Lovely Jubly won last time out but that was 56 days ago, she ranks last on our figures in a 13-runner field, and carrying 130 lb from stall 14 adds to the concerns, though she has run over today's trip and that recent win is a genuine positive.
Winless in his last six starts, Eagle Day nevertheless shaped with promise when fourth at two of his last four outings and arrives here on a handy 10-lb pull between his official mark and our rating of 70, suggesting he retains untapped potential; he has run over today's trip and going, and 31 days between runs looks a sharp enough preparation.
Form last 6804945
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR70RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and off the track for 405 days, Wildfell faces a steep ask on fitness, yet his rating of 74 — highest among the 13 runners — and experience over today's trip and going mark him as a genuine threat if that layoff hasn't blunted his edge.
Form last 679/00-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR74RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Havana Club won two starts back and was third last time out, so there is recent form to like, but a sixth and a fourth deeper in his record temper enthusiasm; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 132 lb from stall five, and returns on a fair 30-day break.
Form last 6426413
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
61SR62RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Blue Hero arrives on the back of two wins in his last five starts, including a victory last time out, and has experience of today's distance and going; however, 33 days off the track introduces a fitness query and 132 lb from stall 13 is no small ask.
Form last 6-48121
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
65SR60RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sceptic has experience of today's distance and going, and a win four starts back gives his profile some substance, but a pair of fifth-place finishes in his last two runs and a ranking of tenth in a field of thirteen suggest he faces a stiff ask from stall 12 carrying 132 lb.
Form last 6521955
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
43SR59RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Showed a win five starts back and a third six starts back, but three subsequent efforts have brought nothing better than fifth, and his recent consistency is a concern; has run over today's trip and going, carries 131 lb from stall nine, and an 18-day break leaves fitness an open question.
Form last 6316765
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR60RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Electric Bass faces a stiff task here; a third last time out and experience over today's trip and going offer faint encouragement, but 131 lb from stall four after a 48-day break makes this a tough ask.
Form last 65-2253
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR58RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Thestral shaped with promise when third three starts back and second four starts back, and he returns here on a going and distance combination he has already encountered, with our rating of 65 suggesting he is ahead of his official mark; yet he remains winless in recent starts, which is the key concern.
Form last 6802305
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR65RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts with a string of mid-pack and placed efforts, Galactic Glow is a difficult proposition ranked 11 of 13 on our figures, though he has run over today's trip and going before and steps back up fresh enough on 24 days' rest.
Form last 6322627
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR58RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent but not dominant, Buckland Belle has placed in five of her last six starts with a win three starts back, yet a speed rating of 56 leaves a question mark against her; she has run over today's trip and returns quickly on nine days' rest from stall one carrying 130 lb.
Form last 6322132
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR62RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Amathus won two starts back but has since finished fifth, and his wider form is patchy; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 129 lb from stall two, and at a rating of 62 holds claims without being the most compelling option in this field.
Form last 6298415
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
38SR62RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Malakai Kite has been knocking on the door, third last time out and third again three starts back, showing consistent intent over today's trip and going; winless in recent starts is the concern, but our rating of 64 suggests he is capable of going one better.
Form last 64353
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR64RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Who Is Alice makes for a difficult each-way proposition; she does return quickly on nine days' rest, has experience over today's trip and going, and draws stall three carrying 127 lb.
Form last 6-09655
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR57RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Havana Club owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/1Adrian WintleFinley Marsh
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Buckland Belle
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
evn · Ollie Sangster✓ Value Signal
Wildfell
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · John & Rhys Flint◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Buckland Belle dominates the SR rankings at 80 — a full 15 points clear of the next-best Blue Hero (65) in a Class 6 field where most rivals sit below 60. The market has backed this up emphatically, shortening 24% to 10/11 favourite, with Tom Marquand (13% career SR, 1189 runners) taking the ride. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability over today's mile trip, and the 9-day turnaround from a horse trained by the progressive Ollie Sangster (12%, 573 runners) signals connections are happy to go again quickly. The GoingFit:- flag is the one genuine concern, but the SR advantage over this field is so pronounced that even a 10-15% ground underperformance still leaves her ahead of her rivals on ability.
Each-way alternative: Eagle Day.
Main danger: Blue Hero — Blue Hero (SR:65, Course:W3P5) has the best course record in the field with three wins at Bath and posted a recent 1-2-1 run of form, and even at 15/2 carries far less weight than Buckland Belle's mark demands if the good ground plays to his strengths.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit:- is a concrete flag against Buckland Belle at Bath today — if the ground is softer than ideal, a 3yo filly with a going preference could underperform meaningfully against proven course hand…
Blue Hero and Havana Club both carry strong course form at Bath specifically (W3P5 and W2P3 respectively), while Buckland Belle has no course win recorded — Bath's tight turns and undulations can cat…
Buckland Belle's last four runs show a pattern of 2-1-3-2 rather than outright winning — the '2' most recently suggests she finds a way to get beaten, and at 10/11 there is no margin for error if she…
The MarkMv of only +6 despite a 24% market move is relatively modest for a horse being sent off favourite — the broader market may be less convinced of the SR gap than the SR ranking implies, with Ea…
ShortlistBuckland Belle, Blue Hero, Eagle Day, Galactic Glow