racingtv.com/freetrial EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) · 5f
Rated 146 on Saturday with 7/1 odds and 9-7 weight, Champion Crown shows mid-tier potential without favourite market support.
Long odds of 25/1 and unknown form make Quillan a weak 124-rated outsider carrying 9-7 with little market support.
A Saturday Rating of 155 and competitive 5/2 odds justify 4 stars, despite modest form figures of 52.
Consistent form figures of 442214 and a strong Saturday Rating of 158 at 4/1 justify four stars.
Strong Saturday Rating of 156 and solid 5/4 market position justify 4 stars despite single form figure.
Shaniko's 18/1 odds, weak 02 form, and low 137 Saturday Rating indicate limited winning prospects here.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Champion Crown | 7/1 open 6.00 | — | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 13/2 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Quillan | 25/1 open 21.00 | — | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Rock Steady Beat | 5/2 open 3.00 | — | 2/1 | 2/1 | 2/1 | 2/1 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Undercover Affair | 4/1 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Cosmic Mystery | 5/4 open 2.88 | — | 11/8 | 11/8 | 11/8 | 5/4 | 11/8 Coral |
| 6 Shaniko | 18/1 open 15.00 | — | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cosmic Mystery owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong Saturday Rating of 156 and solid 5/4 market position justify 4 stars despite single form figure.
A Saturday Rating of 155 and competitive 5/2 odds justify 4 stars, despite modest form figures of 52.
Consistent form figures of 442214 and a strong Saturday Rating of 158 at 4/1 justify four stars.
Rated 146 on Saturday with 7/1 odds and 9-7 weight, Champion Crown shows mid-tier potential without favourite market support.
Shaniko's 18/1 odds, weak 02 form, and low 137 Saturday Rating indicate limited winning prospects here.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Undercover Affair (SR 158, 4/1) holds the highest SR in the field and brings the most meaningful form line — six runs showing consistent placing, including multiple second-place finishes at this 5f trip, indicating genuine ability and racing maturity that debutants and lightly-raced rivals simply cannot match. At level weights of 9-7, the SR edge over Cosmic Mystery (SR 156) and Rock Steady Beat (SR 155) is marginal in raw numbers but the depth of form gives Undercover Affair a significant interpretive edge — those rivals have only 1-2 career starts combined, while Undercover Affair's 442214 sequence shows a horse that knows how to race. The 4/1 price offers clear value against the jolted-favourite Cosmic Mystery (5/4) who has only one run to her name and has never raced on this course or at this level of competition. David Evans is adept at placing horses to win, and the consistent form in this race profile strongly suggests Undercover Affair is the class act in a juvenile novice. Each-way alternative: Rock Steady Beat. Main danger: Cosmic Mystery — Cosmic Mystery (SR 156, 5/4) is the clear market leader and Archie Watson's 2yos frequently improve sharply on their second start — a step forward from her debut fourth could make her unbeatable at this level.