Southwell (AW) 18:30 19 Oct 2026
Class 5 19 Oct 2026

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Voting open
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 1 hour, 1 minute ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Valdoro silks
Valdoro
Age 2 · 9-9
6349
75
—
75
2
9-9
—
—
14/1 11/1 12/1
Valdoro was a poor ninth last time out, though a fourth two starts back and a third three starts back show he can run respectably, and he has run over today's trip. Winless in his last four, he carries 135 lb from stall four off a 25-day break, with our rating of 75 putting him eighth of 14.
Spotlight

Valdoro was a poor ninth last time out, though a fourth two starts back and a third three starts back show he can run respectably, and he has run over today's trip. Winless in his last four, he carries 135 lb from stall four off a 25-day break, with our rating of 75 putting him eighth of 14.

2
Lady Henshaw silks
Lady Henshaw
Age 2 · 9-9
721
75
—
66
2
9-9
—
—
7/2 FCST 3/1
Lady Henshaw arrives in good heart, a winner last time out and second two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. But 135 lb from stall 11 is a stiff ask, and our rating of 66 ranks her last of 14.
Spotlight

Lady Henshaw arrives in good heart, a winner last time out and second two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. But 135 lb from stall 11 is a stiff ask, and our rating of 66 ranks her last of 14.

3
Grey Tamam silks
Grey Tamam
Age 2 · 9-9
382
75
—
78
2
9-9
—
—
4/1 9/2 4/1
Grey Tamam was second last time out, with an eighth and a third before that, and she has run over today's trip, though she is yet to win in her last three starts. A 35-day break and 135 lb from stall five temper the appeal, but our rating of 78 puts her fifth of 14.
Spotlight

Grey Tamam was second last time out, with an eighth and a third before that, and she has run over today's trip, though she is yet to win in her last three starts. A 35-day break and 135 lb from stall five temper the appeal, but our rating of 78 puts her fifth of 14.

4
Wait Geordie silks
Wait Geordie
Age 2 · 9-8
878596
74
—
79
2
9-8
—
—
25/1 20/1 25/1
Wait Geordie is rated 79 by us, third of 14, and that sits above his official mark of 74, while a sixth last time out came only 10 days ago and was an improvement on his ninth before that. Yet to win in his last six, he's still a worry, as finishes of eighth, seventh and ninth hardly shout reliability.
Spotlight

Wait Geordie is rated 79 by us, third of 14, and that sits above his official mark of 74, while a sixth last time out came only 10 days ago and was an improvement on his ninth before that. Yet to win in his last six, he's still a worry, as finishes of eighth, seventh and ninth hardly shout reliability.

5
Dowman silks
Dowman
Age 2 · 9-7
221252
73
—
78
2
9-7
—
—
4/1
Dowman arrives in sound recent form, second last time out and a winner four starts back, though he has finished second in four of his last six and has a fifth in there too. He has run over today's trip, but 37 days off and 133 lb from draw 9 temper things, and our rating of 78 ranks him sixth of 14.
Spotlight

Dowman arrives in sound recent form, second last time out and a winner four starts back, though he has finished second in four of his last six and has a fifth in there too. He has run over today's trip, but 37 days off and 133 lb from draw 9 temper things, and our rating of 78 ranks him sixth of 14.

6
Louis The Fifth silks
Louis The Fifth
Age 2 · 9-7
32458
73
—
83
2
9-7
—
—
16/1 12/1 16/1
Louis The Fifth tops our ranking at 83 and has run over today's trip, with a second and a third among his last five starts and a quick 19-day turnaround, while his official 73 looks workable from stall 1. The main risk is that he is winless in that spell and signed off with an eighth last time out.
Spotlight

Louis The Fifth tops our ranking at 83 and has run over today's trip, with a second and a third among his last five starts and a quick 19-day turnaround, while his official 73 looks workable from stall 1. The main risk is that he is winless in that spell and signed off with an eighth last time out.

7
Casino Star silks
Casino Star
Age 2 · 9-7
623582
73
—
77
2
9-7
—
—
15/2 5/1 13/2
Casino Star was second last time out and fresh from just 11 days ago, with a third and another second also in his last six runs, and he has run over today's trip and going. Yet he is winless in that spell, and 133 lb from draw 6 leaves him a midfield sort on our rating of 77.
Spotlight

Casino Star was second last time out and fresh from just 11 days ago, with a third and another second also in his last six runs, and he has run over today's trip and going. Yet he is winless in that spell, and 133 lb from draw 6 leaves him a midfield sort on our rating of 77.

