Navan Racecourse Handicap · 5f
SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 82 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 48 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 43 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Prairie Girl | 13/2 open 7.00 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Amerilis | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Cuban Grey | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Bad Boy Rizz | 4/1 open 10.00 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Gotta Catch'em All | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sovereign Cry | 22/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 10.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Dandyville | 80/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Shadow Of The Moon | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 17.00 | 17/2 open 17.00 | 17/2 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Buddy Batt | 40/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Harry's Hill | 15/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 11 Mint Man | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Bold Optimist | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Treasured Royal | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Happy Henry | 8/1 open 15.00 | 8/1 open 15.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Beach Barbie | 12/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Gonna Be Golden | 40/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 17 Cashel Blue | 22/1 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Alnofoor | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Amerilis owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 82 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Bad Boy Rizz (SR:82, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in this 18-runner field and has been backed in dramatically from a morning price — a 40% market move inward is the single strongest signal on the card, indicating informed support for Colin Keane (16% career strike rate, 1,077 runners), the standout jockey booking. At 9-12, he carries a manageable weight and his form line 1-2354 shows consistent placed efforts, with the last winning form coming over similar distances. The GoingFit:- is a concern on good ground, but at 4/1 in a wide-open €9,000 sprint handicap, the SR lead combined with the dramatic market move and a top-percentile jockey outweighs that reservation. Each-way alternative: Prairie Girl. Main danger: Happy Henry — Happy Henry (SR:69, 17/2) has shortened 26% in the market, carries a light 9-0, and his form line 313159 shows course-competitive efforts — the market move is substantial and could represent each-way or win money from connections who know good ground suits.