Dandara, Beautiful New Homes In Carway "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Won A Flat Race In 2026) · 1m2f0y
SR 55 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 51 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Havana Tobouggaloo | 4/1 open 6.00 | — | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 Coral |
| 2 Racing Demon | 13/2 open 6.00 | — | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 7/1 Coral |
| 3 Homeland | 9/4 open 3.00 | — | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 15/8 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Praise Indeed | 16/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Gert Lush | 11/2 open 12.00 | — | 5/1 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 15.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Hammal | 125/1 open 41.00 | — | 100/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Prophet Squeeze | 40/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 Ladbrokes |
| 8 Madame Passant | 5/1 open 6.50 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Ibiza Lights | 8/1 open 6.00 | — | 7/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Gert Lush owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 56 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Gert Lush (SR:55, 11/2) carries the lightest weight among the proven contenders at 9-8 and has posted a remarkable 49% market shortening — by far the most dramatic market move in this field — which is a strong signal that connections and informed money believe this 9-year-old is primed. GoingFit:~ suggests reasonable comfort on good ground, DistFit:~ confirms moderate distance credentials at this trip, and the course form (W0P1 at Ffos Las) adds familiarity with this track. At Class 6 with no win in 2026 required, the weight advantage plus the aggressive market move makes Gert Lush the most compelling case despite a quiet-looking form string — the 49% steam is too loud to ignore in a field this modest. Each-way alternative: Homeland. Main danger: Homeland — Homeland (SR:56, 9/4) is the top-rated runner in the field, carries only 9-11, has Rossa Ryan booked — a jockey on 16% career strike rate — and despite a slight drift sits as market favourite, suggesting the wider market still respects its claims at this trip despite DistFit:? uncertainty.