Chester 16:38 RESULTED
Class 4 30 May 2026

Last Saturday General Elliot Croft Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

General Elliot Croft Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f70y

1048-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

General Elliot Croft Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Folk Pageant (GB) Hector Crouch · Charlie Johnston
    11/4F
  2. 4/1
  3. 4/1
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13:55–17:17 · 7 races

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17:50–20:50 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 5 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 17 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Gatehouse silks
Gatehouse Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-8
21-14
81
77
90
3
9-8
SP FCST 14/1
Bright start to career on AW included a novice win at Chelmsford (1m2f) in December and short-head handicap win at Southwell (1m) in April; however, he was put firmly in his place on turf debut at Newmarket (good to firm) four weeks ago when a return to 1m2f should have suited.
1
Advance Twentyfive silks
Advance Twentyfive
Age 3 · 9-9
295-60
82
62
90
3
9-9
25/1 18/1 25/1
Second in a maiden here last September; best form in valuable sales races (also 7f) on next two outings but nowhere near repeating it in his two starts this term; hampered early in a York handicap last time (7f; 22-1) and this is a major rethink on his trip, but none too persuasive.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

1
Hell Yeah He Did silks
Hell Yeah He Did Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-9
6231-
85
71
92
3
9-9
SP
2
Timber Twelve silks
Timber Twelve
Age 3 · 9-9
1-14
82
66
89
3
9-9
10/1 15/2 9/1
Made most to win 1m novices on AW at Kempton in September and Southwell in March; that perfect start was followed by a lesser front-running effort at Epsom (8.5f, good) on turf/handicap debut but he looks bred for 1m2f.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Knowledge silks
Knowledge
Age 3 · 9-8
15
81
67
86
3
9-8
20/1 11/1 20/1
Benefited from the runner-up hanging sharply left when narrow winner of 1m novice at Southwell (AW) in January on debut; outsider of five when he finished last in novice at Yarmouth (1m2f, good; bred to stay) seven weeks ago, behind talented rivals but it did not advertise his claims; gelded before this handicap debut.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Bemersyde silks
Bemersyde
Age 3 · 9-7
436
80
76
89
3
9-7
17/2 7/1 8/1
Minor honours over 1m at Newmarket (good) and Windsor (good to firm) on first two starts, before a lesser show under 7lb claimer on latest outing; one to note stepped up to 1m2f for this handicap debut.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Crockham Heath silks
Crockham Heath
Age 3 · 9-7
01-15
80
73
90
3
9-7
4/1 5/1 3/1
Front-running wins in a Southwell novice (1m) and Wolverhampton handicap (9.4f; with authority) in his only two AW races; those were way better than turf performances at Newmarket on debut and in 1m2f handicap (good to firm) on latest outing, which is a concern even though these are early days.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Mayaada silks
Mayaada
Age 3 · 9-5
07-921
78
89
93
3
9-5
9/2 7/2 4/1
After 12 races, for two wins, she should be far more exposed than today's rivals; however, her best form was on last two outings when second at Epsom (8.5f, good) and winning with a steady late bid at Salisbury (upped to 1m2f, good; 4lb higher today) and that earns respect.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Blue Noon silks
Blue Noon
Age 3 · 9-4
4-43
77
75
87
3
9-4
12/1 8/1 11/1
Minor honours in maiden/novice events at Leicester (7f), Newmarket (1m2f) and Salisbury (1m3f); led over 2f out last time but looked green in front and carried her head a bit high; early days, going handicapping first time.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Folk Pageant silks
Folk Pageant
Age 3 · 9-1
2-191
74
90
93
3
9-1
3/1 2/1 3/1
Last of nine on handicap debut at Southwell (1m, AW; 11-1) in March but won starts either side in a maiden at Lingfield (1m, AW; made all) and eight-runner handicap at Newmarket (1m2f, good; always prominent); the latter was by a short head at 25-1 but she's gone up just 3lb since that rallying display and that does not look harsh.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Asia Force silks
Asia Force Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-2
222
78
71
91
3
9-2
SP
10
Home Hero silks
Home Hero
Age 3 · 8-13
644-
72
62
87
3
8-13
5/1 FCST 9/2
Finished closer each time in his three-race 2yo career and met trouble in running when fourth of nine at Haydock (1m, good) on final outing, looking on an even keel only very late in the day when running on well; gelded the following day; highly likely to stay and he's a fascinating handicap newcomer who needs a close look for any strength behind him in the betting.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Carwyn silks
Carwyn
Age 3 · 8-10
969-89
69
53
85
3
8-10
66/1 FCST 50/1
Twice showed fair form at 1m in his four Irish races last term for Ger Lyons; well beaten on handicap debut there, however, and it was the same story this month on both British starts.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

13
Siam Ruby silks
Siam Ruby Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-0
4-1213
TBA
76
77
92
3
9-0
SP
Two AW wins in small fields; ran well on sole turf outing; still has untapped potential
15
Eagles Attire silks
Eagles Attire Non-Runner
Age 3 · 8-12
6-06
TBA
74
62
89
3
8-12
SP
Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Gatehouse 20/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 20/1 Bet365
1 Advance Twentyfive 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365
1 Hell Yeah He Did
2 Timber Twelve 10/1 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 Bet365
4 Knowledge 20/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 Coral
5 Bemersyde 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 9.50 17/2 Bet365
6 Crockham Heath 4/1 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 4/1 Bet365
7 Mayaada 9/2 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 Bet365
8 Blue Noon 12/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 11/1 14/1 Coral
9 Folk Pageant 3/1 open 3.00 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.50 7/2 Coral
9 Asia Force
10 Home Hero 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 5/1 Bet365
11 Carwyn 66/1 open 101.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365
13 Siam Ruby
15 Eagles Attire

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Folk Pageant

Speculative

Folk Pageant owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Charlie Johnston Hector Crouch
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mayaada

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Ollie Sangster
✓ Value Signal

Advance Twentyfive

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Folk Pageant
57.1 3/1
2 7. Mayaada
56.7 9/2
3 5. Bemersyde
48.2 17/2
4 10. Home Hero
47.5 5/1
5 8. Blue Noon
47.1 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Folk Pageant
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-1
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-7
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-5
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 8-13
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-7
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-8
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Folk Pageant
Confidence: Medium

Folk Pageant leads the field with SR 90 and is trading at 9/4. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-1 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Folk Pageant, Mayaada, Bemersyde, Blue Noon, Crockham Heath
Each-way: Mayaada Danger: Bemersyde

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f70y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Chester Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade