Listowel 16:26 RESULTED
30 May 2026

Last Saturday Insurance Wise Handicap Hurdle

Insurance Wise Handicap Hurdle · 2m4f80y

1348-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Insurance Wise Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rockonliam (IRE) Darragh O'Keeffe · Henry De Bromhead
    9/2
  2. 7/1
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 16 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Chanceawetmorning silks
Chanceawetmorning
Age 6 · 11-12
52P1-1
118
111
120
6
11-12
7/2
Unbeaten from two starts since joining this yard; well-backed to win a Kilbeggan handicap in April (2m1f, good to yielding) and followed up with today's rider aboard at Clonmel next time; made to work harder to win last time and is up another 7lb, but this step up in trip could unlock a bit more.
AI verdict

SR 111 backed by market confidence at 7/2 — a genuine contender.

2
Hamsiyann silks
Hamsiyann
Age 6 · 11-12
/U240-
118
92
123
6
11-12
28/1 18/1 28/1
Dual Flat winner's sole success over hurdles came at the Cheltenham November meeting in 2024 when successful off 7lb lower (2m5f, good); beaten 31l in a quality Aintree handicap in April (2m1f, good to soft) when last seen over obstacles; run on the Flat at Chester wasn't too encouraging either.
AI verdict

SR 92 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

3
High Court Cave silks
High Court Cave
Age 6 · 11-12
0/217-
118
115
125
6
11-12
5/1 5/1 9/2
Point and bumper winner added a hurdles win at Downpatrick in September (2m2f, yielding); creditable return to action at Punchestown earlier this month when seventh of 24 (2m, yielding), shaping as though he would improve; not ruled out.
AI verdict

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Garnacho silks
Garnacho
Age 7 · 11-9
/1087-
115
96
122
7
11-9
15/2 18/1 15/2
Justified strong market support when scoring by 12l on debut for this yard at Bellewstown (2m5f, good) in July; has struggled off 16lb higher mark in three runs since; may need some help from the handicapper.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Elusive Ogie silks
Elusive Ogie
Age 5 · 11-8
3359-U
114
116
125
5
11-8
9/2 5/2 4/1
Limerick maiden hurdle winner this time last year (2m1f, good); travelling smoothly and looked likely to be involved in the finish when sprawling and unseating at the second last at Limerick last time off this mark (2m4f, good to yielding); lightly raced and dangerous if repeating; good third in the Lartigue (2m, good to yielding) in other run at this track.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Tir Og silks
Tir Og
Age 5 · 11-7
5038-7
113
92
123
5
11-7
40/1 16/1 33/1
Progressed really well in the early part of last season, rising 30lb in the ratings, stemming from three wins and two seconds; probably too high in the ratings now; unsuited by race conditions at Killarney when tailed off last time; others more likely.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Falco Blitz silks
Falco Blitz
Age 12 · 11-4
/6D54/3
110
90
122
12
11-4
20/1 22/1 18/1
Six-time winner (four chases, two hurdles) holds a 14lb lower hurdles mark and ran a very encouraging race returning from an absence at Killarney when third; entitled to improve on that; interesting.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Therellbguddaysyet silks
Therellbguddaysyet
Age 10 · 11-2
76/4-5
108
88
124
10
11-2
33/1 20/1 28/1
Good ground Thurles maiden hurdle winner who has been placed off this mark; ran a decent race faced with an unrealistic task at Cork on stable debut and another positive effort at Killarney when fifth back in handicap company (4.25l behind Falco Blitz); blinkers go on and he's lightly-raced for his age.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Earl Neigh silks
Earl Neigh
Age 7 · 11-1
5/36-P
107
78
118
7
11-1
50/1 FCST 40/1
Some promise in his maiden over 2m-2m4f on varying ground; always behind when upped to 3m2f for his handicap debut at Sligo; needs to bounce back.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Bop Wont Stop silks
Bop Wont Stop
Age 6 · 11-0
3006/4
106
92
120
6
11-0
16/1 18/1 16/1
Creditable return from over a year off at Cork (2m3f, good) when a 9l fourth of 15, hampered and made a mistake late on; in the mix if backing it up.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
One And Only silks
One And Only
Age 8 · 10-13
P3P18-
105
81
121
8
10-13
22/1 22/1 20/1
Added a second hurdles win at Limerick (2m7f, heavy) in March off 6lb lower; couldn't back it up at Cork (3m, yielding) last time when a 16.5l eighth; others preferred.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Big Dispute silks
Big Dispute
Age 7 · 10-12
/233-3
104
108
122
7
10-12
8/1 13/2 15/2
Struggled after winning a bumper on debut; staged a revival last summer when placed in three maiden hurdles; well backed and ran creditably in a Cork rated novice hurdle last time when third (2m2f, good); getting the hang of things and should be thereabouts.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

13
Rockonliam silks
Rockonliam
Age 6 · 10-10
/1634-
102
115
122
6
10-10
7/2 4/1 7/2
Killarney maiden hurdle winner (2m4f, yielding) last season, beating Big Dispute by 0.75l; cruised easily to the lead before emptying late on at Leopardstown (2m5f, good to yielding) when last seen over Christmas; that performance suggests a win off this mark is within reach but may improve for this return.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Chanceawetmorning 7/2 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
2 Hamsiyann 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 Bet365
3 High Court Cave 5/1 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 Bet365
4 Garnacho 15/2 open 19.00 8/1 open 19.00 8/1 open 19.00 8/1 open 19.00 8/1 open 19.00 8/1 Coral
5 Elusive Ogie 9/2 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.50 9/2 Bet365
6 Tir Og 40/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 17.00 40/1 Bet365
7 Falco Blitz 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 Bet365
8 Therellbguddaysyet 33/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Earl Neigh 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 50/1 Bet365
10 Bop Wont Stop 16/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 Coral
11 One And Only 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 22/1 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 Bet365
12 Big Dispute 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 Bet365
13 Rockonliam 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rockonliam

Live signal

Rockonliam owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Henry De Bromhead Darragh O'Keeffe
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Elusive Ogie

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Eoin Christopher McCarthy
✓ Value Signal

Hamsiyann

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · A J Martin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 13. Rockonliam
64.3 7/2
2 5. Elusive Ogie
63.4 9/2
3 1. Chanceawetmorning
61.1 7/2
4 3. High Court Cave
60.0 5/1
5 12. Big Dispute
59.8 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Elusive Ogie
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 11-12
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 111 🐾

SR 111 backed by market confidence at 7/2 — a genuine contender.

13
Age 6 · 10-10
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 115 🐾

Favourable weight of 10-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 5 · 11-8
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-12
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 115 🐾

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 11-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 7 · 10-12
8/1
★★★★☆ SR 108 🐾

Favourable weight of 10-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

10
Age 6 · 11-0
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 12 · 11-4
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Elusive Ogie
Confidence: Medium

Elusive Ogie leads the field with SR 116 and is trading at 3/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-8 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Elusive Ogie, High Court Cave, Rockonliam, Chanceawetmorning, Big Dispute
Each-way: High Court Cave Danger: Rockonliam

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m4f80y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Listowel Track and setting