8
Miss Havisham silks
Miss Havisham
Age 2 · 9-5
33
71
—
70
2
9-5
—
—
11/1 8/1 10/1
Twice third in her last two starts, Miss Havisham has been running respectably, but a 108-day break and a yard managing just 1/31 in the last 14 days make her hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip, though our figures rank her 12th of 14 and she is yet to win in that spell.
Spotlight

Twice third in her last two starts, Miss Havisham has been running respectably, but a 108-day break and a yard managing just 1/31 in the last 14 days make her hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip, though our figures rank her 12th of 14 and she is yet to win in that spell.

9
Bahia Bonita silks
Bahia Bonita
Age 2 · 9-3
431
69
—
80
2
9-3
—
—
7/1 11/2 6/1
Bahia Bonita arrives a last-time-out winner, with a third two starts back and a fourth three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before. A 30-day break looks fine, and our rating of 80 puts her second of 14, though 129 lb is a notable burden from draw 7.
Spotlight

Bahia Bonita arrives a last-time-out winner, with a third two starts back and a fourth three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before. A 30-day break looks fine, and our rating of 80 puts her second of 14, though 129 lb is a notable burden from draw 7.

10
Sioux Moon silks
Sioux Moon
Age 2 · 9-2
3525
68
—
79
2
9-2
—
—
12/1 11/1 12/1
Sioux Moon arrives fit after 28 days off, with a second two starts back and a third four starts back, and she has run over today's trip on this going before; our rating of 79 puts her fourth of 14. The main risk is a fifth last time out and she is yet to win in her last four starts, with 128 lb from draw 12.
Spotlight

Sioux Moon arrives fit after 28 days off, with a second two starts back and a third four starts back, and she has run over today's trip on this going before; our rating of 79 puts her fourth of 14. The main risk is a fifth last time out and she is yet to win in her last four starts, with 128 lb from draw 12.

11
North Star Kodi silks
North Star Kodi
Age 2 · 9-2
338
68
—
72
2
9-2
—
—
16/1 FCST 12/1
North Star Kodi was beaten into eighth last time out after a pair of thirds, two and three starts back, and he returns after 40 days, having run over today's trip before. He is yet to win in his last three starts, and our rating of 72 ranks him ninth of 14, so he looks a midfield sort off 128 lb from draw 3.
Spotlight

North Star Kodi was beaten into eighth last time out after a pair of thirds, two and three starts back, and he returns after 40 days, having run over today's trip before. He is yet to win in his last three starts, and our rating of 72 ranks him ninth of 14, so he looks a midfield sort off 128 lb from draw 3.

12
Kigali silks
Kigali
Age 2 · 9-2
679922
68
—
70
2
9-2
—
—
14/1 11/1 12/1
Kigali is hard to fancy, ranked 11 of 14 on our figures and yet to win in his last six starts, with three finishes of seventh or worse in that spell. Back-to-back seconds last time out and two starts back, plus a quick 14-day turnaround and experience of today's trip, do give him some appeal.
Spotlight

Kigali is hard to fancy, ranked 11 of 14 on our figures and yet to win in his last six starts, with three finishes of seventh or worse in that spell. Back-to-back seconds last time out and two starts back, plus a quick 14-day turnaround and experience of today's trip, do give him some appeal.

13
Holi Scarlett silks
Holi Scarlett
Age 2 · 9-1
130368
67
—
69
2
9-1
—
—
28/1 FCST 22/1
Holi Scarlett has faded to a sixth and then an eighth last time out after a win six starts back, and she is hard to fancy as an outsider on our figures. She has run over today's trip and going, and a 39-day break gives her a fresh edge, but 127 lb from stall 10 is a big ask.
Spotlight

Holi Scarlett has faded to a sixth and then an eighth last time out after a win six starts back, and she is hard to fancy as an outsider on our figures. She has run over today's trip and going, and a 39-day break gives her a fresh edge, but 127 lb from stall 10 is a big ask.

