Bath Country Race Day, Running 9 Till 5 Handicap Stakes · 1m6f
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Trooper | 66/1 open 23.00 | 100/1 open 17.00 | 80/1 open 19.00 | 80/1 open 19.00 | 66/1 open 19.00 | 100/1 open 19.00 | 100/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Basilette | 15/8 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 3 Just Adair | 5/2 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Fram Castle | 11/4 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Prophet Squeeze | 33/1 open 15.00 | 50/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 50/1 open 19.00 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Cherry Cola | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Alex The Great | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Nora Barnacle | 40/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Notable Charm | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Lady Lauren | 40/1 open 21.00 | 30/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Fram Castle owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Just Adair (SR:57, 9/4) is one of only two horses in this Class 6 field with an SR in the competitive range, and at age 4 carries the progressive profile that matters in a moderate handicap. The Mkt:in10% move — money arriving from 9/4 — is a meaningful signal in a field where most runners are drifting sharply. The form string 28-226 shows consistency at this level: placed in five of six career starts, never finishing worse than eighth, with the rightmost '6' (last run) explained by an unproven distance and going record (both DistFit:? and GoingFit:?) — today's conditions on good ground at 1m6f are at least not a demonstrated negative, unlike Fram Castle whose GoingFit:- is a concrete concern. Pat Cosgrave's 10% strike rate from 650 career rides gives the yard a reliable pilot, and the Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill yard's 12% strike rate from 155 runners is solid for a smaller operation. Each-way alternative: Basilette. Main danger: Basilette — Basilette (SR:59, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field, holds a Course:W1P2 record at Bath, and has a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's trip — the course-and-distance specialisation is the single strongest piece of evidence in the race and could easily overpower Just Adair's market support.