Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) · 1m3f211y
Amiloc's 14/1 odds, modest 110 Saturday Rating, and recent form showing a sixth suggest limited winning prospects here.
Saturday Rating of 123 and recent form 311-61 show ability, but 8/1 odds and 9-3 weight suggest the market sees limitations.
Four wins from five runs but a latest fifth and 9/1 market position suggest limited confidence despite a solid 124 Saturday Rating.
Rated 117 with inconsistent form (142-33) and 10/1 odds, Giavellotto lacks the market confidence for a higher star rating.
Goliath's solid 126 Saturday Rating and consistent form (103-21) are offset by 9-3 weight and 5/1 odds suggesting market doubts.
A Saturday Rating of 133, consistent form of 214-12, and fair 9/2 odds make Jan Brueghel a strong Hardwicke contender.
Lambourn's 20/1 odds and Saturday Rating of 104 reflect weak market confidence despite solid recent form of 154-13.
A Saturday Rating of 93, 66/1 odds, and patchy form reading 1-1916 leave Phantom Flight well below Group 2 standard.
A Saturday Rating of 93 and 50/1 odds expose Sons And Lovers as a massive outsider whose 13-144 form offers little Group 2 hope.
A Saturday Rating of 90 and persistent placed form without a win make 33/1 odds reflect market scepticism accurately.
Kalpana's strong recent form (2271-1) and competitive 133 Saturday Rating at 9-0 justify second-market confidence at 5/2.
Sent off at 16/1 with a Saturday Rating of 108, Santorini Star's market dismissal and modest rating expose clear limitations against Group 2 rivals.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Amiloc | 14/1 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 Coral |
| 2 Best Secret | 8/1 open 13.00 | — | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Ethical Diamond | 9/1 open 11.00 | — | 9/1 | 10/1 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 Ladbrokes |
| 4 Giavellotto | 10/1 open 9.50 | — | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 5 Goliath | 5/1 | — | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Jan Brueghel | 9/2 | — | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Lambourn | 20/1 | — | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 8 Phantom Flight | 66/1 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 Coral |
| 9 Sons And Lovers | 50/1 | — | 50/1 | 66/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 Ladbrokes |
| 10 West Wind Blows | 33/1 open 21.00 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Kalpana | 5/2 | — | 9/4 | 9/4 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 9/4 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 12 Santorini Star | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jan Brueghel owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (74) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalKalpana's strong recent form (2271-1) and competitive 133 Saturday Rating at 9-0 justify second-market confidence at 5/2.
A Saturday Rating of 133, consistent form of 214-12, and fair 9/2 odds make Jan Brueghel a strong Hardwicke contender.
Goliath's solid 126 Saturday Rating and consistent form (103-21) are offset by 9-3 weight and 5/1 odds suggesting market doubts.
Saturday Rating of 123 and recent form 311-61 show ability, but 8/1 odds and 9-3 weight suggest the market sees limitations.
Four wins from five runs but a latest fifth and 9/1 market position suggest limited confidence despite a solid 124 Saturday Rating.
Rated 117 with inconsistent form (142-33) and 10/1 odds, Giavellotto lacks the market confidence for a higher star rating.
Amiloc's 14/1 odds, modest 110 Saturday Rating, and recent form showing a sixth suggest limited winning prospects here.
Sent off at 16/1 with a Saturday Rating of 108, Santorini Star's market dismissal and modest rating expose clear limitations against Group 2 rivals.
Lambourn's 20/1 odds and Saturday Rating of 104 reflect weak market confidence despite solid recent form of 154-13.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Jan Brueghel (SR 133, 9/2) is the joint-highest rated horse in the field alongside Kalpana, but carries 3lb more than the favourite (9-3 vs 9-0) — a marginal weight disadvantage offset by the fact that a 3lb pull on Good to Firm is far less punishing than on soft. His form string 214-12 shows a course-and-distance second followed by a win last time out, confirming he is at peak fitness heading into this Grade 2 assignment. A P O'Brien's record with Group horses at Ascot in summer is formidable, and the 9/2 represents fair value against a favourite who, while in form (2271-1), has a 3lb weight concession working against her on what is essentially a level-weights contest. Jan Brueghel's last-time-out win combined with his strong SR and Ascot form alignment make him the most complete package in the field. Each-way alternative: Goliath. Main danger: Kalpana — Kalpana (SR 133, 5/2) carries 3lb less than Jan Brueghel, is race-fit off a last-time-out win (form 2271-1), and the market's strong support at 5/2 favourite reflects genuine confidence that Andrew Balding has her in career-best form.