14
Donegal Rose silks
Donegal Rose
Age 2 · 9-1
51495
67
—
71
2
9-1
—
—
40/1 25/1 28/1
Donegal Rose was fifth last time out after a ninth, though she did win four starts back, and she has run over today's trip before. A 40-day break and 127 lb from draw 14 temper the appeal, and our rating of 71 ranks her tenth of 14.
Spotlight

Donegal Rose was fifth last time out after a ninth, though she did win four starts back, and she has run over today's trip before. A 40-day break and 127 lb from draw 14 temper the appeal, and our rating of 71 ranks her tenth of 14.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Valdoro 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 16/1 Paddy Power
2 Lady Henshaw 7/2 7/2 open 5.00 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 3/1 10/3 7/2 Bet365
3 Grey Tamam 4/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 6/1 Paddy Power
4 Wait Geordie 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 25/1 Bet365
5 Dowman 4/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 9/2 Paddy Power
6 Louis The Fifth 16/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 20/1 Paddy Power
7 Casino Star 15/2 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 13/2 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 15/2 Bet365
8 Miss Havisham 11/1 open 9.50 12/1 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 12/1 Paddy Power
9 Bahia Bonita 7/1 open 7.00 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 7/1 Bet365
10 Sioux Moon 12/1 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 14/1 Paddy Power
11 North Star Kodi 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 16/1 Bet365
12 Kigali 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 Bet365
13 Holi Scarlett 28/1 22/1 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 22/1 28/1 Bet365
14 Donegal Rose 40/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 28/1 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Grey Tamam

Speculative

Grey Tamam owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 James Tate Luke Morris
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Dowman

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · George Boughey
✓ Value Signal

Donegal Rose

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Hugo Palmer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Grey Tamam
53.4 4/1
2 5. Dowman
51.9 4/1
3 2. Lady Henshaw
50.4 7/2
4 10. Sioux Moon
50.0 12/1
5 7. Casino Star
49.6 15/2
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Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

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★★★★★

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★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-9
7/2
🐾 —

Lady Henshaw arrives in good heart, a winner last time out and second two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. But 135 lb from stall 11 is a stiff ask, and our rating of 66 ranks her last of 14.

3
Age 2 · 9-9
4/1
🐾 —

Grey Tamam was second last time out, with an eighth and a third before that, and she has run over today's trip, though she is yet to win in her last three starts. A 35-day break and 135 lb from stall five temper the appeal, but our rating of 78 puts her fifth of 14.

5
Age 2 · 9-7
4/1
🐾 —

Dowman arrives in sound recent form, second last time out and a winner four starts back, though he has finished second in four of his last six and has a fifth in there too. He has run over today's trip, but 37 days off and 133 lb from draw 9 temper things, and our rating of 78 ranks him sixth of 14.

9
Age 2 · 9-3
7/1
🐾 —

Bahia Bonita arrives a last-time-out winner, with a third two starts back and a fourth three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and on this going before. A 30-day break looks fine, and our rating of 80 puts her second of 14, though 129 lb is a notable burden from draw 7.

7
Age 2 · 9-7
15/2
🐾 —

Casino Star was second last time out and fresh from just 11 days ago, with a third and another second also in his last six runs, and he has run over today's trip and going. Yet he is winless in that spell, and 133 lb from draw 6 leaves him a midfield sort on our rating of 77.

8
Age 2 · 9-5
11/1
🐾 —

Twice third in her last two starts, Miss Havisham has been running respectably, but a 108-day break and a yard managing just 1/31 in the last 14 days make her hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip, though our figures rank her 12th of 14 and she is yet to win in that spell.

10
Age 2 · 9-2
12/1
🐾 —

Sioux Moon arrives fit after 28 days off, with a second two starts back and a third four starts back, and she has run over today's trip on this going before; our rating of 79 puts her fourth of 14. The main risk is a fifth last time out and she is yet to win in her last four starts, with 128 lb from draw 12.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
14/1
🐾 —

Valdoro was a poor ninth last time out, though a fourth two starts back and a third three starts back show he can run respectably, and he has run over today's trip. Winless in his last four, he carries 135 lb from stall four off a 25-day break, with our rating of 75 putting him eighth of 14.

12
Age 2 · 9-2
14/1
🐾 —

Kigali is hard to fancy, ranked 11 of 14 on our figures and yet to win in his last six starts, with three finishes of seventh or worse in that spell. Back-to-back seconds last time out and two starts back, plus a quick 14-day turnaround and experience of today's trip, do give him some appeal.

6
Age 2 · 9-7
16/1
🐾 —

Louis The Fifth tops our ranking at 83 and has run over today's trip, with a second and a third among his last five starts and a quick 19-day turnaround, while his official 73 looks workable from stall 1. The main risk is that he is winless in that spell and signed off with an eighth last time out.

11
Age 2 · 9-2
16/1
🐾 —

North Star Kodi was beaten into eighth last time out after a pair of thirds, two and three starts back, and he returns after 40 days, having run over today's trip before. He is yet to win in his last three starts, and our rating of 72 ranks him ninth of 14, so he looks a midfield sort off 128 lb from draw 3.

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f16y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade