BOYLE Sports Ulster Derby (Premier Handicap) · 1m4f207y
Carrying top weight 9-13 with a Saturday Rating of 95 and inconsistent form 145-43 limits New Zealand's appeal at 7/1.
Carrying top weight 9-12 with inconsistent form 15-86 and a Saturday Rating of 91 at 9/1 limits confidence.
Carrying top weight of 9-2 with a modest Saturday Rating of 90 and inconsistent form of 4514 limits Trojan Fighter's claims at 7/1.
Harmani's solid form (27-321) and competitive 5/1 odds are offset by a Saturday Rating of 94 and a 8-11 weight burden.
Rated 82 with solid form (6-351) but 8/1 odds and 8-11 weight suggest the market sees limited winning scope.
Moderate Saturday Rating of 86, uninspiring form figures of 6-44, and 8-10 weight limit confidence at 9/2 odds.
Rated 91 with workable 8-9 weight and 9/2 odds, but inconsistent 6-12 form limits confidence to three stars.
Carrying 8-9 with a Saturday Rating of 87 and inconsistent 213-27 form, Madbadanddangerous at 12/1 lacks market confidence.
Wyman's modest Saturday Rating of 80, burdensome 8-7 weight, and uninspiring 55-3 form make 8/1 odds difficult to support.
A Saturday Rating of 74, weak 36-324 form, and 16/1 odds signal Pierre Grosse lacks the market confidence or consistency to contend.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 New Zealand | 7/1 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 17/2 | 15/2 | 17/2 William Hill |
| 2 Shosholoza | 9/1 | — | 9/1 | 9/1 | 10/1 | 9/1 | 10/1 William Hill |
| 3 Trojan Fighter | 7/1 | — | 13/2 | 13/2 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 13/2 | 9/1 William Hill |
| 4 Harmani | 5/1 | — | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5/1 | 9/2 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Huff'n'puff | 8/1 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 17/2 | 15/2 | 17/2 William Hill |
| 6 Mergus Serrator | 9/2 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 9/2 | 4/1 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Bay Of Stars | 9/2 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Madbadanddangerous | 12/1 | — | 11/1 | 11/1 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 | 14/1 William Hill |
| 9 Wyman | 8/1 | — | 9/1 | 9/1 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 Coral |
| 10 Pierre Grosse | 16/1 | — | 18/1 | 18/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 | 18/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bay Of Stars owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalModerate Saturday Rating of 86, uninspiring form figures of 6-44, and 8-10 weight limit confidence at 9/2 odds.
Rated 91 with workable 8-9 weight and 9/2 odds, but inconsistent 6-12 form limits confidence to three stars.
Harmani's solid form (27-321) and competitive 5/1 odds are offset by a Saturday Rating of 94 and a 8-11 weight burden.
Carrying top weight 9-13 with a Saturday Rating of 95 and inconsistent form 145-43 limits New Zealand's appeal at 7/1.
Carrying top weight of 9-2 with a modest Saturday Rating of 90 and inconsistent form of 4514 limits Trojan Fighter's claims at 7/1.
Rated 82 with solid form (6-351) but 8/1 odds and 8-11 weight suggest the market sees limited winning scope.
Wyman's modest Saturday Rating of 80, burdensome 8-7 weight, and uninspiring 55-3 form make 8/1 odds difficult to support.
Carrying top weight 9-12 with inconsistent form 15-86 and a Saturday Rating of 91 at 9/1 limits confidence.
Carrying 8-9 with a Saturday Rating of 87 and inconsistent 213-27 form, Madbadanddangerous at 12/1 lacks market confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 74, weak 36-324 form, and 16/1 odds signal Pierre Grosse lacks the market confidence or consistency to contend.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Bay Of Stars (SR 91, 9/2) carries the joint-lowest weight in the field at 8-9, giving him a clear lbs advantage over top-weight New Zealand (SR 95, 9-13) — a 18lb swing that more than compensates for the 4-point SR gap. His form string 6-12 shows a near-miss second followed by a win most recently, confirming he is in peak form and on an upward trajectory. D K Weld is one of the shrewdest handlers of staying 3yos in Irish racing, and the 1m4f207y trip on Good ground suits a horse whose last two runs demonstrate he handles this trip and conditions. The 9/2 price represents genuine value given the weight-in-hand and recency of winning form. Each-way alternative: Harmani. Main danger: Harmani — Harmani (SR 94, 5/1) carries a favourable 8-11 and his form string 27-321 ends with a win last time out, making him the most in-form runner with the second-best SR in the field — G M Lyons will have him primed for this step up in trip.