Dalamara bounced back to winning ways last time out and, having run over today's trip and going before, she arrives here fit on an eight-day turnaround, with our figures rating her second best of the twelve.
Form last 6424641
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR62RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and off the track for 109 days, New Objective faces a fitness question, though a runner-up finish two starts back suggests ability; he has going experience to call on, but his official rating of 55 leaves him firmly in the midfield mix.
Form last 66902-9
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR56RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Gifts Differing nonetheless rates above her official mark and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making her a live threat from stall eight at 135 lb — the risk is that her recent finishes offer little encouragement.
Form last 6-55669
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR58RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Rugby Union nevertheless shapes as a leading danger here — he has experience of today's trip and conditions, carries a manageable 134 lb from stall four, and our rating of 59 marks him out above his official mark; the concern is that his recent finishes offer little encouragement.
Form last 6-05958
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR59RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked top of the field on our rating, Parole Officer has run over today's trip and going and returns on a fresh 23-day break carrying 133 lb from stall 10, yet winless in his last five starts, that recent run of form remains the primary concern.
Form last 64-9906
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR63RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts, Gilleangirl has at least run over today's going before and arrives 27 days fresh, though a speed rating of 46 and an official mark of 53 suggest she faces a stiff task from stall six carrying 133 lb.
Form last 65-874
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR55RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Baldosa showed she can win in recent starts, with a victory three starts back, though sixth last time out is a concern; she has run over today's trip and going, carries 130 lb from stall one, and our rating of 57 suggests a shade of unexploited potential.
Form last 6524136
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
61SR57RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Clova Royale has been winless in his last five starts, with a pair of sevenths and eighths suggesting he finds life tough at this level, though he has run over today's trip before and returns after 42 days off carrying 127 lb from stall five.
Form last 608787
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR52RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in her last six starts, Galistra ranks tenth of twelve on our figures and faces a stiff task here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a manageable 25-day break.
Form last 6855079
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR47RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in her last six starts, Diamond Aura has been finishing in the bottom half of fields recently, and a ranking of ninth of twelve on our figures makes her hard to fancy; she has run over today's trip and going before, and a 25-day break at least suggests she arrives fresh.
Form last 6542476
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR51RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, Go Teejay faces a stiff task here, with a string of mid-field and rear finishes offering little encouragement; experience on today's going is the one mild positive.
Form last 6886096
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR42RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in her last three starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Nefyn Queen also returns from a 137-day absence, making her hard to fancy; experience on today's going is her one small consolation.
Form last 6060
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
15SR25RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 15 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Rugby Union owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Gemma TuttyJoanna Mason
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Baldosa
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Nigel Tinkler✓ Value Signal
Nefyn Queen
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Stephen Hanlon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Dalamara (SR:62, 9/4) leads this field on ability, carries 10-0 as top-weight but in a Class 6 AW sprint-ish field where the SR gap over rivals is meaningful — next-best is Rugby Union at SR:60 and Baldosa at SR:61. Crucially, Dalamara has a confirmed course win (Course:W1P1) at Newcastle AW and a positive going fit (GoingFit:+), two signals no other runner matches simultaneously. The 13% market drift is a concern, but the drift may reflect the weight burden rather than an intelligence move — the horse has the class edge, the course record, and ran just 8 days ago suggesting yard confidence. DistFit:? is the key uncertainty at this trip, but GoingFit:+ on the artificial surface at a track where she has already won is a powerful combination in a weak field.
Each-way alternative: Rugby Union.
Main danger: Rugby Union — Rugby Union (SR:60, 7/2) has steamed 30% in the market — matching New Objective's move — and carries a favourably light 9-8, giving it a 6lb pull on Dalamara; if the market support reflects a fitness/stable signal from Gemma Tutty's yard, the weight advantage could offset Dalamara's course edge.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
13% market drift in a weak Class 6 field is notable — if top-weight carrying 10-0 is the obvious class pick, drift suggests connections or insiders are not confident today.
Form reads 424641 with a '1' buried several runs back; last two runs are '4' and '6', meaning she heads here on a losing streak with no recent win to anchor confidence.
DistFit:? is an unresolved flag — if today's trip is outside her proven range, Rugby Union (SR:60, 9 lb lighter, 30% market move IN) and Baldosa (SR:61, 6 lb lighter, course placed W0P2) both exploit…
Jockey Andrew Mullen strikes at only 9% and trainer Ben Haslam at 13% — both below-average for a horse expected to overcome top weight in a race where two rivals are shortening sharply.