Downpatrick Racecourse Family Funday Supporters Flat Race · 2m2f165y
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 121 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 114 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 128 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 149 backed by market confidence at 11/4 — a genuine contender.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 123 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Be My Fortune | 4/1 open 4.33 | — | 4/1 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 9/2 William Hill |
| 2 Breezingwithdstars | 100/1 | — | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Its Time For A Run | 8/1 open 8.00 | — | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 4 Optical Illusion | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Poets Walk Paris | 18/1 open 15.00 | — | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Rememberwhat | 11/4 | — | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 7 Tis Well For Some | 4/1 open 6.00 | — | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Seamy Appletart | 25/1 | — | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Payslip | 10/3 | — | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 10 Loves A Laugh | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 14/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Payslip owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 149 backed by market confidence at 11/4 — a genuine contender.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 128 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Payslip carries the highest SR in the field at 155 — a clear tier above the 149 of Rememberwhat and the 148 of Tis Well For Some — and does so off a featherweight 11-7, giving 7lb to Be My Fortune, Rememberwhat, Tis Well For Some and several others. In an amateur/bumper-style flat race at Downpatrick, that weight advantage is significant. The form reads 22- which, while showing a pair of runner-up finishes rather than a win, at least confirms the horse competes and finishes, unlike several rivals showing blanks or non-completions. Trainer Gavin Cromwell is a serious operator (9% strike rate from 1,301 runners) and jockey Mr D G Lavery boasts a 12% strike rate from 59 rides — both well above par for a contest like this. The 10/3 price is fair without being cramped, and there is no significant market drift to cause concern. Each-way alternative: Rememberwhat. Main danger: Tis Well For Some — Tis Well For Some (SR:148) has steamed in 18% in the market — the only horse in the race with meaningful money behind it — suggesting yard confidence from the Peter Fahey operation, and jockey Mr A P Ryan carries a standout 21% strike rate from 82 rides which is the best riding stat in this field.