Carlisle 17:28 RESULTED
Class 4 30 May 2026

Last Saturday Betway Good Luck Arsenal Handicap

Betway Good Luck Arsenal Handicap · 7f173y

1148-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Betway Good Luck Arsenal Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Priapos (IRE) Rob Hornby · Phillip Makin
    13/2
  2. Second Eupator (FR)
    8/1
  3. 16/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 17 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Candonomore silks
Candonomore
Age 5 · 9-11
752213
82
91
89
5
9-11
11/4 3/1 11/4
A ready winner at Bath (1m, firm) in April and, having run well over 1m2f in the past, he didn't have a problem with 1m1f when a close third, just behind Ayr Poet, at Ayr since on yard debut; remains on a career-high mark though so a shade more may be needed.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Eupator silks
Eupator
Age 4 · 9-10
113894
81
70
89
4
9-10
10/1 7/1 10/1
Two front-running wins on Wolverhampton AW (about 1m and 1m1f) early in 2026; no impact behind Candonomore back on turf at Bath last time, when regular blinkers were left off, as today; likely other days.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Freddie Steady Go silks
Freddie Steady Go
Age 5 · 9-10
771
81
77
91
5
9-10
8/1 7/1 15/2
Cosy winner of minor bumper (good) on debut; had wind surgery after a moderate hurdle debut and, following a couple of fair Flat runs, he caught his rivals on the hop when making all over 7f here (soft) recently; has more to prove off his opening mark but should have some potential.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Count Palatine silks
Count Palatine
Age 5 · 9-9
612-00
80
64
94
5
9-9
16/1
Useful effort in defeat at Beverley (about 7f) last May and confirmed that stiff tracks suit when winning here (7f, good to firm; sole course start) in August; improved again when successful at Ayr later and no surprise if he comes on plenty from first two runs in 2026.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Priapos silks
Priapos
Age 4 · 9-7
112-74
78
84
93
4
9-7
8/1 6/1 8/1
Has done well over 1m for new connections, finding plenty for two wins on sand at Newcastle in late 2025; given a break after and two turf runs since, at Beverley and when fourth at Ayr ten days ago, suggest he isn't just an AW pony; can go well.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Mr King silks
Mr King
Age 6 · 9-7
38R0-6
78
81
94
6
9-7
7/1 FCST 13/2
Modest 2-26 strike-rate and refused to race once in the autumn; however, he's often run well in competitive races, as when third of 19 at York (1m, good) last July and was hampered next time; creditable return for new yard at Redcar (first-time hood, cheekpieces now refitted) this month; involved.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Moon Beginnings silks
Moon Beginnings
Age 4 · 9-6
28-880
77
70
91
4
9-6
12/1
Lightly raced; sole win came over 7f at Chester last September and he's shown only the odd glimmer of promise in handicaps on AW and turf since; falling quickly in the weights but cheekpieces have a big job to do.
AI verdict

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

8
Jez Bomb silks
Jez Bomb
Age 5 · 9-4
-36230
75
78
93
5
9-4
9/1 10/1 9/1
Four wins in 2025 and he wasn't far away over 1m1f here in September; in reasonable form this year and this trip will suit better than the 1m4f he ran over at York last time out but it will be a good effort if he can win this off his current mark.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Ayr Poet silks
Ayr Poet
Age 11 · 9-3
491-02
74
79
92
11
9-3
11/2 7/2 11/2
All 13 wins have come elsewhere but he does have course form and he did so well when going close at Ayr (1m1f, good to firm) last week; however, he's now 6lb higher than his September win which might be a step too far.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Marry The Night silks
Marry The Night
Age 4 · 9-1
511322
72
84
90
4
9-1
13/2 4/1 13/2
Three 1m wins on Southwell AW this year; has also won on turf but he's 15lb higher than when last seen on grass in the autumn so needs to show his form on this surface can keep pace with the AW improvement.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Elizabeth Bay silks
Elizabeth Bay
Age 4 · 8-5
2438-9
62
53
84
4
8-5
33/1 25/1 33/1
Finished close up in 7f events on the AW for previous trainer but two handicap runs either side of a break were disappointing and her stamina will be under pressure back on this track.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Candonomore 11/4 open 5.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.33 3/1 3/1 Coral
2 Eupator 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 11/1 William Hill
3 Freddie Steady Go 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 15/2 17/2 William Hill
4 Count Palatine 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
5 Priapos 8/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 17/2 9/1 Coral
6 Mr King 7/1 open 21.00 15/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 8/1 open 17.00 13/2 8/1 William Hill
7 Moon Beginnings 12/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 Bet365
8 Jez Bomb 9/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 10/1 Coral
9 Ayr Poet 11/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 11/2 6/1 Coral
10 Marry The Night 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 13/2 7/1 William Hill
11 Elizabeth Bay 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Candonomore

Speculative

Candonomore owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Jennie Candlish Rossa Ryan
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Priapos

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · Phillip Makin
✓ Value Signal

Elizabeth Bay

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Katie Scott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Candonomore
56.4 11/4
2 5. Priapos
51.9 8/1
3 10. Marry The Night
51.9 13/2
4 8. Jez Bomb
50.0 9/1
5 6. Mr King
49.5 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Candonomore
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 9-11
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 11 · 9-3
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 4 · 9-1
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-10
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-4
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-6
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

4
Age 5 · 9-9
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Candonomore
Confidence: Medium

Candonomore leads the field with SR 91 and is trading at 11/4. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-11 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Candonomore, Priapos, Marry The Night, Mr King, Ayr Poet
Each-way: Priapos Danger: Marry The Night

🗺 The Course Class 4

7f173y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade