's trip and going before and won three starts back, but he's been a sixth and a seventh in his last two and returns after 48 days off. Our rating of 56 ranks him seventh of 14, so he looks a midfield sort from draw 10 off 124 lb.
Freedom Bay has been consistent, with a fourth last time out and a second two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and on this going, but she's won just once in her last six and an eighth three starts back shows a lapse. Our rating of 53 ranks her tenth of 14, so she looks a midfield sort from stall 8.
Bobby Dassler is winless in his last six, finishing seventh last time out, then an eighth, and nothing better than seventh across that run, so he is hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going and is fit after 13 days, but our rating ranks him last of 14.
Eye of The Water is winless in his last six, finishing sixth last time out and managing only a third five starts back, so he is hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, though, and an official mark of 46 gives him little to fear.
Baynoona has been beaten in her last two, a seventh last time out and another seventh two starts back, and returns after 110 days off, though she has run over today's trip and going and signed off a second four starts back. Our rating of 53 sits above her official 45, but she is winless in her last five from draw 11.
Winless in her last five and 173 days off the track, Haaf A Diamond was sixth last time out, and the rating of 47 ranks her 13th of 14, so she is hard to fancy. In her favour, she has run over today's trip and going before, and was third two starts back.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Port Louis | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Blue Hero | 9/1 open 9.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Squiffy | 18/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Redhot Whisper | 11/2 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Havana Mojito | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Guinness Lad | 17/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Amathus | 9/1 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 15/2 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Pebble Dash | 7/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 6/1 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Letsbeatsepsis | 17/2 open 7.50 | 10/1 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Freedom Bay | 7/2 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 3/1 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 4/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Bobby Dassler | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
| 12 Eye of The Water | 22/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 Baynoona | 14/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Haaf A Diamond | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Redhot Whisper owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFreedom Bay has been consistent, with a fourth last time out and a second two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and on this going, but she's won just once in her last six and an eighth three starts back shows a lapse. Our rating of 53 ranks her tenth of 14, so she looks a midfield sort from stall 8.
Havana Mojito comes into this fresh from a second last time out just 13 days ago, and he has finished runner-up in four of his last six starts, while he has run over today's trip and going before. The one concern is that he is yet to win in that spell, so he may again find one too good from stall six.
Redhot Whisper is our top-rated runner, having won two starts back and finished second, third and third in the three runs before that, and he has run over today's trip and going. A seventh last time out and 49 days off are the one reservation, but he looks the one to beat from draw 12.
Pebble Dash won last time out and was third two starts back, so there is some fitness and confidence, but he was well beaten in three of the four runs before that. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank him 12th of 14, and 125 lb from draw 13 is a big ask.
Guinness Lad was a fourth last time out after an eighth two starts back, though he won four starts back and has run over today's trip. Our rating of 55 ranks him eighth of 14, so the consistency is there but the step up looks a stretch, and he carries 127 lb from stall 1.
Letsbeatsepsis has run over today's trip and going before and won three starts back, but he's been a sixth and a seventh in his last two and returns after 48 days off. Our rating of 56 ranks him seventh of 14, so he looks a midfield sort from draw 10 off 124 lb.
Blue Hero won twice in his last six starts, including a first and a second in his earlier outings, and has run over today's trip and going, with 20 days since his last run. The risk is two lesser runs lately, a seventh and a fourth, so he must bounce back from 133 lb.
Amathus was a fourth last time out, 21 days ago, and has a winner four starts back in his recent form, though he's finished unplaced and a fifth since; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 58 ranks him fifth of 14, but 127 lb from draw 4 asks plenty.
Baynoona has been beaten in her last two, a seventh last time out and another seventh two starts back, and returns after 110 days off, though she has run over today's trip and going and signed off a second four starts back. Our rating of 53 sits above her official 45, but she is winless in her last five from draw 11.
Squiffy has run over today's trip and won four starts back, but she has slipped since, finishing a sixth last time out after being unplaced the run before. Back in just 19 days from draw 3, she looks a midfield type with 133 lb to carry off 58.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.