Down Royal 17:13 20 Jun 2026
20 Jun 2026

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Mount Charles Handicap · 1m4f207y

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Voting open
  • 17 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Jurality Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 12 hours, 36 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Memories Maker silks
Memories Maker
Age 3 · 10-2
725/0-
60
31
3
10-2
50/1
Carrying 10-2 at 50/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 31 and form reading 725/0-, the market has correctly dismissed Memories Maker.
AI verdict

Carrying 10-2 at 50/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 31 and form reading 725/0-, the market has correctly dismissed Memories Maker.

2
Royal Alliance silks
Royal Alliance
Age 4 · 10-2
000-00
60
34
4
10-2
22/1
Carrying top weight of 10-2 with a Saturday Rating of 34, Royal Alliance's winless form of 000-00 at 22/1 offers no appeal.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 10-2 with a Saturday Rating of 34, Royal Alliance's winless form of 000-00 at 22/1 offers no appeal.

3
Grey Fable silks
Grey Fable
Age 6 · 10-1
6-6401
59
55
6
10-1
17/2 FCST 15/2
A Saturday Rating of 55, inconsistent form (6-6401), and 10-1 weight combine to justify cautious 17/2 market positioning.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 55, inconsistent form (6-6401), and 10-1 weight combine to justify cautious 17/2 market positioning.

4
Jurality silks
Jurality
Age 5 · 9-13
555321
57
65
5
9-13
11/4
Improving form (555321) and fair 11/4 odds are offset by a top weight of 9-13 and modest Saturday Rating of 65.
AI verdict

Improving form (555321) and fair 11/4 odds are offset by a top weight of 9-13 and modest Saturday Rating of 65.

5
Takarengo silks
Takarengo
Age 10 · 9-13
2386-0
57
29
10
9-13
40/1 FCST 33/1
Carrying top weight of 9-13 at 40/1 with a Saturday Rating of 29 and poor form of 2386-0 justifies one star.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-13 at 40/1 with a Saturday Rating of 29 and poor form of 2386-0 justifies one star.

6
Jazz Forever silks
Jazz Forever
Age 6 · 9-12
00-483
56
51
6
9-12
6/1 FCST 5/1
Carrying top weight 9-12 with a Saturday Rating of just 51 and uninspiring 00-483 form makes 6/1 poor value.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight 9-12 with a Saturday Rating of just 51 and uninspiring 00-483 form makes 6/1 poor value.

7
Yup Bro silks
Yup Bro
Age 4 · 9-11
6040-0
55
29
4
9-11
33/1 FCST 28/1
Yup Bro's Saturday Rating of 29, 33/1 odds, and winless form of 6040-0 make this 9-11 weighted runner uncompetitive.
AI verdict

Yup Bro's Saturday Rating of 29, 33/1 odds, and winless form of 6040-0 make this 9-11 weighted runner uncompetitive.

8
Pebble Island silks
Pebble Island
Age 4 · 9-9
-00002
53
55
4
9-9
4/1 FCST 7/2
Rated just 55 with form showing only one placed finish in six runs, Pebble Island carries 9-9 at 4/1 without market support.
AI verdict

Rated just 55 with form showing only one placed finish in six runs, Pebble Island carries 9-9 at 4/1 without market support.

9
Numidia silks
Numidia
Age 8 · 9-7
-64007
51
34
8
9-7
20/1 FCST 18/1
Outsider at 20/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 34 and dismal form of -64007 offers no winning case.
AI verdict

Outsider at 20/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 34 and dismal form of -64007 offers no winning case.

10
Patrick Street silks
Patrick Street
Age 7 · 9-6
0-5091
50
53
7
9-6
17/2 FCST 15/2
A Saturday Rating of 53, inconsistent form (0-5091), and 9-6 weight make 17/2 odds unappealing.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 53, inconsistent form (0-5091), and 9-6 weight make 17/2 odds unappealing.

11
Calmafterthestorm silks
Calmafterthestorm
Age 5 · 9-3
/0000-
47
25
5
9-3
28/1
Ranked 25 Saturday Rating with a winless /0000- form string and 28/1 odds confirm this horse offers minimal winning prospects.
AI verdict

Ranked 25 Saturday Rating with a winless /0000- form string and 28/1 odds confirm this horse offers minimal winning prospects.

12
Deluca Chop silks
Deluca Chop
Age 7 · 9-2
-23321
46
62
7
9-2
10/3 FCST 3/1
Consistent form of -23321 and fair odds of 10/3 are offset by a modest Saturday Rating of 62 and 9-2 weight burden.
AI verdict

Consistent form of -23321 and fair odds of 10/3 are offset by a modest Saturday Rating of 62 and 9-2 weight burden.

13
Plus Or Minus silks
Plus Or Minus
Age 3 · 9-1
08790-
45
25
3
9-1
25/1 FCST 22/1
Long odds of 25/1, poor form figures of 08790-, and a low Saturday Rating of 25 confirm Plus Or Minus as a weak outsider.
AI verdict

Long odds of 25/1, poor form figures of 08790-, and a low Saturday Rating of 25 confirm Plus Or Minus as a weak outsider.

