Wolverhampton (AW) 16:53 RESULTED
Class 5 14 Jul 2026

Last Tuesday Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 1m4f51y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lady Magu (GB) Ray Dawson · Roger Varian
    3/1
  2. 5/2F
  3. 7/2
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

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Wolverhampton (AW)

16:53–19:55 · 7 races

Killarney

17:09–20:10 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 2 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Rose Cotton silks
Rose Cotton
Age 4 · 10-2
7-1227
74
79
74OR
4
10-2
7/2 10/3 3/1
A winner four starts back, then two runner-up efforts in a row, with sevenths at the start and end of the five-run sequence. Has raced over today's trip before but returns from a 60-day break under 142 lb, that below-par latest run the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Post Rider silks
Post Rider
Age 5 · 10-1
82-735
73
51
73OR
5
10-1
18/1 12/1 18/1
Yet to win in her last five starts, but a third two starts back, and a runner-up four starts back, show she has the class for this. Quick to reappear 13 days on, and narrowly the pick of this field on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Sound Janet silks
Sound Janet
Age 4 · 9-11
225-06
69
43
69OR
4
9-11
80/1 22/1 66/1
Two runner-up efforts four and five starts back show ability, though form has dipped since — fifth, unplaced, then sixth last time out. Has raced over today's trip before with a strong speed figure to her name; the recent decline is the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

4
Ghost Story silks
Ghost Story
Age 5 · 9-8
123-33
66
66
66OR
5
9-8
15/2 5/1 7/1
A winner five starts back, runner-up four starts back, then three straight thirds — competitive throughout. Has raced over today's trip before, and her speed figure matches her rating; the query is finding more than minor honours here.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Lady Magu silks
Lady Magu
Age 3 · 9-5
551
75
77
75OR
3
9-5
7/2 7/4 3/1
Won last time out after two fifth-placed efforts before that, marking a clear step forward. Carries 131 lb on a 27-day turnaround, with an official rating of 75 that leaves room to progress if that improved form is repeated.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Shangri La silks
Shangri La
Age 3 · 9-3
443-
73
76
73OR
3
9-3
7/2 5/2 11/4
Without a win in her last three starts, albeit a third last time out was the best of them after two fourths before that. A 220-day absence since raises obvious fitness questions, though her official rating of 73 is competitive; her modest speed figure is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Guendolen silks
Guendolen
Age 5 · 9-0
4467-6
58
43
58OR
5
9-0
22/1 16/1 18/1
Well held in her last three starts (6th, 7th, 6th) having been fourth in the two before that, without landing a win in her last five outings. Has raced over today's trip before, but a 75-day break and a downward drift in form make her hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

8
Five Moons silks
Five Moons
Age 3 · 8-12
7-444
68
44
68OR
3
8-12
40/1 11/1 33/1
Three fourths in her last three starts follow a seventh four back, without a win to show for any of them. Has raced over today's trip before but returns from a 120-day layoff and rates bottom of this field on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

9
Desert Belle silks
Desert Belle
Age 3 · 8-11
2143
67
83
67OR
3
8-11
11/4 9/2 11/4
A third last time out tops a good recent run. A winner three starts back, runner-up four starts back, with only a fourth to interrupt. Has raced over today's trip before, fit again 34 days on.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Rose Cotton 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 4.33 3/1 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
2 Post Rider 18/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Coral
3 Sound Janet 80/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365
4 Ghost Story 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 Ladbrokes
5 Lady Magu 7/2 open 2.88 7/2 open 2.75 3/1 open 2.75 7/2 open 2.88 7/2 open 2.88 7/2 Bet365
6 Shangri La 7/2 open 7.50 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 11/4 open 3.50 7/2 Bet365
7 Guendolen 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 25/1 Ladbrokes
8 Five Moons 40/1 open 12.00 40/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Desert Belle 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 5.50 3/1 Ladbrokes

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Desert Belle

Speculative

Desert Belle owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Sir Mark Prescott Bt Luke Morris
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rose Cotton

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Tom Clover
✓ Value Signal

Five Moons

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Simon & Ed Crisford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Desert Belle
56.2 11/4
2 1. Rose Cotton
55.6 7/2
3 6. Shangri La
54.9 7/2
4 5. Lady Magu
53.5 7/2
5 4. Ghost Story
46.0 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Desert Belle
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 8-11
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-5
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-3
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-8
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 10-1
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Desert Belle
Confidence: Medium

Desert Belle (SR 83, 11/4) carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-11, giving her a significant pounds advantage over top-weight Rose Cotton (SR 79, 10-2) — that's 15lb less for a horse with the highest SR in the race. The market has been steamered in by 32%, the strongest sustained move in the field, pointing to stable confidence from Sir Mark Prescott's yard (17% strike rate, 247 runners). Her form of 2143 shows consistent competitiveness and a recent win, while dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) into this Class 5 company represents a favourable opportunity. The combination of top SR, lightest weight, class drop, and sharp market move makes her the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Rose Cotton. Main danger: Rose Cotton — Rose Cotton (SR 79, 7/2) has been steamed in 21% by the market, owns course form of W1P2 at Wolverhampton, and showed a recent win in her 7-1227 form line — the market money and course familiarity make her the most credible threat to Desert Belle.

Shortlist Desert Belle, Rose Cotton, Lady Magu
Each-way: Rose Cotton Danger: Rose Cotton

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m4f51y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade