Diplomat Hotel Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m5f0y
SR 124 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 46 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 128 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Far From Fern | 200/1 open 151.00 | — | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Kodicall | 80/1 open 67.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Nevasca Cinza | 5/2 | — | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 | 15/8 open 3.00 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Gris De Chine | 22/1 open 26.00 | — | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Livvys Edge | 50/1 open 67.00 | — | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Queen Sana | 10/3 open 4.00 | — | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 3/1 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 7 Star Velocity | 10/11 open 1.80 | — | 5/6 open 1.73 | 5/6 open 1.73 | 10/11 open 1.73 | 5/6 open 1.67 | 10/11 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Star Velocity owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Star Velocity carries the standout SR of 157 in a field where the next-best is Livvys Edge at 128 — a massive gap that translates to a clear class edge in a weak Class 4 maiden. Ralph Beckett (18% strike rate from 833 runners) booking Rossa Ryan (16% strike rate from 1,346 runners) is a top-tier connections pairing rarely deployed without serious intent, and the 10/11 market price reflects genuine confidence even if there has been a modest 8% drift. The single form figure of '3' on debut suggests a horse that was green or found the race coming too soon, and a Beckett horse with an SR of 157 in a 5f Class 4 maiden at Ffos Las should be too good for these rivals once it learns its trade. The drift is a minor concern but the connections quality and SR dominance outweigh it. Each-way alternative: Nevasca Cinza. Main danger: Nevasca Cinza — Nevasca Cinza has a proven DistFit:+ at 5f and a consistent recent form line of 2-4342 at this level, trained by James Fanshawe (18% strike rate) — if Star Velocity runs green again, this is the horse most likely to capitalise at 5/2.