14
Idomything silks
Idomything
Age 4 · 8-12
08-870
42
27
4
8-12
22/1 FCST 20/1
A Saturday Rating of 27, 22/1 odds, and form reading 08-870 make Idomything an unconvincing outsider carrying 8-12.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 27, 22/1 odds, and form reading 08-870 make Idomything an unconvincing outsider carrying 8-12.

15
Milverton silks
Milverton
Age 7 · 9-3
0970-6
47
36
7
9-3
16/1
A Saturday Rating of 36, 16/1 odds, and form reading 0970-6 offer no evidence of a winning performance at 9-3.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 36, 16/1 odds, and form reading 0970-6 offer no evidence of a winning performance at 9-3.

16
Folly Beach silks
Folly Beach
Age 8 · 9-12
0/74-7
TBA
56
46
8
9-12
12/1
Rated just 46 with career form reading 0/74-7 and sent off at 12/1 carrying 9-12, Folly Beach offers minimal appeal.
AI verdict

Rated just 46 with career form reading 0/74-7 and sent off at 12/1 carrying 9-12, Folly Beach offers minimal appeal.

17
Just Another Eagle silks
Just Another Eagle
Age 6 · 9-4
42F-09
48
43
6
9-4
14/1
A Saturday Rating of 43, poor form (42F-09), and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects under 9-4.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 43, poor form (42F-09), and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects under 9-4.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Memories Maker 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
2 Royal Alliance 22/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 Coral
3 Grey Fable 17/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 17/2 Bet365
4 Jurality 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 Bet365
5 Takarengo 40/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 40/1 Bet365
6 Jazz Forever 6/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 6/1 Bet365
7 Yup Bro 33/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 Bet365
8 Pebble Island 4/1 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 4/1 Bet365
9 Numidia 20/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 20/1 Bet365
10 Patrick Street 17/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 17/2 Bet365
11 Calmafterthestorm 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 Bet365
12 Deluca Chop 10/3 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 10/3 Bet365
13 Plus Or Minus 25/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 Bet365
14 Idomything 22/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 22/1 Bet365
15 Milverton 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
16 Folly Beach 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365
17 Just Another Eagle 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Jurality

Speculative

Jurality owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Paul W Flynn W J Lee
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Deluca Chop

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · S M Duffy
✓ Value Signal

Yup Bro

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · John C McConnell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Jurality
51.7 11/4
2 12. Deluca Chop
51.0 10/3
3 8. Pebble Island
49.9 4/1
4 10. Patrick Street
44.7 17/2
5 6. Jazz Forever
44.3 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Jurality
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 9-13
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

Improving form (555321) and fair 11/4 odds are offset by a top weight of 9-13 and modest Saturday Rating of 65.

12
Age 7 · 9-2
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

Consistent form of -23321 and fair odds of 10/3 are offset by a modest Saturday Rating of 62 and 9-2 weight burden.

8
Age 4 · 9-9
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

Rated just 55 with form showing only one placed finish in six runs, Pebble Island carries 9-9 at 4/1 without market support.

6
Age 6 · 9-12
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

Carrying top weight 9-12 with a Saturday Rating of just 51 and uninspiring 00-483 form makes 6/1 poor value.

3
Age 6 · 10-1
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 55, inconsistent form (6-6401), and 10-1 weight combine to justify cautious 17/2 market positioning.

10
Age 7 · 9-6
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 53, inconsistent form (0-5091), and 9-6 weight make 17/2 odds unappealing.

16
Age 8 · 9-12
12/1
J: TBA
T: M A Molloy
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

Rated just 46 with career form reading 0/74-7 and sent off at 12/1 carrying 9-12, Folly Beach offers minimal appeal.

17
Age 6 · 9-4
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 43, poor form (42F-09), and 14/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects under 9-4.

15
Age 7 · 9-3
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 36 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 36, 16/1 odds, and form reading 0970-6 offer no evidence of a winning performance at 9-3.

9
Age 8 · 9-7
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 34 🐾

Outsider at 20/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 34 and dismal form of -64007 offers no winning case.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jurality
Confidence: Medium

Jurality (SR 65, 11/4) is the clear SR leader in a field where the next-best rated horses — Deluca Chop (SR 62) and the two SR-55 horses — are all meaningfully below. The form string 555321 shows a progressive pattern of improvement culminating in a win last time out, which is the strongest recent form line in the race. Carrying 9-13 is manageable — only Grey Fable (10-1) and Memories Maker (10-2) are heavier, and both are well below Jurality on SR. The market at 11/4 reflects genuine confidence from Paul W Flynn's yard, and the 1m4f207y trip on Good going suits a horse showing progressive staying form. Each-way alternative: Deluca Chop. Main danger: Deluca Chop — Deluca Chop (SR 62, 10/3) has a form string of -23321 showing consistent placed form and a recent win, carries a very light 9-2, and is only 3 SR points behind Jurality — that weight advantage of 11lbs over Jurality could bridge the gap on Good ground over this stamina-testing trip.

Shortlist Jurality, Deluca Chop, Pebble Island
Each-way: Deluca Chop Danger: Deluca Chop

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f207y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
17 Confirmed runners
Down Royal Track and setting